Belarus K imports at issue

At least eight members of Congress have written the Obama Administration seeking an investigation of potash imports from Belarus, citing sanctions that were put in place in 2007 against the state-owned company Belneftekhim Concern. According to the opponents, the Belarus government in February 2014 removed potash producer Belaruskali from the Belneftekhim Concern and a Belarus press article at the time said the move was “intended to evade economic sanctions once imposed by the U.S.”

The Fertilizer Institute has received a number of inquiries from its members on the issue and has prepared a memorandum advising them to “act with caution,” in proceeding with any Belarus –related transaction. TFI urges them to conduct an appropriate level of due diligence review, and as needed, consult their own counsel to assure themselves of compliance with the regulations.

TFI duly notes that the U.S. Department of Treasury’s Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC), which is responsible for administering and enforcing U.S. sanctions, places the burden on U.S. companies themselves for conducting due diligence on these transactions. TFI said that OFAC itself has refrained from expressly and publicly indicating if it considers Belaruskali or trading company Belarusian Potash Co. (BPC) as subject to the sanctions.

Under OFAC rules, TFI said if Belaruskali or trading firm BPC are still 50 percent or more owned by Belneftekhim, then they would still be under the sanctions.

TFI noted BPC has indicated it is not subject to the sanctions.

At least one import cargo has reportedly found its way to NOLA, with two more expected this month. In total, about 150,000 mt are expected, with three trading firms reportedly bringing in the product– Trammo, Koch and Gavilon. The NOLA potash market was sitting at about $370/st when the news of Belarus imports were confirmed. With the Belarus news, along with other imports, prices have recently fallen to the $358-$365/st FOB range.

According to TFI, violating the sanctions could mean a fine up to the greater of $250,000 or twice the value of the transaction per violation in most administrative cases, and temporary or permanent denial of export privileges. Criminal violations involving willful failure to comply with the regulations may result in up to $1 million in fines and/or up to 20 years in prison per violation. However, TFI noted that in many cases, OFAC reaches negotiated settlements, and has the authority to reduce fines and penalties resulting from voluntary self-disclosures of violations and other mitigating factors. TFI said actual penalties in the past have ranged from warning letters to multi-million fines.

Mosaic 4Q results soar – Alert

The Mosaic Co. today reported fourth quarter 2014 net earnings of $361 million, compared to $129 million in the fourth quarter of 2013. Earnings per diluted share were $0.97 in the quarter compared to $0.30 last year. Mosaic’s net sales in the fourth quarter of 2014 were $2.4 billion, up from $2.2 billion last year.

"While we expected strong fourth-quarter results, demand exceeded our expectations as customers came to the market in force, seeking to replenish empty inventories ahead of an expected strong spring application season in North America," said Jim Prokopanko, president and CEO. "2014 was a year of transformation for Mosaic. We grew and rebalanced our business portfolio, optimized our balance sheet, and worked to assure Mosaic remains a low-cost producer."

For the twelve months ended Dec. 31, 2014, net income was $1.0 billion, or $2.68 per diluted share, compared to $1.1 billion, or $2.49 per diluted share in 2013. Net sales were $9.1 billion, up from $9.0 billion a year ago.

"We are seeing the benefits of the many strategic initiatives we completed last year," Prokopanko said. "We continue to watch grain and oilseed prices, but we are optimistic heading into 2015. At Mosaic, we’ve taken advantage of the short-term cyclical dips and are well positioned to capitalize on the inevitable upward secular trends."

Total sales volumes for the Phosphates segment are expected to range from 2.8 to 3.1 million mt for the first quarter of 2015, compared to 2.7 million mt last year. Mosaic’s realized DAP price, FOB plant, is estimated to range from $440 to $465 per mt for the first quarter of 2015. The segment gross margin rate in the first quarter is estimated to be in the mid-teens and the operating rate is expected to be in the 80 to 85 percent range.

The company will provide updated Phosphates guidance reflecting the separation of the phosphate manufacturing and international distribution businesses in March, 2015.

Total sales volumes for the Potash segment are expected to range from 2.0 to 2.3 million mt for the first quarter of 2015, compared to 2.4 million mt last year. Mosaic’s realized MOP price, FOB plant, for the first quarter of 2015 is estimated to range from $270 to $295 per mt. Mosaic’s gross margin rate in the segment is expected in the high 30 percent range during the first quarter of 2015, while the operating rate is expected to be in the 85 to 90 percent range in preparation for anticipated strong demand this spring.

For the 2015 full year, Mosaic estimates Phosphates sales volumes in the range of 14.5 to 15.0 million mt and Potash sales volumes in the range of 8.5 to 9.0 million mt.

Yara 4Q rebounds – Alert

Yara International ASA reported fourth quarter 2014 net income after non-controlling interest of NOK 1,860 million on sales of NOK 26,230 million, up from the year-ago NOK 63 million and NOK 20,573 million, respectively.

Yara cited lower natural gas prices in Europe and a stronger dollar.

Full-year income was NOK 7,625 million on sales of NOK 95,343 million up from 2013’s NOK 5,759 million and NOK 85,092 million.

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