Russia to Implement Fertilizer Export Duties From Jan. 1

As planned, Russia will introduce export duties on all types of mineral fertilizers from Jan. 1, 2023, at a rate of 23.5% on products priced over $450/mt, Interfax reported, citing the government resolution published on its legal information website.

The duties will remain in place through Dec. 31, 2023. For fertilizers priced up to a maximum of $450/mt, the rate of duty will be zero.

Reports were circulating last month that Russia planned to introduce export duties on fertilizers, a draft of which at that time already had been prepared (GM Nov. 11, p. 31).

EU Proposes Sanctions on Russian Mining Investment; New Lower Gas Price Cap Proposed

The European Commission is proposing a ban on new mining investments in Russia, among its proposed further economic measures against the country’s energy and mining sector as part of a ninth package of sanctions. The new sanctions are aimed at further eroding Russia’s economy and its ability to finance its war against Ukraine.

Details of the proposed ban on new investments in the Russian mining sector are few, but according to a report by the UK’s Financial Times, the ban will have exceptions for some specific products.

Russia’s vast mining sector, which is a producer of gold, iron ore, uranium, phosphates, and potash, among others, accounted for a quarter of foreign investments into the country before the Ukraine war, according to the Paris-based OECD, as cited by Bloomberg.

Russian fertilizer companies EuroChem Group AG, Acron Group, and potash producer Uralkali PJSC all have greenfield and/or major mining expansion projects under development.

This latest package of sanctions is currently under discussion with Member States, with the Commission aiming to reach an agreement by the end of next week, according to the Financial Times, citing unnamed sources with knowledge of the discussions.

Among the other proposed measures, the Commission is proposing to add almost 200 additional individuals and entities to its sanctions list, as well as sanctions against three additional Russian banks, including a full transaction ban on the Russian Regional Development Bank, according to a Dec. 7 statement by Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen.

Other proposals include new export controls and restrictions, particularly for dual-use goods, and cutting access to Russia’s access to all sorts of drones and unmanned aerial vehicles.

The Commission is also targeting what it describes as “the Russian propaganda machine” by proposing to take four additional channels off air and all other distribution platforms.

The package of sanctions being proposed could be amended, and would need to be agreed unanimously by all 27 European Union (EU) states before adoption.

The latest sanctions package comes on top of the full EU import ban on Russian seaborne oil that came into force this week (GM Oct. 7, p. 1), as well as the global price cap on Russian crude oil just agreed between the G7.

The cap has been set at a maximum price of $60 per barrel for crude oil and is adjustable in future in order to respond to market developments. The price cap for Russian crude oil came into force from Dec. 5. A price cap for Russian refined oil products – which has still to be finalized – will come into force on Feb. 5, 2023.

Meanwhile, the EU on Dec. 6 considered the latest proposal for a lower natural gas price cap of €220 (approximately $230.8 at current exchange rates) per megawatt-hour (MWh), down €54 on the earlier proposal of a maximum threshold of €275 per MWh (GM Dec. 2, p. 34 ).

Member State energy ministers have so far failed to agree a cap on gas prices aimed at helping offset the ongoing energy crunch in Europe, rejecting the earlier proposals.

At least 15 of the EU’s 27 Member States want some kind of workable ceiling on wholesale gas prices, but a handful of countries – notably Germany – are opposed to any price cap, arguing it could make it harder to secure gas supplies.

Some of the bloc’s other countries, including Poland, Belgium, and Italy, see a price cap as a way of protecting their economies from price energy shocks.

The Commission is due to meet on Dec. 13 in the hope of resolving the Member State differences and reaching an agreement.

The price cap plan, if adopted, would begin in January and would run alongside a voluntary initiative for EU Member States to cut their natural gas use by 15% over the northern hemisphere winter.

European gas prices have been rising again over the past couple of weeks. The Dutch TTF – the European benchmark – front-month gas (currently January 2023) closed at €138.5 per MWh on Dec. 8, down from its Nov. 30 close of €146.395, but up from the €97.855 per MWh close on Nov. 11.

OCP Looks to Cut NH3 Imports with $12.3 B Green Investment

Morocco’s OCP Group SA will invest MAD130 billion (approximately $12.3 billion at current exchange rates) in 2023-2027 to ramp up its transition to carbon neutrality and reduce the company’s dependency on ammonia imports, according to a Bloomberg report citing a statement from the royal cabinet carried by the state media.

The phosphate fertilizer group is targeting to rely entirely on renewable energy by 2027, and has set itself the goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2040.

OCP Group CEO Mostafa Terrab said on Dec. 3 – as cited by state media – that the group will invest in solar and wind projects to power its industrial facilities by 2027. It also plans to invest in desalination powered by renewable energy, both to supply its industrial facilities and also supply adjacent farmland.

The investment plan will also reduce the group’s dependence on ammonia imports as it aims to use green hydrogen to cover its needs, the CEO said.

Morocco last year imported 648,750 mt of ammonia, 6% more than in 2020 when imports totaled 612,063 mt, according to Trade Data Monitor.

The lion’s share of imports in both years came from Russia, with Russian ammonia imports amounting to 557,758 mt in 2021 – providing more than 85% of the Kingdom’s total ammonia imports that year. Morocco also imported ammonia from the US, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia in 2021.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, OCP has been scrambling to replace the lost Russian volumes, and has cast a wider net for purchases. In the first nine months of 2022, Saudi Arabia shipped 218,090 mt of ammonia to Morocco, while the US sent 137,662 mt, according to Trade Data Monitor. Indonesia, Turkey, Egypt, and Colombia also sent smaller volumes.

As well as procurement challenges, OCP’s ammonia import costs have soared this year amid steep rises in the global ammonia prices, with some relief coming only in recent weeks.

Morocco’s largest announced green hydrogen and green ammonia project to date is the HEVO Ammonia Morocco project, unveiled in July 2021, with an estimated total investment value of more than MAD7.5 billion. It is based on solar power (GM July 16, 2021).

Development of the first phase of the project was anticipated to begin this year following the completion of a feasibility study, although it is not clear what progress has been made to date. When fully commissioned, this first phase is expected to produce 183,000 mt/y of green ammonia and abate 280,000 mt of CO2 annually, with operations targeted by 2026.

The Kingdom’s Energy, Mines, and Environment Ministry has highlighted that the project, when all phases are fully implemented, in addition to meeting Morocco’s domestic needs for ammonia, ultimately would establish Morocco as a major exporter of ammonia to international markets. Currently, Morocco has limited domestic ammonia production, and has had to rely on imported ammonia to produce fertilizer.

Fusion Fuel Green Plc, an Irish green hydrogen technology company, is a joint participant in the project with Consolidated Contractors Group SAL (CCC), a global construction company. The offtake of the green ammonia would be managed by Geneva-headquartered Dutch energy and commodity trading company Vitol.

Morocco is additionally eyeing big hydrogen projects for exports to Europe. The government is considering signing final investment decisions for “at least two competitive industrial projects” in 2023, Bloomberg has reported.

In an interview last weekend with Bloomberg, Morocco’s Energy Transition Minister, Leila Benali, said that Indian private conglomerate Adani Group is among the firms interested in the Moroccan hydrogen proposition, confirming reports in October.

Yıldırım Targets 1Q Restart for Petrokemija

Turkey’s Yıldırım Holding AS is targeting Croatia’s only fertilizer producer, Petrokemija d.d., to restart production in the first quarter of 2023, and will step up its efforts to achieve this once it has completed the acquisition of the Croatian company.

Kutina-based Petrokemija halted production eight months ago amid rising natural gas costs, having only resumed output on Jan. 21 after a seven-week stoppage due to a technical fault (GM Jan. 21, p. 28; Dec. 3, 2021).

Yıldırım last month signed an agreement with Petrokemija’s biggest shareholder, Croatian oil and gas group ING d.d. and Croatian gas company Prvo Plinarsko Društvo (PPD) to acquire Terra Mineralna Gnojiva company (TMG), which holds a 54.517% stake in the fertilizer company (GM Nov. 18, p. 31).

Yıldırım wants to make Petrokemija an important producer of fertilizers in Europe and a bigger exporter, according to a bne IntelliNews report, citing Yildirim Group President and CEO, Robert Yuksel Yildirim, speaking with Croatia’s public broadcaster HRT.

Achieving this requires an increase in production capacity and investment, the CEO said.

Yıldırım plans to produce fertilizers at Petrokemija at the company’s full capacity of 1 million mt/y, according to the report.

Petrokemija current nameplate capacity for nitrogen fertilizers includes 0.45 million mt/y of ammonia, 0.31 million mt/y of ammonium nitrate, 0.5 million mt/y of urea, and 0.2 million mt/y of UAN, according to Green Markets database.

Petrokemija selected exports (mt)

Product 2020 2021
Urea 359,073 299,782
UAN 27,764 23,683
AN 69,583 3,466

Source: Trade Data Monitor

Austria, Italy, Hungary, Slovenia, Serbia, Romania, Slovenia, and Portugal were the biggest offtakers of Petrokemija urea in 2020 and 2021, while most of the AN went to Bosnia and Herzegovina and to Serbia and other neighboring countries, according to Trade Data Monitor. Almost all of the UAN went to Hungary, with small volumes going to Italy.

ING is 49.08% owned by Hungarian oil and gas company MOL, while the Croatian government owns 44.84%. PPD is wholly-owned by Croatian private company Energia Naturalis D.O.O. (ENNA).

Belarus Supplies Phosphate Fertilizers to Russia

Belarus’ OJSC Gomel Chemical Plant, the country’s largest producer of phosphate fertilizers, started deliveries of its products to Russia for the first time this year, according to a recent Interfax report, citing Belarusian Deputy Prime Minister Piotr Parkhomchik.

Some $97 million worth of phosphate fertilizers were exported to Russia from Belarus in the January-September 2022 period, “despite the surplus on the market,” according to the report, citing Parkhomchik.

Belarus has taken measures to re-orient exports of “complex fertilizers” to Russia, as well as to produce new brands that are not subject to sectoral restrictive measures, and are part of Belarus’ actions to “minimize” the impact of Western sanctions that ban exporting potash from Belarus, according to the report, citing the minister.

The Gomel Chemical Plant is Belarus’ largest producer of phosphate fertilizers. The company has capacity to produce complex fertilizers, ammophos, superphosphate, and NPK fertilizers of various grades, according to its website. Gomel Chemical Plant’s nameplate production capacity includes 1.1 million mt/y of DAP/MAP, according to the Green Markets database.

In addition to its potash production capabilities, Belaruskali OAO is understood to have an estimated 240,000 mt/y of NPK fertilizer production capacity and some 100,000 mt/y of bulk blending capacity. In past years before Western sanctions were imposed, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia, as well as Russia, have been reported to be consumers of Belaruskali’s NPK fertilizers.

Yara, Argentina’s El Parque Papas Ink MOU for Fossil-Free Fertilizers

Yara International ASA said it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Argentine potato farmer El Parque Papas to deliver it fossil-free green fertilizers.

El Parque Papas is the biggest potato farmer in Argentina. Led by racing car champion Walter Hernández, the farming organization supplies 14,000 mt of potatoes every year to the Argentine potato industry, including production of some of the most popular chips in the country.

Hernández and Yara President and CEO Svein Tore Holsether met at Yara’s Oslo headquarters to discuss future collaboration for decarbonizing the production of potatoes in Argentina, Yara said in its Dec. 2 statement announcing the MOU.

Yara will start producing the fossil free, green fertilizers next year, and they will be manufactured using renewable electricity instead of natural gas.

Using Yara´s green fertilizers for potato production will remove around 28.8% of greenhouse gas emissions at the farm level. For potato chips specifically, using green fertilizer will reduce the carbon footprint by around 5-10%, according to the Norwegian crop nutrition major.

Mosaic Temporarily Curtails Colonsay Production

The Mosaic Co. announced on Dec. 6 that it has temporarily curtailed production at its Colonsay potash mine in Saskatchewan. Prior to the curtailment, Mosaic said Colonsay had been operating at an annual run rate of 1.3 million mt, with plans to expand annual output to 1.8-2.0 million mt by late 2023 following the restart of mine’s second mill. Colonsay restarted in August 2021 after being idled for two years due to slumping demand.

With demand returning slower than expected in the second half of 2022, Mosaic said inventory levels are sufficient to meet near-term demand. Underground development work will continue in anticipation of the restart of both mills in early 2023.

“Our decision to temporarily curtail Colonsay reflects near-term dynamics and not long-term agricultural market fundamentals,” said President and CEO Joc O’Rourke. “Crop prices remain strong and continue to support healthy grower economics. After a year of reduced applications, we believe farmers are incentivized to maximize yields, which should drive significant recovery in fertilizer demand in 2023.”

Fertilizer prices have slumped after spiking to record levels after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Farmers from Brazil to Canada have eased back on buying – in some cases choosing to skip a year of potash application or to use less fertilizer in the face of high prices. That has left a glut on the market, with some cargoes being redirected to the US from Brazil.

Potash in Brazil has fallen by more than half since hitting a high of $1,250/mt CFR earlier this year. It was as low as $500/mt CFR on Dec. 2. New Orleans potash has dropped from a high this year of $830/st FOB to as low as $500/st FOB on Dec. 2.

Still, Mosaic and fellow fertilizer producer Nutrien Ltd. see a strong market ahead. Last week, Nutrien CEO Ken Seitz warned of looming shortages in coming years, with supplies from Russia and Belarus constrained (GM Dec. 2, p. 31). Nutrien plans to ramp up its capacity 40% by 2025.

Cutting production could reduce Mosaic’s first quarter 2023 potash sales by 325,000 metric tons and cost the company $140 million in revenue, said Green Markets Director of Research Alexis Maxwell. “Curtailment comes as a big surprise. The market was expecting another year of reduced supply with Belarus effectively out of the market on western sanctions.”

However, the move could help the market in the long term, Scotiabank analyst Ben Isaacson said in a note. “Unless Nutrien sees different data, we think the company would benefit by proportionately matching Mosaic’s move, not to mention its shareholders and the industry overall,” Isaacson said. “With Mosaic taking the lead, Nutrien effectively holds a ‘free’ call option on tightening the potash market into the spring.”

OCI Breaks Ground on Blue Ammonia Plant

OCI NV broke ground Dec. 7 on its 1.1 million mt/y blue ammonia facility in Beaumont, Texas (GM Sept. 9, p. 1). OCI said it will be the largest blue ammonia facility of its kind in Texas, enabling the capture and sequestration of up to 1.7 million mt/y of CO2.

Production is scheduled for 2025. OCI said site preparation work is nearly complete, construction activities are commencing and the air permit was received on Dec. 1.

The total investment cost for OCI is expected to be below $1 billion, including spending on upsized utilities and available land to allow for doubling to 2.2 mt/y capacity in the future. The project has been designed to transition from blue to green ammonia production in the future as green hydrogen becomes available at larger scale.

The project’s site is adjacent to OCI’s existing integrated 1.4 million mt/y ammonia and methanol production facility in Beaumont and the 1.8 million mt/y 50%-owned methanol joint venture, Natgasoline.

“We are delighted that OCI is expanding its already significant presence in Southeast Texas, a region which, as a clean energy leader and with its strategic location, plays a key role in the growing low-to-zero carbon hydrogen industry and is one of the best places globally to invest in this area,” said OCI Executive Chair Nassef Sawiris. “We look forward to continuing our partnerships with Jefferson County, the City of Beaumont, Beaumont ISD, the special districts, and the State of Texas.”

OCI said the project leverages the significant and growing capabilities that exist in Southeast Texas for blue and green ammonia and hydrogen production, as the area already has extensive existing hydrogen pipeline delivery infrastructure, hydrogen storage capability, and industrial customers, as well as a wealth of companies leading in energy technology integration, deployment, operations, and maintenance, and a skilled labor force in clean energy.

OCI noted that the Texas location will have easy access to both the US and export markets, including Europe and Asia. In June, OCI announced a tripling of throughput capacity at its Port of Rotterdam ammonia import terminal, to 1.2 million mt/y by 2023 (GM June 17, p. 28), to serve emerging ammonia demand for bunkering to oceangoing vessels and act as a hub to help decarbonize the EU and reduce its reliance on imported natural gas.

The new facility is also positioned to supply blue ammonia to OCI’s plants in the Netherlands. OCI’s 1.2 million mt/y of ammonia capacity has been impacted by high natural gas prices in the EU. However, it is able to operate value-added downstream production and continue to address food security concerns with support from imported ammonia.

At the new facility, OCI will upgrade “over-the-fence” blue hydrogen to produce blue ammonia, where over 95% of carbon emissions will be captured and sequestered.

The ammonia plant will use KBR technology. The engineering and procurement contract was awarded to Maire Tecnimont.

OCI said the new facility will support around 60-80 new full-time jobs, as well as around 1,000 construction jobs at the peak of site construction for the OCI scope.

OCI added that it is also continuing its investments in the future talent of the area. It recently announced a $200,000 donation to the Beaumont Independent School District to develop opportunities to expand STEM education for students, continuing its long-term partnership with the school district.

OCI is also planning a major carbon capture project for the company’s subsidiary Iowa Fertilizer Co. (IFCo) in Wever, Iowa, which will allow it to produce blue ammonia, urea, and DEF (GM Sept. 9, p. 1). The project is targeted to be complete in first-quarter 2025.

Amogy Acquires Fuel Cell Engines from Ballard, Fuel Cell Systems from PowerCell

Ammonia power technology provider Amogy Inc., Brooklyn, N.Y., on Dec. 8 announced the signing of a contract to purchase fuel cell engines from Ballard Power Systems, Vancouver, and said that it has ordered fuel cell systems and related services from PowerCell, Gothenburg, Sweden.

Ballard’s FCwaveTM engine is a scalable fuel cell system certified for operation in marine environments. Amogy’s platform relies on an ammonia cracking technology, facilitating the extraction of hydrogen onboard for fuel in a hydrogen engine. Amogy’s platform was successfully demonstrated in several industrial applications. The Amogy team is currently scaling the technology for use in maritime vessels, with plans for a tank barge and tugboat operations.

Amogy agreed to purchase an initial order of three 200kW FCwaveTM engines, and Ballard will support integration of the fuel cell engines with Amogy’s proprietary ammonia reforming system. Ballard will deliver the initial FCwaveTM engines to Amogy in 2023 for maritime deployment. A follow-on order for an additional seven FCwaveTM engines is expected upon successful completion of the initial projects.

The fuel cell system that PowerCell will deliver will be integrated in Amogy’s process, where ammonia is reformed into hydrogen for a workboat. Amogy said it is possible to provide continuous power to a workboat over extended periods. The workboat will be used to demonstrate how to build a complete power system targeted to the marine industry. PowerCell will deliver the fuel cell systems and related services during the coming 15 months.

Germany Mulls Aid for Namibia Green Project

Germany is considering providing aid for a €10 billion hydrogen project in Namibia, according to Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter. The country’s state-backed development bank, KfW, is currently in talks with the Namibian government and the German-South African consortium Hyphen Hydrogen Energy about a possible state guarantee or loan.

Hyphen was appointed preferred bidder by the Namibian government to develop the first green hydrogen project in Namibia for export. The project aims to annually produce 1 million mt/y of green ammonia by 2027.

The project, which will be located near the town of Luederitz, will use solar and wind power for the production of green hydrogen, which would then be turned into ammonia and shipped to Germany. The players said Namibia’s Skeleton Coast on the Atlantic Ocean is ideal for green hydrogen production due to an abundance of sun and wind.

German energy giant RWE AG is currently building a second ammonia terminal back in Germany, and recently signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Hyphen that could see it offtake up to 300,000 mt/y of green ammonia.

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