OCP SA, Casablanca, reported a 79 percent increase in EBITDA to MAD24.48 billion ($2.74 billion) for the nine months to Sept. 30, 2021, up from the year-earlier MAD13.68 billion ($1.42 billion).
Revenues grew 38 percent year-over-year in local currency and totaled MAD57.65 billion ($6.45 billion), up from MAD41.69 billion ($4.34 billion)
OCP attributed the revenue growth mainly to higher prices across all product categories, which it said more than offset lower fertilizer sales volumes compared to the same period last year.
Nine-month 2021 phosphate rock revenues in local currency were up 25 percent over a year ago, owing primarily to higher rock prices, which the group noted trended upward in line with fertilizer prices.
Higher prices and volumes boosted phosphoric acid revenues, which in local currency increased by 47 percent over the same previous year period. OCP cited “changing market dynamics” where demand was “very solid” during the nine months as driving the sales volumes increase.
Nine-month fertilizer revenues in local currency increased by 41 percent year-over-year, which the group said was due to higher fertilizer prices, which mitigated the effect of lower export volumes. The group cited the shift to phosphoric acid as behind the fall in fertilizer exports.
Fertilizer revenues accounted for 60 percent of total nine-month revenues.
Phosphoric acid and fertilizer export sales
| 9M-2021 | 9M-2020 | % change | |
| Phosphoric acid (million mt P2O5) | 1.507 | 1.319 | +14 |
| Fertilizers (million mt) | 7.838 | 8.633 | (9) |
| DAP/MAP | 4.9 | 6.0 | (18) |
| NPS | 1.2 | 1.2 | – |
| TSP | 0.9 | 0.8 | +13 |
| NPK | 0.9 | 0.6 | +50 |
OCP highlighted that specialty “customized” fertilizer products represented 37 percent of total exports in the nine months to Sept. 30, 2021, up from 30 percent in the same year-ago period. Nine-month export sales volumes of NPK were up 50 percent year-over-year, while export sales of NPS in the reporting period were double their volume of five years ago.
Geographical Breakdown of Fertilizer Export Sales (percentage)
| Region | 9M-2021 | 9M-2020 |
| Europe | 16 | 19 |
| Asia | 18 | 15 |
| South America | 38 | 38 |
| North America | 7 | 10 |
| Africa | 21 | 18 |
For the third-quarter, OCP posted a 143 percent increase in EBITDA in U.S. dollar equivalent, to $1.34 billion, up from the year-earlier $552 million, while revenues increased by 83 percent to $2.8 billion from $1.53 billion.
“With the majority of fourth-quarter sales already priced, OCP is on a sound track to deliver robust results all key financial metrics for the full year 2021,” said OCP Chairman and CEO Mostafa Terrab.
OCP expects the current positive phosphate market fundamentals to continue into 2022. “Good consumption is expected across all regions, and imports continue to increase, driven by affordable inputs amid strong crop fundamentals and prices,” the group said.
It noted the good ongoing and expected U.S. fall application as a result of high corn and soybean prices and increasing acreage. OCP also expects “a new wave” of Indian imports in the first quarter of 2022 in light of low DAP availability during the Rabi season and the recent increase of subsidies.
The group also anticipates strong imports to continue in Brazil due to good farmers’ economics.
However, OCP believes the continued high prices in the fourth quarter and early next year “will test affordability metrics,” warning that some demand reduction/destruction could occur, namely in Europe and Africa.
On the supply side, the group sees China as “the game changer,” with the China government’s decision to impose export restrictions until June 2022 creating “a supply shock” and making supply/demand “very tight.” It believes the Russian caps on exports will exacerbate the supply shortage.
Terrab said OCP is moving forward with its investment program to streamline operations through accelerated digitalization and R&D and to ensure the sustainability of its supply chain and mass customize its production system.
The group’s capital expenditure increased by 20 percent in U.S. dollar equivalent in the nine months to Sept. 30, 2021, reaching $798 million, up from $666 million in the same year-earlier period.