Mosaic Posts 2Q Loss on Lower Prices, Margins; Colonsay Restarted to Meet Strong Demand
The Mosaic Co. reported a second-quarter net loss of $162 million on net sales of $2.82 billion, down from net income of $369 million and sales of $3.4 million in last year’s second quarter. The quarterly loss was the company’s largest in five years, with Mosaic citing the impact of lower selling prices and margins.
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $584 million from $744 million last year, but beat the average analyst estimate of $576.4 million.
Lower pricing pressured potash operating earnings to $174 million for the quarter, down from $328 million last year. Adjusted EBITDA for the potash segment totaled $271 million, compared to $408 million last year, reflecting the impact of lower prices, partially offset by higher volume and lower costs per mt.
Net sales in the potash segment totaled $663 million, down from $849 million last year, while gross margin fell to $186 million from $336 million. Total potash production in the quarter was 2.2 million mt, up from 1.9 million mt last year, while potash sales volumes firmed to 2.3 million mt from 2.2 million mt last year.
Mosaic confirmed that it restarted its Colonsay mine in July to offset upcoming turnarounds at Esterhazy, and to meet what the company described as the “strong demand outlook as the market responds to the China and India contract settlements.”
Phosphate operating earnings for the quarter fell to $133 million from $146 million last year, while adjusted EBITDA for the segment dropped to $308 million from $385 million, with Mosaic citing lower sales volumes.
Phosphate net sales dipped to $1.2 billion from $1.3 billion last year, while phosphate sales volume totaled 1.7 million mt for the quarter, down 12% from last year. Phosphate production volumes were up 1%, however, to 1.7 million mt.
Mosaic Fertilizantes second-quarter earnings jumped to $61 million from an operating loss of $20 million last year. Adjusted EBITDA for the segment totaled $96 million during the quarter, up from $66 million last year, reflecting higher distribution margins.
Net sales for Mosaic Fertilizantes were $1.0 billion for the quarter, down from $1.4 billion last year due to lower pricing. Gross margin was $102 million, compared to $13 million for the same period last year. Mosaic said cash unit costs of mined rock, phosphate finished products conversion, and potash production all declined from the year ago period, reflecting the company’s focus on cost reduction.
Mosaic said potash sales volumes in the third quarter are expected to be in the range of 2.1-2.3 million mt, with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the $200-$220/mt range. Mosaic said its third-quarter potash pricing guidance reflects a higher mix of international volume. Phosphate sales volumes in the third quarter are expected to be in the 1.7-1.9 million mt range, with DAP prices at the plant projected at $555-$575/mt.
Looking ahead, Mosaic said low stocks-to-use ratios for grains and oilseeds are positives for agriculture fundamentals and should incentivize growers to maximize yields. While corn and soybean prices have softened, the company said nutrients remain affordable, which bodes well for fertilizer demand.
“North American demand is robust, with buyers seeking summer fill after emptying their bins this spring and Brazil in-season demand is solid on concerns of low stocks,” Mosaic said. The company said the long-term phosphate outlook remains favorable amid a 27% year-over-year decline in Chinese exports, while the recent potash contract settlements in China and India “should stimulate buying activities further in Southeast Asia and India.”
“These factors suggest the global potash market is balanced and the phosphate market will remain tight in 2024 and beyond,” Mosaic said.
Mosaic highlighted progress on a number of “low-capital-intensity projects,” include the addition of 800,000 mt of MicroEssentials capacity at its Riverview, Fla., facility; the completion of a potash compaction project at Esterhazy that allows the conversion of standard MOP to granular products, as well as a project to add 400,000 mt of milling capacity at Esterhazy, which is on track for completion in mid-2025; and the construction of a 1 million mt blending facility in Palmeirante, Brazil, which is on track for completion in 2025.
The company also highlighted progress on a cost reduction plan announced last year, and said it has achieved more than one-third of the targeted $150 million run rate compared to the 2023 baseline. Mosaic said it is on track to reduce 2024 capital expenditures by $200 million from 2023 levels.