Ammonia
U.S. Gulf/Tampa: The Tampa market remained quiet last week. Mosaic did give some guidance on its future needs, telling analysts last week that after ammonia supply contracts with CF kick in (GM Nov. 4, p. 1) that it may still likely need 300-350,000 mt/y of ammonia from the spot market.
December NYMEX natural gas closed Nov. 7 at $3.519/mmBtu, down slightly from the week-ago $3.581/mmBtu.
Eastern Cornbelt: October went out like a lion in parts of central Indiana and northern Ohio, where powerful storms produced damaging winds and heavy rainfall, causing widespread power outages.
Scattered rains were in store during the first days of November for other parts of the Eastern Cornbelt, but growers were able to steadily peck away at the corn and soybean harvest. As of Nov. 3, 88-92 percent of the regional soybean crop was harvested, while the corn harvest stood at 64 percent complete in Ohio, 74 percent in Indiana, and 83 percent in Illinois. Harvest was tracking ahead of the five-year average for both crops in all three states.
Winter wheat planting was also nearly finished, with approximately 91-97 percent of the regional crop seeded by Nov. 3. That pace, too, was ahead of the five-year average.
The anhydrous ammonia market was unchanged at $550-$560/st FOB in Illinois and $560-$570/st FOB in Indiana.
Western Cornbelt: The anhydrous ammonia market in the Western Cornbelt was unchanged at $510-$525/st FOB in Nebraska, $525-$540/st FOB in Iowa, and $550/st FOB Palmyra, Mo. Fertilizer movement continued to be described as “a little slow” in the region, according to one Iowa contact last week.
A powerful storm dropped up to 10 inches of snow in parts of northwest Nebraska last week, and also blanketed areas of South Dakota and Minnesota with similar amounts. The system brought rainfall to parts of Iowa, which delayed harvest activities.
Harvest progress in the region continued to equal or surpass the five-year average for corn and soybeans, however. As of Nov. 3, 82 percent of the Missouri corn crop was in the bin, compared with 71-75 percent in Nebraska and Iowa. Soybean growers had fully 95-97 percent of the crop harvested in Iowa and Nebraska by that date, compared with 64 percent in Missouri.
Missouri’s cotton harvest continued to trail the five-year average considerably, however, with 46 percent of the crop picked by Nov. 3. USDA rated 46 percent of the Missouri cotton crop as good or excellent last week.
Missouri growers were also plugging away on winter wheat planting in early November, with approximately 64 percent of the crop seeded by Nov. 3. Nebraska’s wheat crop was fully planted by that date, USDA reported.
Southern Plains: The ammonia market in the Southern Plains remained at $460-$480/st FOB regional production points for fall tons, with the pipeline terminal market in Kansas pegged at $495-$510/st FOB.
Heavy rains swept across central Texas on the last day of October, while a strong Pacific storm brought cold temperatures and snowfall to northern New Mexico in early November.
The U.S. Drought Monitor continued to show severe to extreme drought conditions in parts of northern Texas, eastern Colorado, and western Oklahoma and Kansas last week, but fall rains have significantly lessened the areas of exceptional drought in the region.
As of Nov. 3, the regional corn harvest was rated at 97 percent complete in Texas, 87 percent in Kansas, and 80 percent in Colorado. Kansas growers also had 81 percent of the soybeans harvested by that date, but the regional cotton harvest lagged at just 21 percent complete in Kansas, 33 percent in Oklahoma, and 37 percent in Texas. Cotton conditions in the region continued to show the effects of lingering drought, with just 29-38 percent