CHS 1Q Crop Nutrient Volumes Up; Cooperative Net Income Off 14 Percent

CHS Inc., St. Paul, Minn., reported that its Wholesale Crop Nutrient volumes were up 4 percent for the first quarter ending Nov. 30, 2017. Despite the uptick, CHS said revenues were off $3.9 million, reflecting $21.2 million in overall lower fertilizer selling prices, partially offset by higher volumes, bringing in $17.3 million. The average sales price for all fertilizers sold was down $12.72/st, or 5 percent. CHS said the unit reported increased income before income taxes (IBIT), citing higher associated margins.

Crop nutrient inventories were valued at $222.05 million as of Nov. 30, 2017, down from the Aug. 31, 2017, value of $248.7 million. Total commodity inventories, including energy, grain, and other products, were $3.05 billion at the end of November, up from August’s $2.58 billion.

Country Operations IBIT was also up. CHS said this was due to improved margins, along with a gain of approximately $7.1 million due to the sale of a non-strategic North American location, a gain on the sale of a domestic investment of $2.2 million, and recognition of approximately $5.3 million associated with the recovery of a loan that was written off in the prior fiscal year.

Cooperative-wide, CHS reported a 14 percent drop in first-quarter net income attributable to CHS to $180.1 million on revenues of $8.05 billion, down from the year-ago $209.2 million and $8.05 billion, respectively. IBIT was $199.6 million, down from the year-ago $225.6 million.

“Despite challenging market conditions, CHS experienced a solid first quarter thanks to our continued focus on three key priorities: strengthening relationships, sharpening operational excellence, and restoring financial flexibility,” said CHS President and CEO Jay Debertin. “In the first quarter, we recorded solid earnings from our businesses and reduced long-term debt. These actions are helping to strengthen and grow CHS.”

CHS said the Ag and Energy industries are currently in a challenging environment characterized by reduced commodity prices, lower margins, reduced liquidity, and increased leverage. Although it said it is unable to predict how long this current environment will last or how severe it will ultimately be, the cooperative does not foresee significant changes to the core economic environment during the remainder of fiscal 2018. However, during this period, it expects revenues, margins, and cash flows from core operations to continue to be under pressure.

For the fiscal year ending Aug. 31, 2017, CHS reported net income was down 70 percent from the prior year, to $127.9 million on sales of $31.9 billion (GM Nov. 17, 2017). A huge tax benefit of $182.1 million put CHS in the plus column for net income, helping to counter-balance some $456.7 million in reserve and impairment charges. CHS did not pay cash patronage for the year. As with the first quarter, for the year, Wholesale Crop Nutrients was a positive, reporting a 14 percent uptick in volumes on lower prices and an increase in IBIT.

For the first quarter, the Ag segment, which includes domestic and global grain marketing and crop nutrients businesses, renewable fuels, local retail operations, and processing and food ingredients, generated IBIT of $74.5 million on revenues of $6.09 billion, compared to the year-ago $109.2 million and $6.43 billion, respectively.

The Nitrogen Production segment, which is comprised of the company’s investment in CF Industries Nitrogen LLC, generated IBIT of $5.7 million, down from the year-ago $27 million. The decrease in earnings was primarily due to a gain of $29.1 million from an embedded derivative associated with CF Nitrogen that was recognized in fiscal 2017. There was no comparable gain in the current fiscal year. This decrease was partially offset by higher urea and UAN prices.

First-quarter Energy IBIT was $113.08 million on revenues of $2.09 billion, up from the year-ago $70 million and $1.7 billion, respectively. Food IBIT was down at $973,000 from $10.6 million, and Corporate/Other IBIT was $5.3 million, down from $8.7 million.

CPS Buys Green Valley Ag in Michigan

Green Valley Agriculture Inc., a full-service ag retail business with four locations in Michigan, was acquired by Crop Production Services (CPS) on Jan. 2. Green Valley has more than 60 employees, all of whom will be staying in their present positions under CPS ownership.

CPS is based in Loveland, Colo., and was formerly the retail business unit of Agrium Inc. Following the recent completion of Agrium’s merger with PotashCorp of Saskatchewan Inc. (GM Jan. 5, p. 1) to form Nutrien Ltd., CPS is now a unit of Nutrien and is operated by Nutrien Retail.

“Crop Production Services is pleased to welcome the Green Valley Agriculture staff and outlets to the CPS team,” said Richard Downey, vice president, Investor and Corporate Relations, for Nutrien. “The former owners will remain heavily involved in the business.”

Green Valley has Michigan retail locations at Moline/Wayland, Hamilton, Bangor, and West Olive, offering a full line of seed products, liquid and dry fertilizers, and custom application services to vegetable, fruit, and rowcrop growers in southwestern Michigan. The company was founded in 1989 by John Christian and a father-and-son farming operation known as Golden Grain Farms. Mark Edema became involved as a partner in 1995, with Christian and Edema buying out the other partners in 2001.

Green Valley ranked 85th on CropLife’s 2017 list of the 100 largest agronomy retailers in the U.S., with annual revenues broken down as 55 percent fertilizer, 20 percent crop protection, 19 percent seed, and 6 percent custom application. Green Valley was also a 2015 winner of the Environmental Respect Awards, which noted the environmental features of the company’s newest retail facility constructed in 2014 in Wayland.

CPS holds the top spot on the CropLife list, with approximately 19 percent of the U.S. crop input retail market and more than $1 billion in annual revenues. The company continues to quietly expand its retail presence with “tuck-ins” and greenfield expansions (GM Dec. 8, 2017). Agrium said it added approximately 250 independent retailers to CPS in the past five years, and reported in November (GM Nov. 22, 2017) that it has some $400-$500 million to spend on additional retail acquisitions.

Agrium also noted in November that it has new greenfield CPS locations in operation in Reading, Mich., and Milford, Ind., as well as a pipeline of some 12 greenfield retail projects in the works. The company reported in August that it hopes to grow its 19 percent retail market share to the mid-20s, and eventually past the 30 percent mark (GM Aug. 11, 2017).

Midwest Fertilizer Remains Committed to Indiana N Project Despite Proposed IRS Bond Decision

Junior nitrogen producer Midwest Fertilizer Co. LLC told Green Markets last week that it remains committed to its Posey County, Ind., nitrogen project (GM Sept. 8, 2017) despite a proposed determination by the U.S. IRS that $1.26 billion in bonds for the project are not tax-exempt Midwestern Disaster Area Bonds, and therefore the interest paid to the holders is not excludable from gross income. The IRS decision was disclosed on Jan. 5.

“Midwest Fertilizer is very disappointed in the IRS decision to issue a proposed adverse notice with respect to the municipal bonds issued to finance the $2.8 billion fertilizer manufacturing complex in Posey County, Ind.,” the company said in a statement to Green Markets. “Midwest Fertilizer remains fully committed to completion of the project, and it is currently reviewing its options for addressing the issues raised by the IRS, including an appeal. Midwest Fertilizer is grateful to the State of Indiana and the Posey County Commissioners for their continued support for the project. The company and its counsel remain confident that there should be no change to the tax-exempt status of the bonds, and we look forward to working with the IRS to resolve the matter.”

Midwest Fertilizer had no comment as to whether this development would impact its timeline. Back in September (GM Sept. 8, 2017), the company told Green Markets it was eyeing second-quarter 2018 for the firming up of the financing and construction considerations, with groundbreaking expected in 2018. In September, the company said it believed the plant would be up and running by the end of 2021, with operations expected to begin in 2022.

The complex is expected to produce 2 million mt/y of ammonia, UAN, and diesel exhaust fluid (DEF). The company updated its permits in early 2017 (GM Feb. 3, 2017), which at that time included plans for a 1,320 mt/d urea granulation plant, a 2,640 mt/d urea synthesis plant, a 5,160 mt/d UAN plant, a 2,400 mt/d ammonia plant, a 1,840 mt/d nitric acid plant, three UAN tanks up to 40,000 mt, two ammonia tanks up to 30,000 mt, one nitric acid tank up to 8,000 mt, one DEF tank up to 7,000 mt, and one OASE solution/methyl dietharolamine (MDEA) tank at 395,000 gallons.

The facility would be located on 220 acres in Posey County – where Mount Vernon is the county seat – to serve farmers throughout Indiana and the Midwest.

The project, planned since 2012, has encountered other obstacles and delays. In 2013, then-Gov. Mike Pence suspended state support for the project, citing concerns with Pakistan’s Fatima Group, the company’s lead investor (GM May 20, 2013). Pence later said he would not prevent Posey County from pursuing the project (GM June 24, 2013) and reopened talks with Midwest Fertilizer.

Iowa Fertilizer Co. (IFCO), which is owned by OCI NV, Amsterdam, also used some $1.26 billion in Midwest Disaster Area Bonds. IFCO’s Wever, Iowa, nitrogen complex was completed last year. There has been no word on whether the IRS is also reviewing those bonds. OCI did not respond to inquiries last week. The cases may be different, in that intermediaries were involved with the Midwest Fertilizer bonds– Posey County and the Indiana Finance Authority.

Mosaic Finalizes Vale Acquisition; Vale CFO Joins Mosaic Board

The Mosaic Co., Plymouth, Minn., said Jan. 8 that it has completed the previously announced acquisition of Vale Fertilizantes from Vale SA, Rio de Janeiro. Per the recently modified terms, Vale will receive $1.15 billion and 34.2 million shares of Mosaic common stock, or 8.9 percent of Mosaic shares (GM Jan. 5, p. 1; Dec. 23, 2016).

As a result of Vale’s new stake in Mosaic, Luciano Siani Pires has been elected to Mosaic’s board of directors. He has been Vale’s CFO since 2012, with additional responsibilities in procurement and information technology. He has held positions in strategic planning, human resources, and governance at Vale, and also worked at McKinsey & Co. and the Brazilian Development Bank. A native of Brazil, he holds an MBA in Finance from the Stern School of Business at New York University.

Vale said the partnership with Mosaic enhances Vale’s exposure to the worldwide fertilizers market, particularly in the large and fast-growing agricultural regions of North America and Brazil. In addition, the proceeds will be used to strengthen Vale’s balance sheet and reduce its indebtedness as part of Vale’s strategy to generate shareholder value.

Mosaic recently announced that the deal should result in $275 million of annualized improved cash flow by the end of 2020 (GM Nov. 3, 2017), replacing a previously announced target of $75 million in annual operating synergies.

The Vale business to be acquired currently has capacity to produce 4.8 million mt of finished phosphate crop nutrients and 500,000 mt of potash. It includes five Brazilian phosphate rock mines and four chemical and fertilizer production facilities, as well as one potash facility in Brazil. Through the acquisition, Mosaic also will acquire Vale’s 40 percent economic interest in the Miski Mayo phosphate mine in Peru, taking Mosaic’s own stake in that asset to 75 percent. The purchase also includes Vale’s junior potash mining project at Kronau, Sask., Canada.

Mosaic was already one of the largest producers and distributors of blended fertilizer for agricultural use in Brazil, owning and operating 12 blending plants in Brazil and one in Paraguay. In addition, it leases several other warehouses and blending units, depending on sales and production levels. It has a 62 percent ownership interest in Fospar SA, which owns and operates an SSP granulation plant and a deep-water fertilizer port and throughput warehouse terminal facility in Paranagua, Brazil. The port facility at Paranagua handles approximately 2.6 million mt of imported fertilizer.

Mosaic has integrated its 2014 acquisition of ADM’s fertilizer distribution business in Brazil and Paraguay (GM April 21, 2014). Also inked with ADM in 2014 were five-year fertilizer supply agreements to meet ADM’s fertilizer needs in Brazil and Paraguay.

In announcing the news, Mosaic said it expects to release fourth-quarter and full-year 2017 earnings results at approximately 5:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on Feb. 19, after market close of the New York Stock Exchange. At the same time, Mosaic intends to provide preliminary historical pro forma financial information for seven quarters ending Sept. 30, 2017, reflecting post-acquisition segmentation, which will be effective beginning the first quarter of 2018. The pro forma information will also include the impacts of the acquisition on certain segments.

Crystal Peak Study Finds Room for 300,000 mt/y SOP Project in Utah

Crystal Peak Minerals Inc., Toronto, is upbeat after revealing the results of a recently completed feasibility study of its Sevier Playa Sulfate of Potash (SOP) Project, located in southwestern Utah. “We are very pleased with the results of this study,” said John Mansanti, CEO, Jan. 11. “Through extensive fieldwork, comprehensive hydrologic modeling and analysis, bench scale and pilot test work, and thousands of hours of engineering, we have arrived at a study that demonstrates strong and robust fundamentals. This report captures the exciting potential for our project.”

The study forecasts average annual SOP production over the 30-year life of the project of approximately 298,000 mt/y, and proven and probable produced mineral reserves of 6.171 million mt of SOP. Total capital costs are put at $412 million.

Crystal Peak believes it can market the approximately 300,000 mt/y capacity while maintaining an international price premium for the product over muriate of potash (MOP). The company plans to sell most of its product into U.S. markets. The company noted that SOP historically exhibits a premium over MOP – recently more than 50 percent. The company used a starting price of $630/mt for SOP.

The economic analysis in the study is based upon the following assumptions: 100 percent equity; construction beginning January 2019, completed 2022; SOP production ramp-up over three years, from first production of 27,500 mt in 2022 to full capacity of at least 337,500 mt in 2025; production continues at full capacity until 2040; production declines annually to 223,110 mt by 2050; operating costs and revenues based on product delivery to (e.g., MOP) or shipment from (SOP) Crystal Peak’s rail loadout facility; effective tax rate of approximately 15.6 percent; annual production royalties estimated at 5.61 percent of gross revenue, less allowable reagent costs; and post-performance tax credit from the State of Utah of approximately $112.5 million.

The company envisages adding MOP to the process to increase SOP production.

The feasibility study, prepared by Novopro Projects Inc., Norwest Corp., and CH2M HILL Engineers Inc., was only for SOP. Since there are other associated minerals present, the company anticipates completing a study in early 2018 that will consider extraction and production of magnesium chloride, calcium sulfate, and other potentially valuable products.

CSX Corp. – Management Brief

CSX Corp., Jacksonville, said Jan. 8 that Edmond L. Harris has been named executive vice president of operations, effective immediately. He will have responsibility for mechanical, engineering, transportation, and network operations.

CSX said Harris has more than 40 years’ experience in the railroad industry in an operating capacity, including nearly two decades at the Illinois Central and Canadian National (CN). Harris ultimately served as executive vice president of operations until his retirement from CN. At both railroads, he worked closely with Hunter Harrison to transform the traditional operating models of both railroads to Precision Scheduled Railroading models. CSX CEO Harrison, 73, passed away last month (GM Dec. 22, 2017) and was succeeded by Jim Foote, CSX chief operating officer.

Harris received his B.S. degree in business management from the University of Illinois and served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 1969 to 1973.

Rio Reported to Have Dropped Out of SQM Stake Race

Rio Tinto Group is said to have dropped out of the bidding for a stake in Sociedad y Minera de Chile SA (SQM). According to a Bloomberg report, citing unnamed sources, Rio decided not to proceed with an offer for Nutrien Ltd.’s 32 percent stake in SQM after studying information in a data room. Nutrien is selling the holding to fulfill a condition imposed by Chinese and Indian regulators on Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. when approving its merger of equals with Agrium Inc. (GM Nov. 10, 2017; Oct. 20, 2017). It was given 18 months to sell the stake.

Rio’s interest in the stake was first reported last November, and was believed to be largely driven by the Chilean company’s lithium assets (GM Nov. 10, 2017). Lithium is a key element used in electric car batteries. But, according to Bloomberg sources, Rio is pursuing other routes to capitalize on the electric-car boom, including studying development of a lithium project in Serbia. Other potential bidders for the Nutrien stake in SQM reportedly include Chinese firms Tianqi Lithium and Ningbo Shanshan Resources, and investment fund GSR Capital (GM Dec.1, 2017).

Most Analysts Tilt Toward Nutrien; One Cites FBN, Potash Challenges

Wall Street analysts have been weighing in on the new Nutrien Ltd., the merged Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. and Agrium Inc., with some 10 giving the company a buy, 6 holds and only 1 with a sell, according to Bloomberg’s analysis. Forward share forecasts range from $50 to $68. The stock began trading Jan. 2 at $52.60 and closed Jan. 11 at $53.25.

The one naysayer was Bank of America analyst Steve Byrne, with an underperform and sell, with expectations of $50 per share, according to Bloomberg. He thinks Nutrien’s Retail segment will contribute a low-teens EV/EBITDA, citing the rapid expansion of new entrant Farmers Business Network (FBN). He also believes the Potash segment will suffer due to loosening supply/demand balance through 2020 and lower prices. However, he believes the stock could see several sources of upsides in medium-term from capital deployment, synergies and a rally in nitrogen prices.

Nutrien opted not to respond to Byrne’s assessments last week.

A Sirius Buyout of ICL’s Boulby Assets Not Under Discussion, Sources Say

Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL) and the U.K.’s Sirius Minerals plc are not engaged in any talks about a potential buyout of ICL’s Boulby assets in northeast England, according to Israeli sources speaking with Green Markets this week. Junior firm Sirius is developing a polyhalite mine just 12 miles from the ICL Boulby operation. Last week, ICL UK subsidiary Cleveland Potash Ltd. announced the transition timescale for its plans to cease potash production at Boulby and mine only polyhalite (marketed as polysulfate) and salt at the site (GM Jan. 5, p. 23). Potash production is proposed to cease by the end of June this year.

Reports of ICL and Sirius in talks over a potential multi-million buyout of Boulby were circulating in the Israeli financial press last autumn (GM Sept. 15, 2017). ICL, which has been selling off assets in the past few years as part of its strategy to reduce debt, said at the time that “it was studying various options, including cooperation and the sale or purchase of companies.”

In response to inquiries this week as to whether any talks between the two companies were ongoing, a spokesperson for Sirius told GM the firm never comments on market rumors. “If Sirius chose to depart from its current stated strategy, then we would be obliged to make a stock market announcement in the first instance,” he said.

Buying the Boulby assets would provide Sirius with earlier production and cash flows than otherwise; first production at Sirius’ Woodsmith mine is targeted for 2021. But it would mean taking on the added operational risks of Boulby’s generally aged infrastructure, according to comments made by the U.K.-based investment group Shore Capital last autumn. The investment group wasn’t keen on Sirius buying the ICL assets. It said the sale price would need to be “really compelling,” with the Israeli company retaining responsibility for any historical liabilities.

That said, it is still thought that some form of cooperation between ICL UK and Sirius could be possible.

IPL Loses AN Contract with Roy Hill

On the heels of losing a major contract with BHP Iron Ore in 2019 (GM Dec. 8, 2017), Incitec Pivot Ltd., Southbank, Victoria, reported on Jan. 11 that it has been notified that its current contract with Roy Hill Iron Ore (Roy Hill) will expire on Feb. 9, 2018. IPL will cease to be Roy Hill’s contracted supplier of explosives products and services.

Regarding IPL’s contractual commitments with its third-party supplier of AN prill in Western Australia, in addition to the amounts announced on Dec. 6 per BHP, the loss of the Roy Hill contract is currently estimated to have a one-off impact on Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) of approximately A$5 million in FY18, $16 million in FY19, $22 million in FY20, $18 million in FY21, and $20 million in FY22, with minimal impact beyond FY22. These NPAT impacts may be able to be mitigated to some extent by new commercial arrangements.

Orica Ltd., East Melbourne, disclosed in December (GM Dec. 22, 2017) that it secured a new contract with BHP for the supply of AN from the new 330,000 mt/y Burrup AN plant in the Pilbara region of Western Australia beginning in Dec. 2019.

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