Nutrien’s Ruralco Deal Receives ACCC Nod; Company Must Divest Three Locations

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) said on Aug. 22 that it will not will not oppose the proposed acquisition of rural services company Ruralco by Nutrien Ltd., Saskatoon, which operates in Australia through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Landmark. However, ACCC said Nutrien is required to divest three rural merchandise stores located in Broome, Western Australia, Alice Springs, Northern Territory, and Hughenden, Queensland, to a purchaser approved by the ACCC (GM Aug. 2, p. 30).

“We are very pleased with today’s decision,” said Nutrien President and CEO Chuck Magro. “We continue to believe the combination of our Landmark operations with Ruralco in Australia will provide significant strategic and financial benefits for all stakeholders. This combination is good for Australian farmers, bringing a greater choice of products, services, and technologies to Ruralco’s customer base and positioning Australian farmers to succeed in an increasingly competitive global marketplace. The transaction is expected to deliver excellent value for both Ruralco and Nutrien shareholders.”

“With this decision from the ACCC, we are one step closer to a combined Ruralco and Landmark, which we believe will create enormous value for Australian farmers,” said Rob Clayton, who heads Landmark. “By leveraging the global reach of Nutrien, our people – who live and work in rural and regional Australia – will deliver enhanced solutions and services, products, and innovation to Australian growers.”

With regulatory approval received from the ACCC, the transaction now requires approval from the Australian Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB). Upon securing the necessary approvals from the FIRB, as well as Ruralco shareholders, the transaction is anticipated to be completed on Sept. 30, 2019.

ACCC said it examined the acquisition very closely, as it combines two of three major retail chains in the rural merchandise market. Combined, Landmark and Ruralco will own 20-25 percent of rural merchandise stores, and will provide wholesale supply to many other sites.

“Ultimately, we decided that the transaction was not likely to substantially lessen competition, as rival rural merchandise retailers and wholesalers will continue to provide strong competition,” ACCC Deputy Chair Mick Keogh said. “The independent sector in rural merchandise is strong, and we considered that it is likely to remain strong, due to the close relationship that independent store owners can build with their local farmer customers.

“Customer relationships and service are more important than branding to many customers in this industry, and this provides greater scope for independent retailers to compete than is the case in some other retail industries,” he added. “While we had competition concerns in Broome, Alice Springs, and Hughenden, these were resolved by the commitment to divest sites in those locations.”

The ACCC also investigated competition impacts that may arise in the provision of wool brokering, livestock agency, insurance, finance, real estate, and water brokering, as well as potential issues that may arise from vertical integration between the retailing and wholesaling of rural merchandise. “Ultimately we decided that there would not be a substantial lessening of competition in any relevant market,” said Keogh.

The ACCC started the review of the proposed acquisition in March 2019 and raised concerns in June (GM June 14, p. 25), seeking submissions from interested parties.

Nutrien said Landmark serves farmers through a national network that services 100,000 clients in over 200 locations. It operates across merchandise, livestock, wool, real estate, insurance, and finance.

Ruralco has around 157 rural merchandise locations nationally, supplying around 244 independent member retailers and employing over 2,000 staff under a variety of brands, according to Nutrien, serving farmers an extensive range of ag supplies through its owned stores and to independent retailers through CRT, Ruralco’s wholesaling business. Ruralco is also a leading distributor of water products, provider of water infrastructure services, and broker of water entitlements to the Australian agricultural sector.

K+S Aktiengesellschaft – Management Brief

K+S Aktiengesellschaft, Kassel, announced on Aug. 22 that Burkhard Lohr, 56, will continue as Chairman of the Board of Executive Directors of the company until June 2025. The membership, which runs until May 31, 2020, was extended by five years in the company’s Supervisory Board meeting on Aug. 22.

At the same time, the current membership of CFO Thorsten Boeckers, 44, which runs until May 11, 2020, was also extended by five years, until May 2025.

K+S said for legal reasons the membership of Mark Roberts, 56, Chief Operating Officer, which runs until the end of September 2020, cannot be extended until autumn of this year.

Yara International ASA – Management Brief

Yara International ASA, Oslo, on Aug. 22 announced organizational and management changes. Pablo Barrera Lopez will assume responsibility for Strategy & Business Development in addition to his current role as Executive Vice President, Supply Chain. Terje M. Tollefsen will take up the position of Newco IPO Lead Senior Vice President, Strategy & Business Development. The changes will take effect immediately.

“These changes represent a natural step in our journey to become a focused crop nutrition company, and will strengthen our execution of the ongoing IPO evaluation,” said Yara International President and CEO Svein Tore Holsether.

As part of a crop nutrition- focused strategy, the company announced in June that it is evaluating an IPO of its industrial nitrogen businesses, which would create the first integrated industrial nitrogen company (GM June 28, p. 1). The conclusion of a final IPO scope is expected in early 2020.

The Yara International ASA Executive Management team now has the following members: Svein Tore Holsether, President and CEO; Tove Andersen, EVP Production; Pablo Barrera Lopez, EVP Strategy and Supply Chain; Lair Hanzen, EVP Yara Brazil; Terje Knutsen, EVP Sales & Marketing; Kristine Ryssdal, EVP General Counsel; Lars Røsæg, EVP CFO; and Lene Trollnes, EVP People & Global Function.

 

Omnia Holdings Ltd. – Management Brief

Omnia Holdings Ltd., Johannesburg, said on Aug. 21 Group Finance Director Seelan Gobalsamy has been named CEO, replacing Adriaan de Lange, who has resigned. de Lange has made himself available to Omnia on an advisory basis.

Omnia said Gobalsamy is a seasoned international business leader who has assumed senior executive roles across emerging markets for close to 20 years at institutions such as Liberty Holdings, STANLIB Ltd., and Old Mutual.

Omnia also said the Board of Directors plans to announce the appointments of additional non-executive directors, as well as a new Group Finance Director, in due course.

“We look forward to continue working with Seelan in his new role as Chief Executive Officer,” said Omnia Chairman Ralph Havenstein. “Since joining Omnia as a non-Executive Director, and subsequently as an Executive Director, he has been instrumental in stabilizing the Omnia Group’s financial position and in bringing a fresh perspective to the business as a whole.

“During his career, Seelan has demonstrated his ability to successfully manage complex businesses through significant periods of challenge and change. He has the full backing of the Board to implement the turnaround plan, which includes stabilizing Omnia’s financial position, addressing the businesses’ performance, and [leading] Omnia on its next growth phase,” said Havenstein.

Salt Lake Potash Ltd. – Management Brief

Junior sulfate of potash (SOP) miner Salt Lake Potash Ltd., Perth, Western Australia, has made new appointments as it develops the Lake Way Project in the Goldfields region in Western Australia.

Shaun Day has been named CFO. The company said he is a Chartered Accountant and experienced CFO with over 20 years of experience in executive and financial positions across mining, investment banking, and international accounting firms. Most recently, he was CFO of Northern Star Resources during a period of significant growth, with the market cap of Northern Star increasing from $700 million to $8 billion. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce from UWA and is a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors.

Rowena Roberts joins as Director – People, Culture, Heritage, and Community. She is responsible for overseeing the human resources, heritage, and community relations functions. She has over 25 years of experience in these areas, and most recently worked at Fortescue Metals Group, the Water Corp., and Sinosteel.

Mark Wilde joins the company as Director – Sales and Marketing. He is an experienced senior sales and marketing executive with more than 30 years of experience working in sales, marketing, business development, and technical functions. Most recently, he was Global Sales Director, Sulfate of Potash (SOP) Business Unit, for Tessenderlo Group. In this role, he was responsible for sales and marketing 500,000 mt/y of SOP predominately in the premium market space, in more than 90 countries. He has a Bachelor of Chemistry from Stockport College of Technology.

Fox River Resources Corp. – Management Brief

Fox River Resources Corp., Toronto, which owns 100 percent of the Martison Phosphate Project near Hearst, Ont., reports that Elizabeth Leonard has been appointed as a new director to the company’s Board of Directors. The company said she is an investment professional with a career spanning over thirty years.

Leonard has extensive experience as a portfolio manager in bonds, equities, options, and structured finance with Royal Trust and the Northern Telecom Pension Fund, and served as Vice President, Investments, and Treasurer of a Canadian Trust Company. She has also acted as Director of Institutional Sales at Sprott Securities and Loewen Ondaatje McCuttcheon.

She has been awarded the CFA designation and has been a Registered Options Principal. Most recently, she has been a Portfolio Manager, Options, with an independent Canadian Investment firm.

Concurrent with her appointment to the Board, Fox River has granted her 500,000 stock options under the company’s stock option plan. The stock options are exercisable at a price of $0.07, and expire in five years.

Fox River obtained the Martison asset in 2016 after previous owner PhosCan Chemical Corp., spun off the asset to Fox River in exchange for shares in Fox River and Petrus Resources Ltd., Calgary.

Skyland, United Prairie Ag to Merge

Skyland Grain LLC, Johnson, Kan., and United Prairie Ag LLC (UPA), Ulysses, Kan., announced on Aug. 19 plans to merge, effective Sept. 1, 2019. The new company will operate as Skyland Grain LLC. David Cron, current CEO of Skyland Grain, will be the CEO of the combined company. Skyland will have their corporate office in Ulysses, with regional administrative offices in Johnson and Cunningham.

The new Skyland will have over 87 million bushels of storage capacity in 36 locations in three states – Kansas, Oklahoma, and Colorado. Sales for the combined company will be in excess of $400 million. Skyland will employ 250 employees with the addition of UPA.

The company told Green Markets that it will have ten full-service agronomy locations: nine in Kansas at Johnson, Syracuse, Big Bow, Lakin, Ulysses, Hugoton, Moscow, Ryus, and Cunningham, and one in Colorado in Walsh. It also has a few seasonal locations.

“The merger of UPA into Skyland Grain is just another way we are connecting our producers to the service they deserve,” said Wade Tucker, Skyland Board Chairman. “We are excited about the talented employees in each company working together to serve our producers and their needs.”

“I believe that this merger is happening at the right time,” said Clifford Alexander, Cropland Co-op Board Chairman. “Both of these companies are good, financially strong institutions, making this a great opportunity for all of our producers.”

UPA was formed in January 2006 and is a joint venture between Cropland Co-op Inc. and ADM Grain Co. It is a full-service agriculture partner, offering grain operations, agronomy products and services, refined fuels, and marketing expertise. UPA operates elevator facilities in nine communities, with a total of 30 million bushels of storage capacity. UPA is also the managing partner for Santa Fe Grain Terminal, a jv with Skyland Grain and ADM.

The legacy Skyland Grain has cooperative roots dating back to 1915 and began operations in 2004 with Johnson Cooperative Grain and ADM Grain Co. as founding parent companies. In 2010, Syracuse Cooperative Exchange also became a part of the jv, followed by The Cairo Cooperative Equity Exchange in 2015.

The three co-ops came together in 2017 to form Skyland Co-op Inc. Skyland brought to the merger grain receiving facilities at 27 locations across Kansas, Oklahoma, and Colorado, with total licensed grain storage capacity of over 56 plus million bushels. Additionally, it has a full-service agronomy department that provides bulk liquid, dry, and anhydrous ammonia fertilizers, chemicals, and seed, as well as custom application for fertilizer and chemicals. Earlier this year, Skyland purchased Mid-America Sprayers in Johnson, Kan., which is now called Skyland Aerial LLC.

Logistics, Capacity, Trade Dominate NAFTF, Fertilizer Canada Conference Agenda

Some 200 industry delegates gathered in Victoria, B.C., on Aug. 19-21 for the North American Fertilizer Transportation Forum (NAFTF) and the 74th Fertilizer Canada annual conference. The two events were held consecutively at the Fairmont Empress Hotel, with attendees enjoying a picturesque setting and beautiful weather for the duration.

The NAFTF featured a post-mortem on the historic 2019 planting season and an analysis of the major issues that continue to plague the rail, truck, and vessel industries, including capacity and labor constraints, historic weather events, and disrupted trade partnerships.

“In the 45 years I’ve been in this industry, I’ve seen nothing like this,” said Tom Torretti of Cooper Consolidated LLC, commenting on the myriad logistics and weather issues that the fertilizer industry faced this spring.

Torretti said the money spent this year on demurrage for stranded vessels was “through the roof” due to historic flooding, restrictions on navigation, an unprecedented number of lock and harbor closures, and ongoing struggles with shoaling and silting. He noted that at one time this spring there were 111 vessels stranded at the U.S. Gulf, waiting for access to the flooded river system.

As a result, he said fully three-and-a-half months of a nine-month navigation season were lost this year. In addition, the industry is now bracing for an extended closure of the Illinois River in 2020 due to lock and dam maintenance. His advice to Illinois River shippers and suppliers was simple: “Get stuff in there before the closures.”

Geoffrey Wood of the Canadian Trucking Alliance (CTA) detailed the critical driver shortage facing the industry, noting that there are currently 20,000 unfilled driving positions and that number is expected to climb to 34,000 by 2024. He said increased access to immigration channels, an accelerated Labor Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) process, and mandatory pre-license training are essential to address this issue.

Wood also commented on Canada’s Electronic Logging Device (ELD) mandate, which goes into effect on June 12, 2021, urging industry participants to “work with compliant carriers” who are “playing by the rules.” He said the tragic Humboldt Broncos accident near Armley, Sask., in April 2018 brought “significant attention to truck safety,” noting that CTA has developed a 10-point action plan to address safety concerns.

Katherine Bamford of the Vancouver Fraser Port Authority joked that “truck hunting” has now become a popular term in the transportation industry, while port terminal capacity expansion has become paramount. Ken O’Hollaren reported that the Port of Portland, Ore., expanded overall capacity from 0.5 million to 3.5 million tons from 1997 to 2018, which included a $140 million bulk potash terminal that was completed last year.

Claus Thornberg also detailed the capacity expansions at Neptune Terminals, a complex in the North Shore trade area of Vancouver that has become one of the largest multi-product bulk terminals in North America. Neptune handles 330 vessels annually, 240 of which are potash. “Terminal improvement is the name of the game,” he said.

Magnus Ankarstrand, President of Yara North America, gave the NAFTF keynote, focusing on three issues impacting farmers and the fertilizer industry: shifting consumer demand, climate change, and trade. He said population growth over the next 20-30 years will be concentrated in Africa and Asia, which he described as “challenging” areas in which to operate.

Although agriculture and fertilizer advances have delivered huge benefits to global food production, Ankarstrand said there is increased scrutiny on the industry’s environmental impact, with agriculture accounting for 70 percent of water use and contributing 24 percent of GHG emissions, three percent of which is from fertilizer.

Ankarstrand said the 4R nutrient stewardship program is “very, very important for the future of our industry,” noting that agriculture is an easy target when pollution becomes highly visible, as it has in Florida, Lake Erie, and India. Citing new ambient air quality directives in Europe with specific ammonia emission reduction targets for 2030, he said Germany will ban straight urea application starting next year, allowing only the use of urease inhibitors.

Ankarstrand also weighed in on global trade issues, which have impacted Canadian canola growers significantly. “Trade used to be influenced by pragmatism and by people who actually knew what they were talking about, but today it is influenced more by referendum and Twitter,” he said, adding that the China trade war and Brexit “could be just the start.”

Referring to Brexit, he said: “I wouldn’t want to be in the shoes of any U.K. farmer, or any other trading partner for that matter.”

Darrell Bricker, CEO of IPSOS Public Affairs, took up the issue of population growth, arguing that the U.N.’s projection for a global population of 11.2 billion by 2100 is “all wrong.” Bricker said declining fertility rates, an aging population, and urbanization – which he referred to as “the single biggest migration in human history” – will all contribute to a global population that peaks at midcentury, and then declines to roughly current levels.

“We will never see a population of 11.2 billion people,” he said.

Garth Whyte, President and CEO of Fertilizer Canada, urged attendees to align around a focused advocacy effort, particularly ahead of the fall elections in Canada, which he said could result in a minority government, giving the balance of power to the Green Party.

Whyte noted Canada’s rankings as 14th in global competitiveness and 25th in global infrastructure, and used Canada’s oil patch and the U.S. coal industry – where capex plunged from $68.6 billion in 2011 to $4.02 billion by 2016 – as examples of industries adopting the wrong message and strategy.

“We have a transportation problem right now, and it’s going in the wrong direction,” he said, noting that as a result of the closure of the Magellan ammonia pipeline this year, total ammonia volumes transported by pipeline will fall from 65 percent to below 50 percent. “We need a clear, concise, non-partisan message,” Whyte said. “If we do that, we won’t end up like the coal industry or the oil patch.”

SQM 2Q Income Off 48 Percent, Lithium Prices Cited; 2H 2019, 2020 Potash Volumes to Increase

SQM Inc., Santiago, reported a 48 percent dip in second-quarter net income to $70.2 million ($0.27 per share) on revenues of $494.1 million from the year-ago $133.9 million ($0.51 per share) and $638.7 million, citing lower lithium prices among other factors.

“The second-quarter results were mainly impacted by lower lithium sale prices, partly compensated by higher lithium sales volumes, lower potassium chloride volumes, and the lack of solar salt sales during the second quarter,” said SQM CEO Ricardo Ramos. “These factors were partially offset by higher iodine prices.

“We have seen lithium supply growing more than demand over the past few quarters, putting pressure on prices,” he said. “We sold higher sales volumes in the second quarter and expect to sell higher volumes in the second half of the year as we prepare for a 30-40 percent increase in sales volumes next year, which will help us recover some of the market share lost in previous years.”

SQM said lithium prices to China were lower due to different quality and grades of product being offered into the market. Ramos also told analysts on Aug. 22 that the company has been selling under short-term contracts, which exposes it to the ups and downs of the market. He said the timing of the Chinese government’s subsidies to the electric vehicle industry may have cut demand by 3,000-4,000 mt, but he sees no lasting effect, and said China is committed to the electric vehicle market.

SQM continues to believe that supply will outpace demand growth during 2019, given that part of the growth expected during the second half could be delayed. It said new supply entering the market will continue to have an impact on prices, and it believes that the average realized price in the third quarter could reach $10,000 mt.

“We are expecting higher sales volumes in the potassium chloride business line this year than previously anticipated, reaching close to 600,000 mt; this implies significantly higher sales volumes during the second half of the year,” he added. “Additionally, our sales volumes could grow in the future as we get back to the brine extraction levels that we had at the beginning of last year.”

Ramos told analysts that the 600,000 mt for the year would be a 20 percent increase over earlier expectations. He said potash production could go to 1 million in 2020 and more in 2021, noting that the company used to sell 1.3-1.5 million mt/y.

“We still expect the solar salt sales volumes this year of between 45,000 and 50,000 mt, while for the upcoming years these volumes should grow significantly as we will be supplying a major project in the Middle East that will require approximately 400,000 mt of product between 2020 and 2022,” he said. “The margins in the iodine business line are becoming more attractive, as prices are up almost 20 percent when compared to last year. We expect prices to continue on this upward trend as the market remains tight.”

In the company’s Potassium Chloride/Potassium Sulfate segment, second-quarter revenues were off 49 percent and volumes 60 percent from year-ago levels. Revenues were $44.4 million, down from $87.6 million, with volumes at 116,500 mt, down from 290,100 mt. The company said average prices for the quarter surpassed $381/mt, an increase of approximately 26 percent over the year-ago period. However, given higher inventories in China and changes in product mix, SQM said its average price could be lower in the second-half than the first-half.

Specialty Plant Nutrition (SPN) revenues were off 11 percent in the second quarter, to $199.3 million from the year-ago $224.6 million. Volumes were down 10 percent, to 279,700 mt from 309,600 mt. The unit’s major seller, potassium nitrate-based products, saw a 13 percent drop, to 183,500 mt from 211,100 mt.

Overall, SQM said SPN prices and sales volumes decreased as a result of increased supply from major competitors. Still, the company believes that the potassium nitrate market will grow 4 percent in 2019.

Second-quarter Lithium revenues were down 25 percent, to $138.5 million from the year-ago $183.9 million, while volumes were up 9 percent, to 12,100 mt from 11,100 mt.

Six-month net income was off 39 percent, to $150.7 million ($0.57 per share) on revenues of $998.4 million from the year-ago $247.7 million ($0.94 per share) and $1.16 billion, respectively.

Six-month Potassium Chloride/Potassium Sulfate volumes were off 47 percent, to 241,000 mt from the year-ago 453,100 mt. Revenues were down 37 percent, to $88.5 million from $139.9 million.

Six-month SPN revenues were off 7 percent, to $383.3 million from the year-ago $412.4 million. Volumes were down 4 percent, to 535,500 mt from 556,100 mt. Potassium nitrate-based volumes were off 7 percent, to 349,400 mt from 374,300 mt.

Six-month Lithium revenues were down 16 percent, to $293.6 million from the year-ago $348.2 million, while volumes were up 8 percent, to 22,800 mt from 21,000 mt.

BHP Sees Long-Term Potash Appeal, Near-Term Slowing Momentum

BHP Ltd. CEO Andrew Mackenzie this week reiterated that potash continues to have long-term appeal for the mining group, and believes, in the long term, the crop nutrient stands to benefit from “the intersection of a number of global megatrends,” namely, rising population, changing diets, and the needs for the sustainable intensification of agriculture, and which “are likely to drive demand for fertilizers for decades to come.”

But in the nearer term, however, BHP now sees slowing momentum for the crop nutrient. In its latest Economic and Commodity Outlook accompanying the publication this week of its best-in-five-years annual results, the group noted that potash prices have lost some momentum, “having been on a slow – but steady – rally since mid-calendar year 2016.” It noted demand for the crop nutrient in calendar year 2019 is facing some headwinds.

The group is staying with its earlier trend demand growth forecast of 1.5-2.0 million mt/y, representing growth of between 2 and 3 percent per annum through the 2020s (GM Feb 22, p. 1), and reiterated that the need for new supply to be induced will only arise once both the spare capacity held by incumbents and capacity additions that are under construction have been absorbed by the market.

Back in February, reporting its interim results, BHP was hopeful of potash demand exceeding available supply from existing and forthcoming capacity by the mid-to-late 2020s, although it emphasized that it had no fixed timeline to take a decision on green-lighting further investment in its Jansen potash project in Saskatchewan (GM Feb. 22, p. 1).

This week, the group in fact included a low case view for potash in its Economic and Commodity Outlook.

“Our low case for potash is predicated on all presently latent capacity returning to the market at disruptive speed; considerable brownfield and greenfield additions coming to market; a low-case macro environment curbing both opex and capex costs; ‘cheap’ currencies in major producer jurisdictions; a five percentage lift in crop residue recycling; minimal dietary change and crop mix; and a similar end-state for soil K mining to what is being observed today,” BHP wrote in this week’s Outlook report.

“All of which serves to delay market balance and the onset of inducement pricing to well beyond the 2020s,” it said.

BHP so far has committed US$2.7 billion to the current investment program at Jansen, and has yet to sanction any further investment in the project. Work under the current investment program to complete the production and service shafts at the mine, as well as the installation of essential surface infrastructure and utilities at the site, is around 84 percent complete (GM July 19, p. 27). The final shaft lining is currently being installed in the two shafts, and BHP this week said it expects this to be completed by early calendar year 2021.

A feasibility study assessing a potential stage 1 construction to provide a potential initial capacity of 4.3-4.5 million mt/y of potassium chloride is underway (GM May 17, p. 1; May 24, p. 1), which the group said this week will be finalized in parallel with the completion of the final lining of the shafts at Jansen. If it were to go ahead, BHP said stage 1 would take less than five years from sanctioning to commissioning, and around two years from first production to ramp-up. It put the required capex at between US$5.3 to $5.7 billion.

But earlier this year, the company admitted to investors and analysts that it has over-invested in the potash project (GM May 17, p. 1).

In this week’s results report, BHP said it has maintained its capital and exploration expenditure guidance for the new fiscal year (FY2020), which started July 1, at below US$8 billion, up from US$7.6 billion in FY2019. For FY2021, it currently expects capital and exploration expenditure to be approximately US$8 billion.

At an Aug. 20 earnings call, BHP CFO Peter Beaven, responding to an analyst’s question, said the FY2021 capex figure “does include an assumption that we continue with the Jansen project,” but he added it is a provisional amount that is included for Jansen and the figure is “a relatively small spend.”

“We will have to wait and see where we get to on the approval of Jansen, so it is part of the possibilities [in that capex],” Beaven said.

According to CEO Mackenzie, Jansen and the Olympic Dam copper-gold-uranium mine expansion in South Australia would account for less than US$500 million of the expected FY2021 capex.

Mackenzie added that the full Jansen project is “relatively back-end loaded in terms of costs, which gives us some flexibility.”

Responding to an analyst’s question whether BHP would go above its US$8 billion capex guidance if Jansen stage 1 got approved, Mackenzie said the expected US$5 billion round-figure cost would be spread out over at least as many years [five], “and probably in any one year, BHP wouldn’t anticipate spending more than US$1 billion”.

The CEO reiterated that, as with all of BHP’s other capital projects, Jansen will have to pass through the group’s capital allocation framework tests to get sanctioned (GM Feb 22, p. 1).

BHP spent US$174 million on Jansen in FY2019, down from US$205 million in the previous year.

The group on Aug. 20 reported its biggest annual profit in five years, record full-year dividends on higher iron ore prices, and record output in some of its business segments.

The mining group reported a 2 percent rise to US$9.12 billion in underlying attributable profit for the year to June 30, up from the year-ago US$8.93 billion, and will pay out a US.$0.78 per share dividend, or a total of $3.9 billion to investors, in addition to the $17 billion already announced for the FY2019 fiscal year. It attributed the bumper profits as being fueled by higher iron ore prices and record output in some of the group’s business segments. Both profit and dividends slightly missed analysts’ expectations.

The group took a new US$1.1 billion after-tax charge related to the November 2015 tailings dam failure at its Samarco iron-ore joint venture in Brazil (GM Nov. 23, 2015), and a US$240 million after-tax gain related to global taxation matters resolved in the first half of the fiscal year.

Going forward, BHP warned of global economic headwinds that could hit demand for its key commodities, iron ore and copper.

Mackenzie reminded investors and analysts that the iron ore cost curve would likely be flattened by further development of West African iron ore production or the cooling of the steel industry in China, as well as more recycling in China not immediately replaced by similar growth in India – which would take BHP into “price territories where it would be a much less attractive business than it is today.

“Which,” he said, “is why BHP creates the options we have in potash, nickel, copper and oil, and gas.”

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