The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit has sent a potash antitrust case against major global producers, Minn-Chem Inc. v. Agrium Inc., back for trial before the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division. In an 8-0 decision issued June 27, the court reversed its own two-judge panel, which had earlier decided that the complaint failed to meet the requirements of the Foreign Trade Antitrust Improvements Act of 1982. The court said the district court correctly ruled that the complaint does state a claim under federal antitrust laws. While ruling that the case could proceed, the lower court had allowed the appeal. The defendants—Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., The Mosaic Co., Agrium Inc., Uralkali, Belaruskali, Silvinit and IPC, are accused of price-fixing. The plaintiffs, U.S. potash buyers, alleged that the defendants, which produce 71 percent of the world’s potash, initiated a cartel which beginning in mid-2003 drove prices up some 600 percent by 2008.
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Company responds to potash antitrust alert
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. quickly responded to news that the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit has sent a potash antitrust case against major global producers, Minn-Chem Inc. v. Agrium Inc., back to the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division. The company said the matter may not necessarily go to trial, as an earlier Green Markets headline indicated; that it would first go to discovery. Ultimately, if it can get through the discovery phase, and any motions in the meantime, it will go to trial.
“The company has a policy of strict compliance with antitrust and competition laws wherever it does business,” a company spokesman told Green Markets. “PotashCorp intends to vigorously defend itself against these claims which it considers to be without foundation.”
Indeed, the Court of Appeals said it was not making a final decision, that discovery will have to take place as well as a lower court decision. However, in the court’s 8-0 decision, it said that the evidence before it was sufficient to send it back to the lower court. “The inference from these allegations is not just plausible but compelling that the cartel meant to, and did in fact, keep prices artificially high in the United States,” said the court.
Agrium Inc. said it was still awaiting word from its attorneys. Other defendants have yet to respond.
The defendants—Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., The Mosaic Co., Agrium Inc., Uralkali, Belaruskali, Silvinit and IPC, are accused of price-fixing. The plaintiffs, U.S. potash buyers, alleged that the defendants, which produce 71 percent of the world’s potash, initiated a cartel which beginning in mid-2003 drove prices up some 600 percent by 2008.
Pusri, TCP release tender results
Indonesia’s Pusri closed its auction for granular and prilled urea June 22. Bids in both auctions indicated buyers are still looking for bargains. And while buyers appeared only interested in the granular product, they do not seem willing to buy at any price.
In the end Universal Harvester was awarded 10,000 mt of the 30,000 mt offered at the Owner Expected price of $431/mt FOB.
The bidding stalled at $403/mt FOB until the last minute when Universal boosted its bid. The last 10 minutes of the bidding – until Universal moved to take an award – showed prices moving lethargically from $390/mt FOB to $403/mt FOB.
The last time Pusri made an award, the winning granular price was $535/mt FOB.
No one wanted to pay the OE Price for the prilled product. At $465/mt FOB, the Pusri expectation was too high for the bidders. Sources say that amount was also too high for the market.
The highest bid for the prilled material came from Feitra Limited at $396/mt FOB.
The winning bid in April for prills was $527/mt FOB.
The bids in both auctions confirmed, for many, the continued softness of the urea market. The winning price in the granular tender indicated, to some that Universal was desperate to pick up a cargo. The refusal to move into the $400s/mt FOB for the prilled also indicated buyers still don’t think the floor has been reached for the urea market.
TCP tender falls short of fulfilling demand.
The Trading Corporation of Pakistan closed its June 25 tender still short of the tonnage it was looking for, but at least it will pay $100/mt less than it did a month ago.
TCP closed its previous tender with an award to Gavilon at $522.86/mt CFR for 100,000 mt.
Sources say the latest award to Transammonia is based on its offer of $411.77/mt CFR for 100,000 mt. Trammo offered an additional 100,000 mt as an option. It is unclear to source if TCP can accept the optional tons and that Trammo would accept the bid if made.
If the additional tons are not awarded, sources expect to see TCP issue another tender soon for 100,000 mt.
In April TCP received orders from the government to import 300,000 mt to ensure enough urea for the current application season and enough to jump start the next season. The rules under which TCP must operate mean the closing date of the tender will be one month from the day it is announced.
Local media report the domestic urea producers will continue to argue that if the national government were to provide the producers with the natural gas supplies they were initially promised, they would be able to supply the country’s urea needs at a lower price.
PotashCorp confirms death at Allan mine
It is with great sadness that PotashCorp reported today that an accident at its Allan mine on Monday June 25 resulted in fatal injuries to one of its employees. The individual, a 28-year-old man, was working underground at the mine when the accident occurred. His name has not been released. Emergency responders were dispatched immediately but they were not able to resuscitate him.
“Our thoughts and our deepest sympathy are with the family, friends and co-workers of this young man,” said Garth Moore, President, PCS Potash. “There is nothing we place a higher priority on at our company than safety.” An investigation is being conducted by the company in cooperation with the provincial Mine Safety Unit.
Sulfur
Tampa: For whatever reason, speculation was holding last week that the price of molten sulfur to Tampa will drop for the third quarter, which officially begins July 1.
As a result, the question was not whether it would go up or down, but how much would it drop? The range cited by traders, rather than oil companies or the phosphate industry, was $10/lt on the low side to $30/lt or more on the high side.
Possible reasons included the high refining rates, which were more than 90 percent of capacity, and Syncrude’s remelting project in Alberta. Regardless, most agree an oversupply exists, but few could agree on how much.
The Department of Energy reported that the refinery operating capacity rate actually decreased last week by 0.1 percent, from 92 percent to 91.9 percent, which was pretty minimal. Even using more sweet crude, the amount of sulfur extracted from the oil was on the increase.
U.S. Gulf: Prill prices exported from the Gulf of Mexico were said to be in the $180/mt range last week.
Vancouver: Prices in China were down about $10-$15/mt, which will not be a spark for Vancouver sulfur exports.
West Coast: Prices were in the same range as sulfur shipped from Vancouver.
Benelux: The current price range was $210-$228/mt FOB.
Potash
Eastern Cornbelt: Sources pegged the potash market at $500-$515/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt region. The Cincinnati market was quoted at the $510/st FOB level for granular potash last week.
Western Cornbelt: Potash pricing had reportedly slipped to as low as $485/st FOB in southern Missouri. The upper end of the regional range was pegged at $510/st FOB for red granular and $517/st FOB for white granular potash.
Northern Plains: Minnesota sources quoted the granular potash market at $510/st FOB warehouses, with delivered tons reported in the $500-$510/st range in North Dakota. The potash market FOB Saskatchewan mines was quoted at $470-$480/st, depending on grade.
Great Lakes: Potash was quoted at $510-$527/st FOB in the Great Lakes region. In Michigan, sources tagged the warehouse price at $520/st FOB for red granular and $527/st FOB for white granular potash. Wisconsin sources also quoted the $527/st level for rail-delivered red granular potash last week.
Effective June 11, granular potash postings from PCS Sales dropped to $512/st FOB Green Bay, Wisc. A $20/st increase is scheduled for July 21.
Northeast: Sources quoted delivered potash at $525-$535/st in the Northeast region. Effective June 11, granular potash postings from PCS Sales dropped to $520/st FOB Baltimore, Md. A $20/st increase is scheduled for July 21.
Phosphates
Central Florida: Inventories continued to be extremely tight last week, and phosphate producers were not cutting any deals on phosphates as a result.
Last week, CF Industries matched the price rise Mosaic made the previous week, and a large trader set his price at $10/st FOB lower. Still, it’s the summer lull and very little was moving except for a few trucks within the current price range.
The current Central Florida price was on a par with the export DAP price range, after doing the math and adding for the freight cost to the port. However, a trader said it would have to be at least $20/st FOB lower to have any chance of actually selling.
The Central Florida DAP price was quoted at $490-$500/st FOB, up from the previous week’s range of $480-$500/st FOB. CF’s posted price was at the $500/st FOB mark, and Mosaic was also at $500/st FOB. MAP continued to sell at a $20/st premium to DAP, about the same difference as from traders. PCS Sales, which produces MAP at its White Springs facility in North Florida, was selling at prices comparable to the market.
U.S. Gulf: Mississippi Phosphate should be back online by the beginning of this week, or if not, then shortly thereafter. The plant was shuttered by the Occupational Health and Safety Administration (OSHA) after two deaths were caused by two separate explosions in its acid plant (GM June 11, p. 1). The OHSA investigation could take up to six months to complete.
Now that sales into Latin America have slowed, the industry was waiting for the domestic market to take off, which most believe will happen earlier this fall due to the early spring planting of corn and other crops. Assuming the harvest happens early as well, farmers will get an earlier start to fall field preparation. That’s the plan, anyway.
If dreams really do come true, phosphate sellers believe the price will rise and overtake the export market as the focus of the industry. Currently, prices for all three markets were about the same, after adjustments. Perhaps the slack period will allow inventories to rise and act as a form of price restraint by that time.
Expanding drought conditions in the Midwest could create problems for fertilizer sales, as well as for farmers, however. The flip side of the damaging drought was higher crop prices. By late last week, corn, soybean, and wheat prices were all up.
Prices for 2012 corn futures rose from $5.15/bushel the previous week to $5.5925/bushel for December. The corn price for December 2013 was $5.30/bushel, increasing from $5.2275/bushel the previous reporting period. For November 2012, soybeans moved up to $13.8025/bushel from $13.1275/bushel the previous week, and soybeans for November 2013 increased to $12.35/bushel from $11.835/bushel a week earlier. Wheat for July 2012 rose to $6.6775/bushel from $6.2175/bushel the week before, and wheat for July 2013 was listed at $7.32/bushel last week, up from $6.9975/bushel the previous week. Wheat for July 2014 was posted at $7.49/bushel.
Many in the industry believe phosphate pricing will begin to take off again during or soon after the Southwestern Fertilizer Conference in San Antonio in mid-July, but some may make moves before that time. Considering the lack of inventory and demand from the export market, prices may move much higher than anticipated, and possibly sooner. Prices have been gradually rising during June.
The prompt NOLA DAP barge price range for the week moved to $505-$510/st FOB, up from the previous week’s $500-$508/st FOB range, based on bids and offers. MAP was running $20-$30/st FOB higher than DAP. Last week, a MAP barge was sold at $525/st FOB, which was in the price range, as was another done at $530/st FOB.
Eastern Cornbelt: The DAP market had reportedly firmed to $535-$545/st FOB most warehouses in t
Ammonium Sulfate
Eastern Cornbelt: Ammonium sulfate was quoted at $375-$400/st FOB Eastern Cornbelt terminals for summer fill, down from the spring cash market. The low end of the range was quoted in Illinois for July and August pull, while Indiana sources quoted granular ammonium sulfate at $390-$400/st FOB for new orders.
Western Cornbelt: Granular ammonium sulfate was quoted in a broad range at $395-$425/st FOB, depending on location and time of delivery. One Missouri source tagged the ammonium thiosulfate market at the $385/st FOB mark last week.
Northern Plains: Minnesota sources said granular ammonium sulfate pricing had slipped to as low as $385/st FOB, while delivered tons in the North Dakota market remained at $435/st.
Great Lakes: Summer fill pricing for ammonium sulfate was down, with sources quoting the market at $390-$400/st FOB for July and August. Ammonium thiosulfate was tagged at $370-$380/st FOB in the Great Lakes region.
Northeast: Granular ammonium sulfate was pegged at $405-$413/st DEL in the region.
Ammonium Nitrate
U.S. Gulf: New trades were put in the $360-$370/st FOB range. Sources said the outage at El Dorado, as well as tight supplies from CF, have continued to be factors.
Western Cornbelt: Ammonium nitrate remained at a firm $480/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, where available. Out of the Catoosa market, sources pegged the dealer price at $475-$480/st FOB last week.
Nitrogen Solutions
U.S. Gulf: A good bit of activity was reported last week as CF was said to have put out a fill number at $260/st ($8.13/unit) FOB, down from an earlier $280/st ($8.75/unit) FOB. Sources said many were coming into the market as a result.
New trades on the barge market were called $258-$265/st ($8.06-$8.28/unit) FOB, though some thought better deals could be had. Others disagreed, saying the low numbers came off the table once the buying began.
Eastern Cornbelt: Illinois sources quoted UAN-32 as low as $335-$345/st ($10.47-$10.78/unit) FOB for prompt tons, down significantly from last report, with summer fill offers at the $320/st ($10.00/unit) FOB level or lower for July and August. In Ohio, sources pegged the UAN-28 market at $285/st ($10.18/unit) FOB Cincinnati last week.
Western Cornbelt: The UAN-32 market was quoted in a broad range at $325-$380/st ($10.16-$11.88/unit) FOB Western Cornbelt terminals for prompt tons, depending on location. Missouri sources also reported fill offers as low as $285-$295/st ($8.91-$9.22/unit) FOB on a spot basis, but some claimed offers at those numbers were off the table as the week progressed because of the number of orders already taken.
Northern Plains: UAN pricing was dropping in the Northern Plains region. Sources quoted UAN-28 at $300/st ($10.71/unit) FOB the Twin Cities for prompt tons, with delivered UAN-28 quoted in the $350-$355/st ($12.50-$12.68/unit) range in North Dakota.
Great Lakes: In northern Wisconsin and Michigan, sidedress work with UAN continued at mid-month. In Michigan, sources quoted UAN-28 at the $345/st ($12.32/unit) FOB level for prompt pull, with summer fill tons reportedly being offered for as low as $260/st ($9.29/unit) FOB Courtright, Ontario, for take in July and August.
Wisconsin sources quoted the UAN-32 market at $335-$345/st ($10.47-$10.78/unit) FOB for prompt sidedress tons, with summer fill pricing in the $305-$320/st ($9.53-$10.00/unit) FOB range for July and August. One Wisconsin source also quoted delivered UAN-32 at the $320-$330/st ($10.00-$10.31/unit) level for summer fill last week.
Northeast: Northeast sources reported very little fertilizer demand last week, although sidedress movement of UAN continued in some locations. The UAN-32 market for prompt pull was quoted at $370-$373/st ($11.56-$11.66/unit) FOB Baltimore, Md., and $12.25-$12.50/unit FOB terminals in upstate New York. The UAN vessel market was pegged at the $290/mt CFR level for new indications.