Yara 4Q Adjusted EBITDA Dips 3 Percent; Beats Estimates

Yara International ASA, Oslo, reported a 24 percent rise in fourth-quarter net income, to $246 million ($0.93 per share) on revenues of $2.93 billion, up from the previous year’s $199 million ($0.73 per share) and $3.03 billion, respectively. Excluding currency effects and special items, the basic earnings per share was $0.76, versus $0.80 a year earlier.

Adjusted EBITDA was down 3 percent, to $511 million from $525 million a year ago, beating the average analyst estimate of $473.3 million based on a Bloomberg Consensus (range $445.0 million to $509.0 million).

The group cited the main factors behind the fourth-quarter EBITDA result as higher deliveries and production, offset by increased gas prices. Total deliveries for the fourth quarter rose 3 percent to 9.33 million mt, with 7.01 million mt of fertilizer delivered (4Q 2019: 6.48 million mt).

Total deliveries for the fourth quarter rose 3 percent to 9.33 million mt, with 7.01 million mt of fertilizer delivered (4Q 2019: 6.48 million mt).

Yara said revenues were stable in the quarter, as improved deliveries offset lower commodity prices.

Total revenues for Europe, Americas and Africa & Asia segments

$ million 4Q-2020 4Q-2019
Nitrates 331 341
Of which: Premium 117 149
Compound NPKs 708 645
Of which: Premium 330 330
Total revenues 2,303 2,291
Of which Premium 952 1,103

Yara sees spot-priced gas costs for the first-quarter of 2021 $100 million higher than a year earlier and second-quarter gas costs $145 million higher, compared with “the record lows” in 2020.

For full-year 2020, the company reported a 17 percent increase in net income, to $690 million ($2.58 per share) on revenues of $11.73 billion, up from the previous year’s $589 million ($2.20 per share) and $12.94 billion, respectively. Excluding currency effects and special items, the basic earnings per share was $3.08 versus $3.09 a year earlier. Sales fell 9 percent.

Full-year EBITDA came in at $2.22 billion, up 6 percent on the year from $2.095 billion, while EBITDA excluding special items was essentially flat year-on-year, at $2.16 billion.

Yara reported that its total capex commitments for 2020/21 remain unchanged at $2.2 billion, and plans a total capex of a maximum $1.2 billion per annum (both maintenance and growth) from 2022 onwards.

The group is proposing a NOK20 per share dividend to the annual general meeting, bringing its total cash distribution of shareholders for 2020 (paid and proposed) to NOK52 per share.

Yara Production and Deliveries

‘000 mt 4Q-2020 4Q-2019 FY2020 FY2019
Production        
Ammonia 1,866 2,048 7,606 8,479
Finished fertilizer and industrial products (excluding bulk blends)1 5,271 5,432 21,048 22,060
         
Yara Deliveries        
Ammonia trade 539 712 1,966 2,527
Fertilizer 7,012 6,476 29,045 27,620
Industrial product 1,781 1,910 7,086 7,837
Total deliveries 9,332 9,097 38,097 37,963

1 Including Yara share of production in equity-accounted investees, excluding Yara-produced blends

Yara Deliveries

‘000 mt 4Q-2020 4Q-2019 FY2020 FY2019
Crop Nutrition Deliveries        
Urea 1,564 1,373 6,042 5,909
Nitrate 1,352 1,274 5,775 5,412
NPK 2,681 2,500 10,574 9,943
CN 363 241 1,433 1,237
UAN 253 264 1,405 1,287
DAP/MAP/SSP 188 167 1,014 1,096
MOP/SOP 323 309 1,473 1,326
Other products 289 349 1,328 1,411
Total Crop Nutrition Deliveries 7,012 6,476 29,045 27,620
         
Europe Deliveries        
Urea 253 148 1,009 796
Nitrate 981 888 4,334 4,057
NPK 705 620 2,769 2,714
CN 89 64 446 393
Other products 299 304 1,558 1,492
Total Deliveries Europe 2,327 2,025 10,116 9,452
         
Americas Deliveries        
Urea 664 678 2,692 2,615
Nitrate 323 321 1,196 1,117
NPK 1,513 1,502 6,070 5,687
CN 211 128 801 679
DAP/MAP/SSP 173 144 912 1,014
MOP/SOP 298 286 1,386 1,233
Other products 213 279 1,050 1,115
Total Deliveries Americas 3,395 3,338 14,108 13,461
       
North America 825 773 3,316 3,254
Brazil 2,090 2,140 8,813 8,438
Latin America excluding Brazil 480 425 1,979 1,769
         
Africa & Asia Deliveries1        
Urea 647 548 2,341 2,497
Nitrate 48 64 245 237
NPK 463 378 1,735 1,542
CN 62 48 186 166
Other products 70 75 314 264
Total Deliveries Africa & Asia 1,291 1,113 4,821 4,707
       
Asia 988 815 3,652 3,525
Africa 302 298 1,169 1,182
         
Industrial Solutions Deliveries        
Ammonia2 142 152 543 625
Urea2 407 420 1,577 1,792
Nitrate3 240 281 1,069 1,146
CN 56 125 348 434
Other products5 528 507 1,944 2,028
Water content in industrial ammonia and urea 408 426 1,605 1,811
Total Industrial Solutions Deliveries 1,781 1,910 7,086 7,837

1 The Africa and Asia business also includes Oceania

2 Pure product equivalents

3 Including AN Solution

4 Including sulfuric acid, ammonia, and other minor products