U.S. Gulf: Granular prompt barge prices spiked last week, quickly running up from the $350s/st FOB to the $380s/st FOB. Sources gave different explanations, with some citing good demand and limited supplies from Texas and the Southern Plains.
Another was that imports are off from last year. July-November urea imports were off 28 percent to 2.44 million st, down from the year-ago 3.4 million st. November imports were off 35 percent, to 494,142 st from 761,960 st.
Sources said that importers, plagued by lingering sub-$300/st FOB prices back in the fall, had no incentive to bring in additional imports. As a result, supplies are tighter than some had thought. The quantity of urea imports has been particularly pivotal the past two years – too high in 2013, too low in 2012 – with a significant impact on pricing each year. While corn acreage is expected to be down slightly in 2014, anything over 90 million acres of corn is a good year for fertilizer movement.
With granular prices running up, sellers tried the same for prills. However, the last heard was at only $345/st FOB.
Eastern Cornbelt: Granular urea pricing FOB Cincinnati, Ohio, had reportedly firmed from $390/st to $410/st FOB as the week advanced, while sources tagged the Burns Harbor, Ind., market at $425/st FOB for spring prepay. The East Liverpool, Ohio, market was quoted at $420/st FOB.
Prepay business was described by one regional contact as “pretty decent,” but he noted that many continued to hold back on booking tons for the spring planting season. “Some will be surprised by the difference in price if they continue to wait,” he said.
Western Cornbelt: Granular urea pricing was moving up as the week advanced, with sources quoting the dealer market at $400-$410/st FOB in Iowa and Missouri for prompt tons and $410-$420/st FOB for prepay, depending on location. Those levels reflected a $25-$35/st increase from the previous week.
Northern Plains: Sources reported some year-end fertilizer sales to farmers and dealers, but the pace was slow. “A lot of farmers are still deciding what to put in with the low prices going forward,” said one Dakota contact. “So some dealers are slow on putting in urea. That may come back to hurt, as we hear tons are short in western North Dakota and eastern Montana.”
The granular urea market FOB the Twin Cities had reportedly firmed to $400/st FOB for prompt and $410/st FOB for prepay, up some $25-$30/st from mid-December pricing levels. Urea pricing was also up considerably in the Dakotas; sources pegged the prompt market at $437-$450/st FOB or DEL, with prepay reported in a broad range at $447-$495/st FOB or DEL.
Great Lakes: Granular urea pricing in the Great Lakes region was up considerably from last report. Sources quoted the prompt market at $405-$425/st FOB in the region, with the low reported out of Courtright. Spring prepay urea was $10/st higher than the prompt market.
Northeast: Granular urea pricing in the Northeast was up a full $30-$40/st from last report. Sources tagged the regional market at $410-$420/st FOB, with the upper end reported out of the East Liverpool, Ohio, market as the week advanced. Urea pricing FOB Savannah, Ga., was up as well, to $390/st FOB from mid-December pricing at the $360/st FOB level.
The Northeast was slowly warming up last week after record-setting cold settled over the region during the first days of 2014. The polar vortex also brought heavy snow to some locations, with some coastal areas of New England reporting up to two feet of new snow.
The cold front dropped temperatures to the low single digits in Boston and New York early in the week, with wind chills dipping to well below zero. Business