Yara 2Q Beats Analysts’ Estimates; Improved Prices & Recovering Premiums Boost

Yara International ASA, Oslo, reported a 142 percent increase in second-quarter net income, to $539 million on revenue of $3.95 billion, up from the year-ago $223 million and $2.87 billion, respectively. Basic earnings per share were $2.10 versus the prior year’s $0.83 per share. Excluding currency effects and special items, second-quarter basic earnings per share were $1.42 compared with $1.06 a year ago.

Second-quarter EBITDA excluding special items was 32 percent up on the year, at $775 million versus the year-ago $588 million. Revenue was up 38 percent.

Net income, adjusted EBITDA, and revenue all beat analysts’ average estimates, according to a Bloomberg consensus.

  2Q result Analysts’ average estimates Range
Net income $ million $539 $372.2 $302.0 to $448.0
Adjusted EBITDA $ million $775 $752.1 $657.0 to $816.0
Revenue $ billion $3.95 $3.48 $2.93 to $4.14

“Yara delivered its twelfth consecutive quarter with improved capital returns, with EBITDA excluding special items up 32 percent reflecting improved pricing and recovering premiums,” said Yara International President and CEO, Svein Tore Holsether.

He said the company’s realized premiums have started to normalize following an earlier compression of premiums amid the rapid rise in commodity nitrogen prices.

The improved pricing more than offset increased energy costs, fixed costs, and currency effects, the company said.

Yara’s industrial business has also picked up, following weaker demand during the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Holsether said Yara cash flow improved further in the reporting quarter, with almost $3 billion of free cash flow generated over the last four quarters. As a result, the company will propose a NOK20 per share additional dividend payment in the third quarter, in line with Yara’s capital allocation policy. It already paid an annual dividend of NOK20 per share in May.

Yara’s total deliveries for the second quarter ticked up by just over 1 percent, to 9.78 million mt, up from the year-ago 9.65 million mt. But fertilizer deliveries fell 3 percent to 7.35 million mt, down from 7.58 million mt.

In Europe, deliveries were down 16 percent. Strong fertilizer price increases led buyers to cover only the necessary volumes for current season application, following relatively strong purchasing earlier this season, the company said.

For the Americas, overall deliveries decreased 2 percent, mainly reflecting phasing of deliveries following the early season last year.

Industrial product deliveries rose 20 percent to 1.84 million mt, reflecting higher deliveries, improved margins, and improved reliability in the production units, the company said. Ammonia trade increased 13 percent to 589,000 mt.

Yara’s gas costs for the third quarter are expected to be $380 million higher than a year earlier, and for the fourth quarter $300 million higher than a year earlier.

First-half net income came in at $553 million ($2.13 per share) on revenues of $7.09 billion, up from the year-ago $105 million (0.39) and $5.72 billion, respectively. Adjusted earnings per share was $2.22 versus the previous year’s $1.45.

Six-months EBITDA excluding special items increased 25 percent, to $1.36 billion, up from $1.09 billion.

“Yara’s industry fundamentals are robust, as the twin challenges of resource efficiency and environmental footprint require significant transformations within both agriculture and the hydrogen economy,” said Holsether.

Yara’s leading food solutions and ammonia positions are well placed to both address and create business opportunities from these challenges, he said.

Yara Production and Deliveries

‘000 mt 2Q-2021 2Q-2020 1H-2021 1H-2020
Production        
Ammonia 1,891 1,868 3,684 3,792
Finished fertilizer and industrial products (excluding bulk blends)1 5,074 5,108 10,233 10,418
         
Yara Deliveries        
Ammonia trade 589 523 1,047 943
Fertilizer 7,347 7,584 14,201 14,427
Industrial product 1,843 1,542 3,610 3,263
Total deliveries 9,779 9,648 18,858 18,634

1 Including Yara share of production in equity-accounted investees, excluding Yara-produced blends

Yara Deliveries

‘000 mt 2Q-2021 2Q-2020 1H-2021 1H-2020
Crop Nutrition Deliveries        
Urea 1,800 1,539 3,168 2,965
Nitrate 1,171 1,357 2,763 3,015
NPK 2,280 2,477 4,728 4,848
CN 476 463 958 861
UAN 378 505 761 861
DAP/MAP/SSP 335 301 482 449
MOP/SOP 516 443 665 566
Other products 392 499 676 861
Total Crop Nutrition Deliveries 7,347 7,584 14,201 14,427
         
Europe Deliveries        
Urea 263 244 556 552
Nitrate 764 1,041 1,920 2,310
NPK 471 533 1,395 1,471
CN 129 152 265 262
Other products 409 447 821 892
Total Deliveries Europe 2,035 2,417 4,957 5,487
         
Americas Deliveries        
Urea 786 715 1,416 1,336
Nitrate 304 243 670 592
NPK 1,305 1,502 2,420 2,554
CN 302 272 602 522
DAP/MAP/SSP 321 274 429 384
MOP/SOP 486 421 606 521
Other products 333 489 576 748
Total Deliveries Americas 3,837 3,915 6,718 6,658
       
North America 1,064 1,085 2,022 1,944
Brazil 2,209 2,292 3,675 3,755
Latin America excluding Brazil 564 538 1,021 959
         
Africa & Asia Deliveries1        
Urea 751 580 1,197 1,077
Nitrate 103 74 173 113
NPK 504 442 914 823
CN 46 39 91 77
Other products 71 117 152 192
Total Deliveries Africa & Asia 1,475 1,252 2,527 2,282
Asia 1,151 895 1,962 1,688
Africa 324 357 565 594
         
Industrial Solutions Deliveries        
Ammonia2 132 137 282 278
Urea2 410 354 807 764
Nitrate3 298 272 578 549
CN 46 42 92 84
Other products5 420 301 826 671
Water content in industrial ammonia and urea 537 436 1,024 917
Total Industrial Solutions Deliveries 1,843 1,542 3,610 3,263

1 The Africa and Asia business also includes Oceania

2 Pure product equivalents

3 Including AN Solution

4 Including sulfuric acid, ammonia, and other minor products