K+S Group, Kassel, posted a 27 percent increase in first-quarter EBITDA, to €126.0 million (approximately $152.5 million at current exchange rates) on revenues of €733.3 million, up from the year-ago €99.3 million and €647.0 million, respectively.
Revenues increased 13 percent. The company cited higher sales volumes in both of its customer segments (Agriculture and the recently-created the Industry+) (GM April 23, p. 34), particularly of de-icing salt, which it said more than offset negative currency effects, as well as lower average revenues in the Agriculture customer segment.
Both
EBITDA and revenue exceeded the average analyst estimates, according to a Bloomberg report. The average estimate
for EBITDA was €112.9 million (range €82.6 million to €130.0 million), while
the revenue average estimate was €693.3 million (range €610.0 million to €730.0
million).
Adjusted
group earnings after taxes from continuing operations for the first quarter
were €229.3 million, strongly improved on the year-ago after-tax loss of $40.5
million. The company cited the increase in EBITDA, as well as a €180 million
write-up in the quarter of the valuation of its potash assets because of a
reversal of impairment losses due to higher potash price assumptions. First-quarter
adjusted earnings per share was €1.20 versus the year-ago €-0.21.
K+S has
raised its full-year 2021 EBITDA guidance to between €500 million and €600
million, up from the previous forecast of €440 million to €540 million (FY2019:
€267 million). The company cited “the rapid recovery” in overseas
potassium chloride prices already seen in the first quarter and “the
assumption of an improved early fills business with de-icing salt,” as
well as its measures to significantly streamline its administration as behind
the guidance boost.
The guidance continues to include the one-off gain of around €200 million generated by the closing of the REKS joint waste management venture. K+S reached a deal last December with Remex GmbH to bundle their respective waste management activities into a new joint venture, in which both companies are equal partners with 50 percent each (GM Dec. 31, 2020). The closing is expected this summer, but still remains dependent upon E.U. anti-trust authorities’ approval.
The new
guidance has beat the average analyst estimate of €466.9 million, according to
a Bloomberg report (range €306.0
million to €584.0 million, Bloomberg Consensus).
K+S
completed the closing of the sale of its Americas operating unit to the U.S.-based
Stone Canyon Industries Holdings LLC (SCIH), Mark Demetree and partners on
April 30 (GM May 7, p. 44). K+S said
it will use the entire net proceeds of the sale equivalent to around €2.6
billion to successively reduce company debt.
With
the completion of the sale of the Americas operating unit, which comprised K+S’
Americas salt business, the company said it has implemented the most important
component of the package of measures announced in December 2019 (GM Dec. 13, 2019), and that it is an
important milestone in its planned reduction of its debt.
K+S’ net financial liabilities as of March 31, 2021, stood
at €3.185 billion. As of March 31, 2021, the company’s debt-to-EBITDA ratio
stood at 7.2x, unchanged from the 7.2x as of Dec. 31, 2020, and
versus 5.1x as of March 31, 2020.
Agriculture Customer Segment
|
|
1Q-2021
|
1Q-2020
|
% change
|
|
Revenues € million
|
469.0
|
453.7
|
+3
|
|
Europe
€ million
|
250.6
|
263.6
|
(5)
|
|
Overseas
US$
|
263.1
|
209.7
|
+25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues € million
|
469.0
|
453.7
|
+3
|
|
Potassium
chloride
|
252.5
|
245.9
|
+3
|
|
Fertilizer
specialties
|
216.5
|
207.8
|
+4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales volumes million mt
|
2.01
|
1.90
|
+6
|
|
Europe
|
0.97
|
0.93
|
+4
|
|
Overseas
|
1.04
|
0.97
|
+7
|
|
Potassium
chloride
|
1.24
|
1.22
|
+2
|
|
Fertilizer
specialties
|
0.77
|
0.68
|
+14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average price €/mt
|
233.3
|
239.2
|
(2)
|
|
Europe
€/mt
|
258.4
|
283.8
|
(9)
|
|
Overseas
US$/mt
|
253.0
|
216.6
|
+17
|
Agriculture
customer segment revenues in the first quarter were up 3 percent, at €469.0
million versus the year-ago €453.7 million. The division’s sales volumes rose 6
percent to 2.01 million mt, up from the year-ago 1.9 million mt.
The
company said the higher sales volumes more than offset negative currency
effects and slightly lower average selling prices.
K+S
highlighted the continued favorable demand for potash being observed in all
regions relevant to the company. It said the further rises in potassium
chloride prices since the beginning of 2021, especially overseas, should have
an increasingly positive impact on the company’s product portfolio, which
should also positively impact revenues and EBITDA over the next few quarters.
The
company said Agriculture’s lower average European price for the first quarter
compared with the same prior-year quarter reflected the product mix.
Going
forward, the company said higher freight rates and energy prices could be more
than offset by strict cost discipline and positive effect from currency
hedging.
K+S CFO
Thorsten Boeckers told analysts at a company first-quarter earnings call on May
11 that the company sees roughly €40 million higher freight cost in total in 2021
compared with last year. The CFO confirmed the company does have some mid-term
freight contracts, which offer protection from rising freight costs.
The
company’s energy costs this year are expected to be €20 million higher than in
2020.
The
company sees global potash sales volumes this year reaching a record level of
about 74 to 76 million mt (including just under 5 million mt of potassium
sulfate and potash types with lower mineral contents). This is up from the
company’s previous forecast of 72 million to 73 million mt. The company put
2020 global sales volumes at “a good” 74 million mt.
“We
see most of the higher market development and demand coming mostly from MOP,
mostly from South America and Asia,” K+S Chairman Burkhard Lohr told
analysts.
K+S
said it expects demand for fertilizer specialty potassium sulfate to increase
slightly this year.
In
terms of pricing, the company expects “a significantly higher”
average overseas price for potassium chloride for 2021 compared to last year.
For fertilizer specialties, it continues to expect a stable price level overall
on average for the year.
K+S
sees Agriculture customer segment sales volumes for full-year 2021 at >7.5
million mt (FY2020: 7.3 million mt).
Responding
to an analyst’s question about Bethune volumes into North America, Boeckers
said the company of course is trying to optimize values for product from the
Bethune potash operation in Saskatchewan.
“That
means we ship whatever we can to areas with high netbacks, whilst respecting
our customer relationships,” he said.
“Granulation
capacity at Bethune is still in ramp-up and we already are shipping all we
have, including to the Brazilian market. We will double the volume into the
U.S. this year, coming from close to 100,000 mt in 2020, and will end 2021 with
a volume something slightly more than 200,000 mt. That’s the maximum we can do
for the time being,” said the CFO.
The 200,000 mt volume expectation is a step-up from the 150,000 mt expectation in March (GM March 12, p. 28). Lohr said at a company’s FY2020 earnings call in March K+S already had used up all the options that it has onsite at Bethune to increase granular production compared to standard production, adding that a limiting factor for shipping to the U.S. market from the site is logistics.
Bethune
produced almost 2 million mt of potash last year for the first time. K+S said
this week it expects the operation to achieve breakeven on an EBIT basis this
year.
First-quarter
revenues for the Industry+ customer segment increased 38 percent on the year to
€264.3 million, up from €191.9 million, boosted by the above-average de-icing
salt business, which continued over the Easter holidays.
Sales
volumes of de-icing salt totaled 1.35 million mt versus the prior-year 0.21
million mt, while total Industry+ sales volumes were 2.43 million mt, up from
1.30 million mt a year ago.
Sales
volumes of products for chemical and industrial applications increased in the
first quarter compared with the year earlier, but sales volumes for products
for the pharmaceutical and food industries declined due to covid-19-related
lower demand in the quarter.
K+S
sees full-year de-icing salt volumes at >2.6 million mt (FY2020:0.9 million
mt, but normal year volumes are typically 2-2.25 million mt).
Due to the divestment of the Americas operating unit , K+S has combined the business of its Communities and Consumers business segments into its Industry+ business segment given the ensuing reduction in the Communities and Consumers segments’ business.