All posts by hlancey@bloomberg.net

Canpotex Terminal Expected Up by Year’s End

Canpotex Ltd.’s potash shipping terminal in Portland, Ore., is expected to be running by the end of 2023, according to Nutrien Ltd. in its Nov. 2 earnings call.

Canpotex on May 3 reported a conveyor failure at the company’s 4 million mt/y Portland Bulk Terminal. The company said there were no injuries or environmental impacts resulting from the incident, but Nutrien CEO Ken Seitz said in May that the structural failure at the terminal would take months to resolve (GM May 19, p. 1). Seitz said there were multiple alternatives, including Canada’s East Coast and the US Gulf Coast.

Intrepid Completes Brine Extraction Project

Intrepid Potash Inc. on Nov. 2 announced the successful completion of the Eddy Shaft Brine Extraction Project (Project) at its HB solar solution mine (HB) in Carlsbad, N.M. after an eight-month permitting process.

Intrepid said the Project provides access to a high-grade brine pool in the Eddy Cavern that was originally targeted by the IP30A extraction well, which failed and was plugged and abandoned in fourth-quarter 2022.

The Project utilizes the existing Eddy Shaft to access a 270-million-gallon brine pool with a potassium chloride concentration expected at over 9%. The company says this translates to 85,000-110,000 potash product tons, which will be incremental to its brine sources at HB. By utilizing the Eddy Shaft, Intrepid said it avoided the time and capital associated with drilling and only incurred costs related to the installation of a new pump system and corresponding surface infrastructure.

Intrepid expects the production contribution from the Project to begin in second-half 2024 and carry into 2025, with this brine source and extraction point becoming a consistent, longer-term contributor to Intrepid’s production as it continues brine injection over time. The Project’s brine pool is currently being extracted at a rate of approximately 750 gallons per minute. The company expects the brine to be pumped into ponds by the start of the 2024 summer evaporation season.

Panama Canal Limits Vessels Due to Drought

The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) announced this week that it is limiting boat crossings in the waterway due to a lack of rain in October.

PCA said it is reducing the number of daily crossings to 25 vessels from Nov. 3-7, with Neopanamax vessels getting eight slots, supers getting 12, and regulars allowed five slots. From Nov. 8-30, the daily limit will drop to 24 vessels, with Neopanamax vessels getting seven slots, supers getting 13, and regulars getting four. The slots include advance bookings and auction slots.

For the month of December, the daily limit will drop to 22, with Neopanamax vessels allowed six slots, supers 12, and regulars down to four. Another drop in January will reduce the daily limit to 20, with Neopanamax vessels getting five slots, supers 11, and regulars four slots. In February the limit falls to 18, with Neopanamax vessels getting five slots, supers 10, and regulars three.

The move came after the driest October since 1950, PCA said, with 41% less rainfall than normal causing water levels across the Canal system to fall to unprecedented lows. PCA said 2023 is lining up to be the second driest year since 1950.

PCA in July said reduced rainfall earlier in the year required a reduction in the number of vessels allowed to cross the canal each day to 31, which included nine through the Neopanamax locks and 22 through the Panamax locks. The latest cutbacks were made to avoid ordering further limitations on the draft of vessels. The current draft allowed is 44 feet, the deepest point of immersion allowed in Gatun Lake.

Approximately 90 vessels were in the queue to transit the canal on Nov. 2, including 36 ships with advance bookings and another 54 waiting for an open slot. The average wait time to enter the canal over the past month for a non-booked vessel was about two days, according to PCA figures, with an extra day added for the Neopanamax ships. That delay is expected to increase under the new rules.

Bunge Expects to Keep Assets in Viterra Takeover

Bunge Global SA doesn’t anticipate issues from antitrust regulators reviewing its $8.2 billion takeover of Viterra Inc. that would require the US crop merchant to offload any businesses. The deal is currently under review in Canada (GM Sept. 29, p. 1).

The assets being acquired from the Glencore Plc-backed grain company are in “very different places” and, even when in the same country, have “different strengths” than those operated by Bunge, CEO Greg Heckman said in a Nov. 2 interview with Bloomberg.

“We believe we should have very little breakage anywhere,” Heckman said, adding that Bunge expects to be able to keep “about all of our assets.”

The combined entity would become the world’s second-largest agricultural trading company by revenue, dominating the soybean and wheat markets. Globally it will end up with more than 125 crushing and refining facilities, a processing capacity of more than 75 million mt/y, 55 port terminals, and more than 230 million mt of commodities marketed annually.

Heckman said global trading firms such as Bunge still face fierce competition from local and regional companies including cooperatives and sometimes even customers in the crop origination business.

Bunge Changes Place of Incorporation

Bunge, St. Louis, Mo., on Nov. 1 said that it has completed the move to change the place of incorporation of its group holding company to Switzerland from Bermuda. With the redomestication effective, Bunge’s group holding company is now a Swiss corporation, Bunge Global SA.

Bunge continues to be listed exclusively on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BG,” and Bunge Global SA will continue Bunge’s normal course of global business.

The company also announced that its Board of Directors has declared on Oct. 31, 2023, a cash dividend of $0.6625 per common share. The dividend will be paid out of the company’s capital contribution reserves and is payable on March 1, 2024, to shareholders of record on Feb. 16, 2024.

Bunge to Restart Terminal After Brazil Port Fire

Bunge Global SA plans by the end of the week to resume operations at its terminal located at one of Brazil’s key ports after a nearby fire hampered work, according to a Bloomberg report. The company expects activities will restart as of Nov. 4.

On Oct. 28, a fire erupted on a conveyor belt belonging to CAP Terminal at Paranaguá, Brazil’s second-largest port. Bunge temporarily suspended operations at its facility located next to the engulfed area, while saying that its unit was spared in the fire.

It is still unclear when CAP Terminal will resume operations. About 400 meters (1,312 feet) of conveyor belt at the terminal were destroyed, according to preliminary information provided by the port authority to shipping agency Williams Brazil. At least two ships that were expected to load in a berth in the area have been relocated to other parts of the port, Paranaguá Port Authority reported on Oct. 31.

The affected terminal was loading soybeans from Cargill Inc., shipping agency Cargonave Group said. Cargill confirmed the terminal was used by the company, adding its cargo was not heavily impacted and the shipment in progress at the time of the incident could be completed safely.

The disruption of shipments comes at a time when Brazilian ports are crowded, with the country in the midst of exporting bumper crops of soybeans, corn, and sugar. Ships are waiting much longer than usual to load, especially after recent rains interrupted loadings.

Wait times at the nation’s two largest ports were already trending above previous years, according to shipping agency Alphamar Agencia Maritima. Vessels were waiting an average of 64 days to dock in Paranagua as of Oct. 26, compared with 11 days a year earlier. For Santos, Brazil’s biggest port, the wait time is averaging 19 days, versus three days in 2022.

Fire Suspends Operations at Igsas NPK Plant

Production at Igsaş’s NPK plant at the company’s Kocaeli facility, adjacent to the Tupras terminal in Turkey’s Izmit Bay, is reportedly suspended following a fire at the site on Oct. 31. The urea plant continues to operate, however, and the Izmit port authority also confirmed there was no suspension of operations at Izmit port.

The cause of the fire, which was extinguished within half an hour after the arrival of emergency services, is not known, according to a report by Gulf Agency Company, citing local media. No loss of life or injuries were observed, according to initial reports.

Unigel Gets Time to Negotiate with Bondholders

Unigel Participacoes, the troubled Brazilian fertilizer maker, has received more time to negotiate with global bondholders after missing an interest payment, according to a Bloomberg report on Oct. 31, citing people familiar with the matter. The company received an earlier reprieve in September (GM Sept. 8, p. 27).

Bondholders will continue negotiations even after the 30-day grace period for a $23.2 million interest payment on international bonds due Oct. 2 expires on Nov. 1, the people said, asking not to be identified because conversations are private. There is no agreement on a debt restructuring because the company is asking for more cash than bondholders are willing to deliver. 

Unigel wants as much as $250 million to help finish building fertilizer plants, while bondholders aren’t willing to give more than $150 million, using shares as collateral, according to the people. The company has $530 million in outstanding dollar notes due in 2026. Unigel didn’t immediately reply to an email seeking comment.

The fertilizer maker already negotiated a standstill with local creditors and postponed the publication of its second-quarter financial results that are likely to show it breached a covenant on domestic notes, technically putting it into default. Unigel is required to maintain a ratio at or below 3.5 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA, according to the terms of its local notes. S&P Global Ratings has said this ratio could peak at nearly 10 times by year-end. 

The fast deterioration in earnings reflects lower global fertilizer prices amid weak demand from farmers and rising prices for natural gas, a particular problem for nitrogen maker Unigel. The company is one of the main fertilizer producers in a country where agribusiness accounts for 25% of the economy.

Unigel was founded by Henri Slezynger, an 87-year-old Belgian naturalized Brazilian who studied chemical engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The company announced in June that it had hired investment bank Moelis & Co to advise on debt talks.

Russia Mulls Extension of Fertilizer Export Quota

Russia’s Industry and Trade Ministry has proposed extending export quotas for nitrogen and complex fertilizers to May 31, 2024, Interfax reported, citing a draft government resolution. The current export quotas run until Nov. 30 this year. The ministry has proposed a quota amount of 16.95 million mt for the Dec. 1 to May 31 period, according to the report.

The Russian government first introduced quotas for the export of nitrogen and complex fertilizers on Dec. 1, 2021, as one of the measures to ensure the domestic market had sufficient supply of fertilizers (GM Nov. 5, 2021).

The export restrictions have been extended several times over the intervening period. In May Russia green-lighted an extension of quotas on the export of nitrogen fertilizers and certain other fertilizer products for the June 1-Nov. 30 period (GM June 2, p. 1).

An initial total export quota of more than 16.3 million mt was set for the June 1-Nov. 30 period. However, the ministry last month was considering increasing the export quota for that period by 2.2 million mt, to more than 18.5 million mt (GM Oct. 13, p. 24).

Ostchem Boosts Production, Impacted by Imports

Ostchem, the nitrogen division of Group DF owned by Ukrainian businessman Dmytro Firtash, produced 1.57 million mt of fertilizer in the first nine months of 2023, a 92% increase from the 817,500 mt produced during the same period last year, Group DF reported on Oct. 31.

Ostchem’s plants are located in Ukraine. Of the total fertilizers produced in the period, urea production was up 202% year-over-year, UAN was up 150%, and ammonium nitrate was up 89%. However, production of LAN fell by 72%, to 36,900 mt. Ostchem’s Cherkasy Azot plant produced 1.2 million mt of fertilizers, a 148% increase from last year, while the Rivneazot plant’s output increased by 7%, to 347,300 mt.

“After a sharp drop in production volumes in 2022, our plants are gradually resuming their activities,” said Sergey Pavlyuchuk, Head of Ostchem’s nitrogen business. “At the same time, we have not yet managed to reach the pre-war level.”

Pavlyuchuk said the plants did not exceed 70-80% of their production capacity during the period due to a surge in fertilizer imports into Ukraine, but capacity was utilized more evenly than in 2022. He added that peak demand is in November-December with the start of purchasing for spring planting in 2024.

According to Oleg Arestarkhov, Group DF’s Head of Corporate Communications, the total volume of fertilizer imports into Ukraine during the period reached 1.71 million mt, “indicating the volume of imports exceeds domestic production.”

He said more cheaply priced fertilizers continue to be imported from countries “friendly” to the Russian Federation, including “repackaged” Belarusian fertilizers brought to Ukraine via Poland and Romania.  He also noted the import of urea from Turkmenistan is growing “at a critical pace.” Group DF believes Ukrainian producers “are losing the urea market,” he said.

Urea imports from Turkmenistan increased to 230,000 mt in the first nine months, up from 55,000 mt in full-year 2022 and just 22,700 mt in 2021, the group said, citing data from Ukraine’s State Customs Service.

“Meanwhile, Ukraine’s largest chemical plants that produce urea are standing idle for the second year,” Arestarkhov said. “This indicates the quality of industrial policy, which must be corrected without delay to stimulate the growth of production.”

The selling price of fertilizers imported from FSU countries, accounting for logistics costs, “contradicts all market laws,” Arestarkhov said.