Intrepid Potash Inc. reported a fourth-quarter 2015 net loss of $518.3 million ($6.85 per share), compared with net income of $5.8 million ($0.08 per share), for the 2014 fourth quarter. Excluding a $323.8 million asset impairment charge related to conventional assets in Carlsbad and an increase in the valuation allowance related to deferred tax assets of $155.1 million, Intrepid’s adjusted net loss was $20.1 million ($0.26 per share), and compares with adjusted net income of $5.1 million ($0.07 per share) in the 2014 fourth quarter. Fourth-quarter sales were $42.8 million, down from $98.3 million.
Potash sales volumes dropped 58 percent, to 89,000 st from the year-ago 210,000 st. Average net realized prices were off 20 percent, to $277/st from $348/st, while average potash gross margins were a negative $38/st versus a year-ago positive $54/st. Trio volumes were 38,000 at an average price of $330/st and margin of $7/st, compared to the year-ago 41,000 st, $354/st, and $99/st, respectively.
Intrepid reported a full-year net loss of $524.8 million ($6.94 per share), compared with net income of $9.8 million ($0.13 a share) for 2014. Intrepid’s 2015 adjusted net loss of $22.9 million ($0.31 per share) compares with adjusted net income of $8.4 million ($0.11 per share) for 2014. Intrepid reported adjusted EBITDA of $45.5 million for 2015 compared with $95.3 million in 2014. Full-year 2015 sales were $287.2 million, down from $410.4 million.
Full-year potash volumes were 587,000 st, down from 2014’s 915,000 st. The average price was up at $339/st from $332/st, while the average gross margin dropped to $27/st from $41/st. Trio volumes were 163,000 st with prices of $364/st and margins of $68/st, compared to 2014’s 182,000 st, $349/st, and $68/st, respectively.
“The recent series of potash price reductions has created a more dynamic market than we’ve experienced in some time,” said Intrepid’s Executive Chairman, President, and CEO Bob Jornayvaz. “The pricing pressure is reflected in our fourth-quarter performance and has the potential to cause a breach in our loan covenants. As a result, our auditors added going concern language to their audit opinion.
“In response to the current conditions, we have taken actions for the short term as well as continuing to execute on our long-term strategy,” continued Jornayvaz. “We remain focused on improving EBITDA generation by selling more Trio while also lowering our potash cash operating costs through our conversion of the East facility. The additional tests we ran in December and January support our confidence in completing the conversion in mid-2016. In early 2016, we took actions to decrease our selling and administrative expenses by 20 percent from 2015 levels, and to improve our operating costs, including a 5 percent workforce reduction.
“We are evaluating the viability of our West facility under a prolonged depressed pricing scenario,” said Jornayvaz. “We have also been working with our lending group on an amendment that will provide us with the time and continued flexibility needed as we evaluate and execute on our options. We are grateful to have this banking group with whom we have been working as partners and appreciate that they have been responsive, diligent, and cooperative in this challenging time. With the Trio conversion underway and our ongoing evaluation of West, which comprises more than half of our potash production, we have suspended our practice of providing a financial outlook.”
Once the East mine converts to Trio, Intrepid expects that some 200,000 st of potash will come off the market, and believes its premium Trio capacity will near 300,000 st/y. Intrepid estimates that global producers have curtailed some 5 million tons of potash production. When the East potash production comes offline, the West mine will be the company’s most expensive.
Jornayvaz told analysts that when you look back on the fourth quarter “… we’ll remember it as one of the more volatile that we’ve seen in history. And we’ve survived it and we believe we’ll continue to survive and eventually prosper as a smaller but much more profitable company.” He cited multiple factors, including overcapacity, price pressure from importers, traders seeking quick liquidity, a Canpotex run, and major currency fluctuations.
Wall Street reacted negatively to the news. Intrepid shares, which had closed Feb. 26 on the New York Stock Exchange at $2.22, dropped after the news Feb. 29 to close at $0.99. Shares closed as low as $0.67 March 1, but saw a March 2 close of $0.95. If the shares remain below $1.00 for long they risk being delisted. However, positive news from lenders and a switch to more Trio production, as well as the onslaught of the spring season, may all improve the company’s near-term fortunes.