PhosAgro, Moscow, reported a 35% decline in net profit to RUB28.06 billion (approximately $349.8 million at current exchange rates) for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023, down from RUB43.46 billion the previous year, according to the Russian fertilizer group’s IFRS statement published on May 19.
Adjusted for foreign exchange gains/losses, the Russian fertilizer group posted a net profit of RUB33.9 billion, a 43% fall from the year-ago RUB59.25 billion. The adjusted net profit result beat analysts’ estimates, with a consensus estimate of RUB32.2 billion, according to an Interfax report.
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was down 44% year-over-year at RUB48.98 billion versus the year-earlier RUB86.99 billion, and also just beating analysts’ consensus estimate of RUB48.7 billion (Interfax report).
Revenue declined by 36% to RUB116.18 billion from the same prior-year period’s RUB180.68 billion.
PhosAgro attributed the year-over-year revenue decline to a drop in global fertilizer prices from their highs in early 2022. It noted global fertilizer markets in the first quarter of 2023 were marked by weakening demand for all types of fertilizers, driven by high stocks in key markets amid a downward price trend.
The group’s total sales in the first quarter increased by 1.5% over a year ago to 2.74 million mt, up from 2.70 million mt in the first quarter of last year. But sales of phosphate fertilizers, PhosAgro’s main product, remained essentially flat year-over-year at 2.0 million mt.
Nitrogen fertilizer sales, however, increased by 6% to 686,600 mt, up from the year-ago 647,300 mt. The group cited seasonal demand, driven, it said, mainly by “an almost twofold increase” in sales of ammonium sulfate.
PhosAgro highlighted that its high adjusted EBITDA margin of 42.2% in the first quarter was driven not only by an increase in production (+6% year-over-year to 2.8 million mt) and sales volumes, but also by cost optimization in the form of reduced spending on sulfur, ammonia, and especially ammonium sulfate.
However, the adjusted EBITDA margin for the first quarter was several points lower than for first-quarter 2022, when it was 48.1%
As of March 31, 2023, PhosAgro’s net debt had decreased to RUB142.4 billion ($1.85 billion), while its net debt/adjusted EBITDA ratio was 0.62x at the end of the quarter.
Looking ahead, the phosphates group noted the beginning of the second quarter was marked by continued low demand for fertilizers in key markets due to the end of the spring season in the Northern Hemisphere and the off-season in key markets in Asia and South America.
“The decrease in prices for fertilizers in the first quarter of 2023 helped make them more affordable in terms of the cost of fertilizers in relation to a basket of basic of agricultural products, which will help prices in fertilizer markets to stabilize in the near future,” PhosAgro said.
“In addition, the second quarter has seen a rise in seasonal demand in markets in India, Brazil, and Southeast Asia, which should also have a positive impact on prices,” the company added.
PhosAgro 1Q sales volumes
| ‘000 mt | 1Q-2023 | 1Q-2022 | % change |
| Phosphate-based fertilizers and feed phosphates | 2,016.7 | 2,010.7 | +0.3 |
| Nitrogen-based fertilizers | 686.6 | 647.3 | +6.1 |
| Other products | 39.0 | 42.8 | (8.9) |
| Total fertilizers | 2,742.3 | 2,700.8 | +1.5 |