PhosAgro, Moscow, reported its fourth-quarter fertilizer and feed phosphates production was up by close to 2 percent, while sales decreased by some 2 percent year-on-year. Full-year 2018 fertilizer and feed phosphate production and sales rose 8 percent and 9 percent, respectively.
Fourth-quarter fertilizer and feed phosphate sales amounted to 1.96 million mt, down from the year-ago 2.01 million mt. Nitrogen-based sales grew 15 percent to 470,400 mt, up from 410,700 mt, while phosphate-based sales and MCP were 7 percent lower at 1.49 million mt, down from the year-ago 1.60 million mt. Fourth-quarter fertilizer and feed phosphate production totaled 2.29 million mt, up from 2.25 million mt.
Full-year 2018 fertilizer and feed phosphate sales increased to 8.83 million mt, up from 8.10 million mt. Nitrogen-based sales grew by 36 percent to 2.20 million mt, up from 1.62 million mt. Phosphate-based sales and MCP were some 2 percent higher at 6.63 million mt, against the year-ago 6.48 million mt. Twelve-months fertilizer and feed phosphate output increased to 8.98 million mt, up from 8.34 million mt.
“We achieved our ambitious production guidance of 9 million mt for the year,” said PhosAgro CEO Andrey Guryev. “And we plan to increase further the production of fertilizers by up to 5 percent in 2019. Thanks to our sales strategy that aims to be ‘closer to our customer,’ PhosAgro made further progress on widening its direct access to priority markets, bolstering sales by 9 percent year-on-year,” he said.
The CEO also highlighted that after the first full year of operations at the group’s new 760,000 mt/y capacity ammonia plant at Cherepovets, that production site is now fully self-sufficient in ammonia feedstock, which he said has “solidified PhosAgro’s leadership position on the industry cash cost curve.” However, group-wide ammonia production was down 8 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, at 465,000 mt against the year-earlier 503,400 mt, due to scheduled maintenance work.
Guryev noted that the increase in fourth-quarter production of phosphate-based products was primarily driven by a 24 percent year-on-year rise in MAP production, which, he said, was made possible by the modernization of midstream capacities – both phosphoric and sulfuric acid – at Balakovo. In the upstream sector, fourth-quarter phosphate rock output grew 7 percent to 2.6 million mt, boosted by the completion of the modernization program at beneficiation plant number 3. Full-year output reached 10.07 million mt. Last year saw underground mining account for 80 percent of all mining work, and had a positive impact on the group’s phosphate rock cash cost, the CEO said. He noted that underground mining is nearly two times cheaper than open-pit mining.
In 2018, the group’s fertilizer sales to North America showed the strongest growth, with sales up 78 percent year-on-year to 1.1 million mt, which the group attributed to a deficit of phosphates following the closure of capacities in Florida.
Fertilizer shipments to Latin America grew 24 percent year-over year to 2.0 million mt, boosted by strong sales of nitrogen-based products (up by 59 percent) directly to end-customers.
European fertilizer sales rose by 11 percent to 2.1 million mt, which Guryev attributed to the group’s strategic approach “to move deeper into the distribution chain” and “expand PhosAgro’s on-the-ground presence with new local offices.” Fertilizer volumes sold to Russia, which the group describes as “its priority domestic market,” were up 5 percent in 2018 from a year ago, at 2.4 million mt.
Looking ahead to 2019 market conditions, the CEO noted that the fertilizer industry traditionally starts the new year with the off-season slowdown putting pressure on prices. Furthermore, he believes that prices for phosphate-based fertilizers will remain under pressure throughout the first quarter of this year. But Guryev expects to see a recovery in prices in the second quarter, driven by the beginning of the spring application season in major agricultural regions.
“Overall, price dynamics in 2019 should be flattish, amid more stable global fertilizer supply than in 2018,” he said.
PhosAgro Sales Volumes (‘000 mt)
| Product |
Q4 2018 |
Q4 2017 |
% change |
FY2018 |
FY 2017 |
% change |
| Phosrock |
844.9 |
734.1 |
+15.1 |
2,964.2 |
2,732.2 |
+8.5 |
|
Phosphate-Based Fertilizers
|
| DAP/MAP |
645.1 |
695.8 |
-7.3 |
2,912.6 |
2,963.9 |
-1.7 |
| NPK |
603.7 |
570.5 |
+5.8 |
2,664.6 |
2,488.8 |
+7.1 |
| NPS |
101.4 |
199.9 |
-49.3 |
423.5 |
409.8 |
+3.3 |
| APP |
54.5 |
35.2 |
+54.8 |
209.4 |
170.7 |
+22.7 |
| MCP |
84.4 |
90.0 |
-6.2 |
347.2 |
350.4 |
-0.9 |
| PKS |
3.3 |
7.8 |
-57.7 |
77.6 |
101.2 |
-23.3 |
| Total |
1,492.4 |
1,599.2 |
-6.7 |
6,634.9 |
6,484.8 |
+2.3 |
|
Nitrogen-Based Fertilizers
|
| AN |
136.2 |
76.7 |
+77.6% |
595.3 |
476.0 |
+25.1 |
| Urea |
334.2 |
334.0 |
+0.1 |
1,600.3 |
1,139.8 |
+40.4 |
| Total |
470.4 |
410.7 |
+14.5 |
2,195.6 |
1,615.8 |
+35.9 |