Diversity helps boost Agrium to record earnings

Agrium Inc. reported a record net income of $142 million ($1.06 per diluted share) for the second quarter ending June 30, compared to the year-ago $133 million ($.99 per share). The company said even without a non-cash future income tax recovery of $18 million, the second quarter was still the second highest earnings on record.

“We are very pleased with the performance of all our businesses, particularly in the face of the challenging environment this spring,” said Mike Wilson, Agrium president and CEO. “Our results this quarter highlight how we benefit from being the only fully-diversified, publicly traded agricultural retail and fertilizer company.”

The increase in second quarter earnings is largely attributable to strong retail results. Retail contributed about 40 percent of Agrium’s EBITDA in the quarter, up from just over 20 percent for the year-ago period. Net sales from the sector were $969 million, compared to the year-ago $513 million. Retail EBIT was $98 million, up $47 million from the year-ago period. Excluding Royster-Clark Inc. retail results, net sales, gross profit, and EBIT were up by $50 million, $11 million, and 5 million, respectively. In retail, fert sales volumes increased 7 percent as weather pushed first quarter sales into the second quarter in the West. Chemical gross profit was 6 percent. Seed sales were up 21 percent, with gross profit up 24 percent.

Retail helped offset declines for all three major nutrients within the wholesale division. Potash profits were off due to the lag in negotiations with the Chinese. Potash inventories as of June 30 were up compared to historically low levels at the same time last year. Wilson indicated that second half exports should be up over the year-ago period due to the conclusion of price talks with the Chinese, though he indicated those volumes may be up less than 25 percent. The company’s Vanscoy potash mine was in the process of coming up last week after a six-week turnaround. Agrium will be ready for extra demand, as it will be ramping up its additional 310,000 mt capacity during the remainder of the year.

Wholesale nitrogen profits were off due to higher fixed costs and the higher cost of carryover inventory. It also cited lower gas supply quantity to the Kenai facility, weaker farm economics, and weather conditions on a localized basis. In late August, Agrium expects to know whether it will find adequate gas to keep Kenai in operation beyond October. Also, on the nitrogen front, the company expects to make a decision on whether it will proceed with a new nitrogen plant in Egypt in the first quarter of 2007. Gas for that plant would be around $1.00/mmBtu, said Wilson. On the nitrogen front, Wilson cited demand and an estimated 1 million tons being idled overseas, particularly by Yara in Europe, that could help offset new supplies coming online. One wild card concern is how much urea China will export after it reduces its export tax this fall. Wilson estimated the Chinese could export up to 1 million tons in the fourth quarter.

On phosphate, profits continue to be negatively impacted by higher iron content in the phosphate rock at the Kapuskasing mine, as well as the strong Canadian dollar. Agrium’s U.S. phosphate facility had higher margins and helped offset those in Canada. Agrium said the key risk to the second half is the level of imports by China and Brazil.

Total Agrium net sales for the second quarter were $1.82 billion, up from the year-ago $1.18 billion. Six-month net income is $94 million ($.71 per share) on sales of $2.47 billion, versus the year-ago $157 million ($1.18 per share) on sales of $1.72 billion.

“As we look toward 2007, we see strong fundamentals for our retail and wholesale fertilizer businesses. The global grain situation is expected to continue to tighten due to the rapid growth in grain use for biofuel, a significant reduction in corn export availability from China and the ever growing demand for high quality food.” The company is giving second half guidance of $.65-$.75 per share.

Wilson told analysts Thursday that the company now expects to gain some $55 million in synergies from its acquisition of Royster-Clark Inc., up from the original projections of $30 million. The breakdown was listed as $45 million in retail and $10 million in wholesale.

Retail Wholesale N.Am. Wholesale S.Am.
2Q-06 2Q-05 2Q-06 2Q-05 2Q-06 2Q-05
Net Sales 969 513 850 660 35 45
EBITDA 106 55 149 203 22 29
EBIT 98 51 117 175 18 25
6M-06 6M-05 6M-06 6M-05 6M-06 6M-05
Net Sales 1,249 692 1,221 1,028 62 64
EBITDA 97 56 141 300 40 42
EBIT 84 48 79 243 33 34
Retail Sales 2Q-06 2Q-05 GM-06 6M-05
Fertilizer 519 246 669 340
Chemical 285 189 360 257
Other 165 78 220 95
Total 969 513 1,249 692
Retail Gross Profit
Fertilizer 109 55 141 78
Chemical 47 33 71 55
Other 58 31 68 37
Total 214 119 280 170
Whls Sales 2Q-06 2Q-05 GM-06 6M-05
Nitrogen 640 489 904 754
Phosphate 131 96 185 141
Potash 79 75 132 133
Total 850 660 1,221 1,028
Whls Gross Profit 2Q-06 2Q-05 GM-06 6M-05
Nitrogen 107 157 127 218
Phosphate 15 21 20 31
Potash 36 45 58 82
Total 158 223 205 331
Sales Volume mt 2Q-06 2Q-05 GM-06 6M-05
Nitrogen 2,140 1,775 2,972 2,847
Phosphate 405 342 568 500
Potash 425 468 722 869
Total 2,970 2,585 4,262 4,216

* Dollar is U.S. millions