The Panama Canal is lifting restrictions that caused a global shipping bottleneck as water levels normalize after a severe drought (GM Aug. 25, 2023), Bloomberg reported on Aug. 27.
The
Panama Canal Authority (PCA) increased the draft in the waterway to a maximum
50 feet and will allow 36 vessels a day to transit after recent rains lifted
water levels at an artificial lake that forms part of the canal system, PCA Administrator
Ricaurte Vasquez told reporters on Aug. 26. The agency expects rains to
continue through November, further lifting water levels, he said.
The
canal handles about 3% of global maritime trade volumes under normal
circumstances, and 46% of containers moving from Northeast Asia to the US East
Coast. The channel is Panama’s biggest source of revenue, bringing in nearly $5
billion last year.
About 30-32 vessels are
currently transiting the waterway, below pre-drought capacity. The canal
restricted daily transits to as few as 24 at the height of the drought (GM
Nov. 23, 2023). Vasquez said it will take 5-6 months for shippers to return in
full. Rainfall is expected to lift Lake Gatun’s water levels to 88 feet by
November from current levels of around 85.8 feet, he said.
Last year’s El Niño
caused a significant drop in rainfall and forced the canal to implement daily
transit restrictions for the first time in history. The PCA even held auctions
in which shippers could bid for transit slots. Some shippers, especially
time-sensitive vessels carrying liquefied natural gas and liquefied petroleum
gas, opted for alternative routes.
Recently,
vessels have been arriving at the canal with larger cargo volumes, allowing the
authority to cut water usage while keeping tonnage stable, Vasquez said. He
said the PCA will work with shippers to ensure ships arrive at the canal with
the maximum cargo possible.
The
agency may need to implement seasonal draft restrictions during the 2025 dry
season, which is typically in the first half of the year, but will seek to
avoid using daily transit restrictions, he noted.
The canal is studying
the possibility of opening up long-term reservation slots for more
time-sensitive users such as LNG and LPG shippers to guarantee greater
certainty and help vessels reach destinations without delay, Vasquez said. He
said the PCA will meet with LNG and LPG market participants in September to
discuss the proposal.
The
PCA expects another El Niño-driven drought within the next four years, Vasquez
said. The weather phenomenon reduces rainfall over the Panama watershed and
decreases water levels at Lake Gatun, the main source of water for the canal
and a source of drinking water for about half of the country’s population. The
canal isn’t expecting to have new infrastructure before the next major drought,
he said.
The
PCA is studying building a dam on Rio Indio about 40 miles west of Panama City
to boost its water supply, and is currently in talks with community members
there who would have to be relocated. Vasquez said these conversations will
likely take 18-24 months. If the project moves forward, construction would
require an additional four years and cost roughly $2 billion.