US Gulf:
The NOLA potash
market slipped slightly to $310-$315/st FOB based on new business this week,
down from last week’s $310-$320/st FOB. Reports of sub-$310/st FOB deals could
not be confirmed.
US Imports:
Potash
imports were up 16.4% in July-January, lifting to 7.69 million st from 6.60
million st in the prior year. January imports moved 2.7% higher, to 1.05
million st from the year-ago 1.02 million st. Imports from Canada were reported
at 6.79 million st in July-January, Russia sent 630,767 st, and Israel added
200,258 st.
US Exports:
Potash
exports softened 6.1% in January, to 290,581 st from the year-go 309,338 st.
July-January exports were 1.89 million st, down 2.3% from the year-ago 1.94
million st. Exports to China totaled 381,847 st for the July-January fertilizer
year-to-date, followed by 304,675 st to Brazil and 283,989 st to Malaysia.
Eastern Cornbelt:
Potash was pegged
at $365-$385/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt, depending on location, with the
low reported at Cincinnati and out of spot Illinois River terminals.
Western Cornbelt:
Potash remained at $360-$385/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, with the low confirmed at St. Louis and the high in Iowa. Rail-DEL offers were also pegged at the $385/st level in Iowa during the week.
California:
Potash continued
to be quoted at $525-$550/st FOB or DEL in California for the last offers.
Pacific Northwest:
Potash pricing in
the Pacific Northwest was unchanged at $495-$503/st FOB or DEL for post-fill
offers, with the high reflecting reference pricing for 62% MOP and the low for
60%.
The latest potash
postings from Intrepid FOB Moab and Wendover, Utah, included $455/st FOB for
60% white standard and $460/st for 60% white granular.
Western Canada:
Truck pricing for
potash at the mine in Western Canada reportedly slipped back to C$540-$545/mt
FOB for 1Q or 2Q shipments, depending on grade, below the last confirmed 2Q
offers of C$580-$585/mt FOB.
Northwest Europe:
Granular potash
prices in Northwest Europe were unchanged at €355-€375/mt CIF, with only a few truckloads changing hands in
that range. Some sources said an expected price cut could trigger liquidity,
but with farmers still holding back for more favorable weather, this may prove
unsuccessful.
Southeast Asia:
Granular potash
prices in Southeast Asia showed little change this week, despite Thailand and
Vietnam showing pockets of demand for palm oil plantations. A similar tune was
heard ex-Indonesia for standard potash, with new inquiries failing to trigger
price movements.
No outcome of the
Indonesian import tender was heard by press time, with the latest supplier
offers still at $302/mt CFR, despite the buyer reportedly countering below the
$300/mt CFR mark.
China:
January-February
potash imports totaled 2.7 million mt, according to Trade Data Monitor,
a 65% increase from the year-ago period. Russia led suppliers with 891,000 mt,
followed by Canada and Belarus with 771,000 mt and 448,000 mt, respectively.
February imports were 878,000 mt, up 27% from 693,000 mt in February 2023.
Brazil:
Imported potash prices were steady at the $300-$310/mt
CFR level. Several sellers have reportedly raised offers to $330/mt CFR, though
some inland deals have continued to land at a $290/mt CFR equivalent.
Anticipated
potash demand kept prices firm at Rondonópolis during the week, with some
suppliers seeking improved margins while others removed potash from their price
lists entirely. Week-ago offers referenced at $400/mt FOB are no longer
available, players said, taking the price range to $410-$420/mt FOB. Sources
estimated that 75-80% of Mato Grosso state’s potash needs have been covered as
of the current week.