Russia Sets Jan.-May Fertilizer Export Quota

The Russian government, as anticipated, has extended the quota for exports of mineral fertilizers to May 31, 2023, Tass reported on Dec. 21, citing the Russian Cabinet on its website.

The total volume of the export quota to be affected from Jan. 1 to May 31 will be “slightly more than 11.8 million mt.”

According to the decree, as cited by the report, the quota of 5.87 million mt is set for certain nitrogen fertilizers and 4.9 million mt for NPK fertilizers from Jan. 1 to May 31.

The quota for ammonium nitrate (AN) is set as 225,000 mt from Jan. 1 to March 31, and 828,000 mt from April 1 to May 31.

The quotas apply to fertilizer exports outside of the Eurasian Economic Union and do not apply to transit. The government said its decision is aimed at maintaining sufficient fertilizer supply on the domestic market.

Reports had been circulating last month that Russia planned to extend the export quotas through to May 31 (GM Nov. 25, p. 28).

Russia first introduced quotas for the export of nitrogen and complex fertilizers on Dec. 1, 2021 (GM Nov. 5, 2021). They were due to expire on May 31, 2022, but the government on May 31 extended the quotas (GM June 3, p. 1). The new export quotas were to be in effect between July 1 and Dec. 31, 2022. For the month of June, producers were able to export these fertilizer products without limits.

In November, Russia decided to raise export quotas for urea, AN, and UAN to the end of this year “to allow the country to maintain the volume of nitrogen fertilizer production and prevent overstocking at warehouses, but with only the tons not needed on the home market going for export,” according to the report, citing Russia’s Deputy Industry and Trade Minister Mikhail Ivanov.

Quotas were raised to the end of 2022 by 400,000 mt for urea, 200,000 mt for AN, and 150,000 mt for UAN, as per a decision by a ministry subcommittee, according to an Interfax report on Nov. 21, citing the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

The quotas, which had been set originally to run between July 1 and Dec. 31, were slightly more than 8.3 million mt for nitrogen fertilizers and 5.95 million mt for complex fertilizers.

EU Ninth Sanctions Package Exempts Potash and Phosphate Rock from New Mining Investment Ban

The European Union’s (EU) ninth sanctions package on Russia, agreed by the bloc’s ambassadors on Dec. 15 (GM Dec. 16, p. 1), included a prohibition on new investments in the Russian mining sector (GM Dec. 9, p. 1), as well as an extension of the already existing prohibition targeting new investments in the Russian energy sector.

However, the new regulation provides for an exemption of the prohibition for mining and quarrying activities related to certain critical raw materials, including mineral fertilizers, potash, and phosphate rock.

Other critical raw materials that are exempt include aluminium (including bauxite), chromium, cobalt, copper, iron ore, molybdenum, nickel, palladium, rhodium, scandium, titanium, vanadium, certain heavy rare earths, and certain light rare earths.

Petrobras Ends Sale Procedure for ANSA Nitrogen Unit; Likely to Resume Fertilizer Investments, Says Report

Brazilian state-owned oil and gas major Petróleo Brasileiro SA (Petrobras) has approved the end of the competitive procedure for its latest attempt to sell its wholly-owned nitrogen fertilizer plant, Araucãria Nitrogenados, known as ANSA, in the southern Brazilian state of Paraná, the company said in a Dec. 19 statement. The sale, according to the statement, was in the binding phase.

Brazil’s Valor Econômico on Dec. 19 reported that Norwegian crop nutrition major Yara International ASA had given up on buying the ANSA unit, a deal that came near to being closed earlier this year for around $50 million, according to the newspaper report.

Yara’s bid for the nitrogen fertilizer assets was unanimously rejected in August by the Petrobras Board of Directors after talks between the two companies for more than a year over the sale of ANSA, according to a Bloomberg report, citing people familiar with the matter (GM Aug. 5, p. 36).

However, Yara was reported to have remained interested in the plant, with an Aug. 19 vote for a new Petrobras Board thought to have re-opened the door to approval.

Russian fertilizer group EuroChem Group AG and Brazil steel and iron ore producer Cia Siderugica Nacional SA (CSN) had also shown interest in the ANSA assets, according to the August Bloomberg report, citing people familiar with the matter.

In its Dec. 19 statement, Petrobras said it will now evaluate its next steps related to the divestment of ANSA.

ANSA has installed daily production capacity of 1,975 mt of urea and 1,303 mt of ammonia, but has been mothballed since early 2020 after a series of losses since being acquired in 2013.

Yara also has been linked as a potential buyer of Petrobras’ other nitrogen fertilizer unit, “Nitrogen Fertilizer Unit-III” (UFN-III), in Três Lagoas, in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul.

Petrobras in September was reported by Reuters to be on the verge of selling the assets to the Norwegian company, a report denied by Petrobras, according to Bloomberg, citing a statement by Petrobras that the information is “untrue” and that the sales process is still in the binding stage and has not reached the stage to receive proposals (GM Sept. 16, p. 30).

According to the Reuters report, Yara would pay less than $100 million for the facility and the deal would be announced within a few weeks.

UFN-III has been under construction since 2011, and at last report was 81% complete. Upon completion, the unit will have a projected urea and ammonia production capacity of 3,600 m/d and 2,200 m/d, respectively. The buyer is expected to complete the plant.

However, according to a banamericas report this week, citing a researcher at Brazilian petroleum research institute Ineep, Henrique Jäger, Petrobras is halting sales of key downstream assets – while moving forward with its upstream divestments – following the election victory of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as the country’s new president at the end of October. Da Silva will resume power on Jan. 1.

His transition team for the energy sector considers it of strategic importance that the state-owned Petrobras remains an integrated upstream-and-downstream company with a major presence in the refining, natural gas, and petrochemical sectors, while also investing in alternative energy sources,

Jäger, according to the report, believes Petrobras will resume investments in the fertilizer sector, likely putting ANSA back into operation with the reconversion to natural gas. Previously, the plant has been operated from asphaltic rock, whose market value has appreciated, making the operation expensive, which led to the plant’s mothballing, he said.

Jäger also thinks Petrobras will probably finish the construction of UFN-III, “if only to recover the investments already made and sell it later,” according to the report.

Petrobras has not commented on this week’s media reports, and Yara has said it does not comment on market rumours.

EU Agrees on Gas Price Cap

After months of wrangling, European Union (EU) energy ministers have struck a deal for a gas price cap, aimed at protecting the bloc’s economies – and citizens – against excessively high gas prices.

Energy ministers meeting in Brussels on Dec. 19 reached a political agreement on a so-called “market correction mechanism” (GM Dec. 16, p. 27; Dec. 9, p. 1; Dec. 2., p. 34).

Under the agreed plan, which will come into force on Feb. 15 and last for one year, the market correction mechanism will be triggered if the month-ahead price on Europe’s main gas trading hub, the TTF in Amsterdam, exceeds €180 (approximately $191 at current exchange rates) per megawatt-hour (MWh) for three working days and the month-ahead price on TTF is €35 higher than a reference price for liquefied natural gas (LNG) on global markets for the same three working days, according to a Council of the EU statement.

Member states agreed that the mechanism will apply to month-ahead, three-months ahead, and a year-ahead derivatives contracts, but the price ceiling will not apply to over-the-counter trades, day-ahead exchanges, and intra-day exchanges.

The price cap is aimed at avoiding the price hikes seen in Europe this past summer when the front-month TTF briefly hit €345 per MWh. Price levels have now eased considerably – closing at €92.195 on Dec. 22 – but remain higher than where they largely were trading in January and much of February this year before Russia invaded Ukraine, at between €71-€80 per MWh.

The price cap agreed has been set well below the European Commission’s original proposed trigger price of €275 per MWh, and was approved by EU countries with a qualified majority, while Hungary opposed and Austria and the Netherlands abstained, Politico reported.

Germany, which had been long opposed to the price cap proposals, finally supported the plan, but only with significant “safeguards” that address the country’s concerns that intervening in the European gas market could drive LNG cargoes away from Europe at a time when the continent – and Germany in particular – is trying to reduce its dependence on Russian gas, according to the report.

Germany has not imported gas from Russia since the leaks – subsequently confirmed to be sabotage – on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 undersea pipelines on Sept. 26 and 27 (GM Sept. 30, p. 1). Russia supplied some 55% of Germany’s natural gas before the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February.

Sharing the concerns of the members countries opposed to price cap, the European Commission included in the new regulation a suspension mechanism if risks to security of energy supply, financial stability, intra-EU gas flows, or risks of increased gas demand are identified.

The market correction mechanism will be suspended, notably if gas demand increases by 15% a month or 10% in two months, LNG imports into the EU decrease significantly, or traded volume on the TTF drops significantly compared to the same period a year ago, according to the EU Council statement.

However, one commentator cited by the Politico report, Simone Tagliapietra, a senior fellow at the Bruegel think tank, said there are so many safeguards that it is difficult to understand fully how the price cap will play out.

German gas industry group Zukunft Gas CEO Timm Kehler, also cited by Politico, described the new regulation as a “political illusion” and one that will not “survive the reality check” given that in a market economy, prices are determined by supply and demand, and not by political decrees.

Others warned that the price cap could hinder efforts to secure gas supplies next year, since Europe will need to buy a lot of gas during the spring and summer to fill up its reserves ahead of next winter.

Thierry Bros. oil and gas analyst, as cited by an Agence France Presse (AFP) report, believes the price cap will have negative consequences since usually supply is guaranteed with high prices. “With low prices, you no longer guarantee anything,” he said.

PhosAgro Expects 5% Production Increase in 2022

PhosAgro late last week confirmed it was on track to achieve a 5% increase in its fertilizer production to more than 10.9 million mt in full-year 2022, and plans to spend more than RUB250 billion (approximately $3.5 billion at current exchange rates) in investment in the next five years, according to a Prime News report, citing a company statement.

The Russian fertilizer company last month upped its fertilizer production forecast for 2022 to 10.9 million mt (GM Nov. 11, p. 28). In August, the group published a production forecast of 10.8 million mt for 2022. PhosAgro Chairman Viktor Cherepov at the time cited “the accumulated dynamics for the output of fertilizers” as driving the higher production forecast.

PhosAgro saw its mineral fertilizer output for the nine months to Sept. 30 increase by 7% year-over-year to 8.06 million mt, up from the previous year 7.55 million mt.

It produced 10.31 million mt of fertilizers in 2021, 3% more than in the previous year (GM Feb. 11, p. 30).

Meanwhile, PhosAgro’s Board of Directors this week approved the company’s draft budget for 2023, approving a total investment of RUB66 billion (approximately $924 million at current exchange rates) for the year, up from 2022’s investment spend of RUB64 billion.

Key projects for next year include bringing the production of phosphate fertilizers at the Volkhov production complex in Russia’s Leningrad region to design capacity. The company launched the first stage of MAP production at the new complex in March 2021 (GM March 12, 2021). PhosAgro under the original project plans was targeting ultimate capacity at the site of some 774,000 mt/y by 2023.

The company detailed other key projects for 2023 as implementing projects for the development of ore and feedstock resources in Kirovsk, as well as facilities for the production of what it described as “high-tech” products in Cherepovets and Balakovo.

PhosAgro plans to spend more than RUB250 billion (approximately $3.5 billion) in investment in five years, according to the Prime News report, citing a company statement.

Fertilizers Europe “Deeply Disappointed” with EU’s ETS/CBAM Compromise

Fertilizers Europe, the Brussels-based European producers’ organization, is “deeply disappointed” with the European Union’s (EU) provisional and conditional agreement reached last week by the bloc’s co-legislators on the Emissions Trading System (ETS), the bloc’s cap-and-trade market for permits, and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). CBAM is designed to put EU companies on an equal footing with competitors outside the bloc with weaker carbon policies.

Fertilizers Europe said the agreement, which it described as “a compromise,” “falls short of providing a consistent and shielding framework for the EU industrial base and for green investments in Europe.”

“As a sector with a strong exporting pillar, we are very disappointed to see no export solution in the final compromise. By adding the review clause on possible exports solutions in 2025-2026, policymakers indeed recognized the associated risks for our exports,” said Fertilizers Europe Director General Jacob Hansen, in a Dec. 19 media statement.

However, green investment decisions, he said, will be made in the immediate future to meet the 2030 climate deadline, therefore an eventual review will be too late to ensure that the industry – attracted with foreign green production subsidies abroad – stays in the EU. Hansen said such approach “aggravates the already challenging competitive position of our sector.”

Fertilizers Europe believes the EU risks losing 12 million mt of premium fertilizer products, with some of the lowest carbon footprint worldwide, exported every year to the detriment of the industry and the environment.

“CBAM needs to be tested to ensure it is an effective measure against carbon leakage. We therefore recognize improvements from the initial proposal on free allocations, but question the decision of EU legislators to start the phase out already at the beginning of the CBAM introduction,” said Hansen.

Fertilizers Europe warned this is likely to impact the value chain and the farmers, and hamper capacity to deploy green investments.

The organization reminded that 50% of all food production is produced thanks to mineral fertilizer, and a robust European fertilizer industry is therefore crucial for Europe’s food security and for its strategic autonomy.

“By withdrawing free allocations already before 2030, the EU policymakers missed an opportunity to establish a framework favorable for green investments that will match the support for industry provided by other global economies,” Hansen concluded.

CBAM targets imports of products in carbon-intensive industries, and is designed to function in parallel with the EU’s ETS to mirror and complement its functioning on imported goods, according to a statement by the Council of the EU. The ETS will gradually replace the existing EU mechanisms to address the risk of carbon leakage, in particular the free allocation of EU ETS allowances.

In addition to fertilizer, the other products and sectors that are initially included within the scope of the new CBAM rules, are iron and steel, cement, aluminium, electricity, and hydrogen, as well as some precursors and a limited number of downstream products. Indirect emissions would also be included in the regulation in what the EU Council said will be “a well-circumscribed manner.”

Under the provisional agreement, CBAM will begin to operate from October 2023 onwards. Initially, a simplified CBAM would apply essentially with reporting obligations only. The aim is to collect data only, according to the EU Council statement.

From then onwards, the full CBAM will kick in. It would be phased in gradually, in parallel to a phasing out of free allowances, once it begins under the revised EU emissions trading system (ETS) for the sectors concerned. The EU Council said this will ensure compatibility of CBAM with international rules on trade.

Importers will eventually need to buy a new type of pollution certificate to reflect discharges in line with prices on the bloc’s ETS. The fee could be at least partially waived if a carbon levy has already been paid in the country where the goods were produced.

The phasing out of free allowances for CBAM sectors still needs to be agreed in the context of the ongoing EU ETS negotiations. In its statement, the EU Council said further work is also required on measures to prevent carbon leakage on exports.

Ensuring full compatibility of CBAM with international obligations of the EU, including in the area of international trade, remains of fundamental importance, the EU Council said.

The financing of the administrative expenses of the European Commission, which will take on many centralized CBAM-related administrative tasks, will need to be decided in according with the annual EU budget procedure, the EU Council said.

The agreement still needs to be unanimously confirmed by ambassadors of the EU member states and by the European Parliaments, and adopted by both institutions before it is final.

K+S Won’t Make Use of Federal Energy Defense Shield

K+S AG, Kassel, said on Dec. 19 its Board of Executive Directors has decided not to make use of the cap on electricity and gas prices as of Jan. 1, 2023, which was approved by the German Bundesrat (upper house of Parliament) on Dec. 16.

The German Parliament approved a cap for industry at €70 (approximately $74 at current exchange rates) per Megawatt-hour (MWh) for gas and €130 ($138) per MWh for electricity. The price breaks are to apply from March 2023.

K+S said it already had secured almost all of its natural gas requirements for the upcoming year in terms of price.

“With an average natural gas price of 5 cents per KWh for the volumes fixed by K+S for 2023 (90% of K+S’ natural gas requirements in Europe), the company has a high degree of predictability regarding energy costs,” the company said, adding that this will preserve its full ability to pay dividends.

K+S said it covers “large quantities” of its electrical requirements from its own production.

Deepak Fertilisers to Demerge Mining Chemicals, Fertilizer Businesses

India’s industrial chemicals and fertilizer manufacturer Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corp. Ltd. (DFPCL) has announced a corporate restructuring plan under which it will demerge its mining chemicals and fertilizers business, the company said in a Dec.15 statement.

The Board of Smartchem Technologies (STL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of DFPCL, in a meeting on Dec. 15 approved a corporate restructuring plan that will help unlock the growth potential of each of the businesses, the company said.

It approved the demerger of the technical grade ammonium nitrate (TAN) business from STL to Deepak Mining Services Private Ltd. (DMSPL, a wholly-owned subsidiary of DFPCL, and the amalgamation of Mahadhan Farm Technologies Private Ltd. (MFTPL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of STL, with STL.

“The proposed corporate restructuring shall considerably help create strong independent business platforms within the larger DFPCL brand umbrella, hence enhancing stakeholders’ value over time,” DFPCL Chairman and Managing Director Sailesh C Mehta said.

“Earlier, DFPCL’s group strategy was primarily focused on production, cost optimization, capacity utilizations, and efficiency improvement,” he said.

Following extensive deliberation to deliver an outward consumer focus, a specified “Transformation Strategy” with the following fundamental drivers has been executed: focus on customized specialty in place of commodity; move from volume focus to value/premium end-user focus; and shift from competition pricing to value pricing, said the chief executive.

“This radical shift in strategy was deemed necessary to significantly improve customer experience, enhance market share, and build a sustainable brand. In terms of growth trajectory and value creation, both TAN and Crop Nutrition businesses have attained a strategic size and relevance to deserve stand-alone corporate identities and focused leadership,” Mehta said.

The draft scheme of demerger remains subject to customary, statutory, and regulatory approvals.

Congress Passes Water Infrastructure Funding Bill; TFI Applauds Cost-Sharing Measure

The US Senate on Dec. 15 approved the “Water Resources Development Act of 2022”(WRDA), which authorizes flood control, navigation, and ecosystem restoration projects for the US Army Corp of Engineers. The biennial legislation comes after months of negotiations to reconcile Senate- and House-passed versions of the legislation.

The bill, which authorizes $37.8 in federal funds for 30 new or modified Corps storm protection, harbor dredging, and other civil-works projects, passed the Senate with a vote of 83-11. The House had approved the bill seven days earlier on a vote of 350-80. The bill now awaits President Biden’s signature, which is expected before Congress adjourns.

The Fertilizer Institute (TFI) on Dec. 19 issued a statement supporting the bill. “Our nation’s transportation infrastructure is critical to agriculture and rural America’s competitive advantage in world markets, and WRDA provides vital support for that network,” said TFI President and CEO Corey Rosenbusch. “WRDA is the foundation for the modernization of our nation’s inland waterways and ports, which are an integral component of the fertilizer distribution system.”

TFI said this year’s WRDA reauthorization makes permanent a cost-share structure for inland waterways projects, where 65% of funding comes from the general treasury and the remaining 35% comes from the Inland Waterways Trust Fund, a fund in the US Treasure that receives revenues from a tax on commercial barge fuel on federally designated waterways.

“Making the cost-share permanent will promote much needed investment for inland navigation projects, as well as provide confidence to industry that much needed maintenance and modernization of our inland waterway system will happen,” Rosenbusch said. “On a ton-mile basis, approximately one-fourth of fertilizer moves on the inland barge system, and these projects are absolutely critical to the safe and efficient distribution of fertilizers.”

TFI also highlighted the need for modernizing the country’s aging water infrastructure, noting a 700% increase in unscheduled work stoppages for repairs to locks and dams. The American Society of Civil Engineers’ 2021 infrastructure report card graded the nation’s inland navigation system a “D+,” adding that shipping delays cost up to $739 per hour for an average tow within the US.

In its annual report, the Waterways Council Inc. said approximately 9,700 tows with 55,000 barges were delayed by an average of 12.23 hours across the entire inland navigation system in 2020, resulting in an estimated cost to the economy of nearly $84 million.

“These delays are not only disastrous for the farmers who receive much of the almost 70 million tons of fertilizer each year via our nation’s waterways, they can also raise the prices of everyday goods and food for consumers,” Rosenbusch said. “The fertilizer industry appreciates the bipartisan work of Congressional leaders that have made modernization of our inland waterways a priority.”

ACE Picks Topsoe for Giant Ammonia Project

Ascension Clean Energy (ACE), which is planning a $7.5 billion, 7.2 million mt/y low carbon ammonia plant in Ascension Parish, La. (GM Nov. 4, p. 1), has selected Danish technology provider Topsoe for its project. ACE will use Topsoe’s integrated hydrogen and ammonia solutions, including SynCOR™ autothermal reforming (ATR) technology. The project expects to achieve up to 98% of carbon capture, with the CO2 permanently sequestered by Denbury Carbon Solutions.

ACE is a joint venture of recent startup Clean Hydrogen Works (CHW), which is the majority shareholder; Denbury Carbon Solutions, a subsidiary of Denbury Inc., the largest CO2 pipeline operator in the US; and Hafnia, a major oil product and chemical tanker company.

The project will be on the West Bank of the Mississippi River and will be on a 1,700-acre site near existing infrastructure, with direct access to the river. The project is expected to create 350 permanent, full-time jobs.

ACE said approximately 75% of the planned ammonia production volume is supported by letters of intent for offtake agreements with high-quality purchasers. Two ammonia blocks are currently projected to start up in a staged approach, with Block 1 production anticipated to commence in 2027.

A final investment decision regarding ACE is expected in 2024.

Disclaimer of Warranty
All information has been obtained by Green Markets from sources believed to be reliable. However, because of the possibility of human or mechanical error by our sources, Green Markets or others, Green Markets does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information.

For additional details visit our Terms of Use.