All posts by mickeybarb@charter.net

Phosphoric Acid

Eastern Cornbelt:

The phos acid market for September shipment remained at $13.35/unit rail-DEL in Illinois and $13.50/unit rail-DEL in Ohio.

Western Cornbelt:

Phos acid pricing remained at $13.25/unit rail-DEL in Nebraska, Missouri, and Iowa for September tons.

California:

Phos acid pricing remained at $13.75/unit rail-DEL in California for September shipment, with MGA referenced at the $13.95/unit level FOB Lathrop and El Centro. Sources said they expect a price jump in October.

Pacific Northwest:

The phosphoric acid market remained at $13.25/unit FOB Pocatello, Idaho, and $13.75/unit rail-DEL in the Pacific Northwest for September tons. Sources said an increase is expected in October.

India:

Phosphoric acid producers in both Morocco and North America were reported contracting with buyers in India at $1,160/mt P2O5 CFR for the current quarter, a $162/mt jump from $998/mt CFR in the prior period.

Ammonium Polyphosphate

Eastern Cornbelt:

The 10-34-0 market was steady at $590-$605/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt for the last offers.

Western Cornbelt:

10-34-0 pricing was quoted at $590-$600/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, depending on location.

California:

The10-34-0 market was quoted at $603-$608/st FOB in California, with the 11-37-0 market unchanged at $672-$677/st FOB for September tons.

Pacific Northwest:

The 10-34-0 market was quoted at $609-$620/st FOB in the Pacific Northwest, with the low FOB Hedges, Wash. Delivered 10-34-0 was pegged at the $635/st level in Idaho and Utah.

11-37-0 was unchanged at $659/st FOB Hedges.

Western Canada:

The last reported prices for 10-34-0 fell in the C$990-$1,020/mt DEL range in Western Canada, but sources said prices will be moving up in October.

Muriate of Potash

U.S. Gulf:

Potash barge trades were reported at $590-$610/st FOB, up from the week-ago $585-$605/st FOB.

Eastern Cornbelt:

The potash market was pegged at $630-$650/st FOB for prompt tons in the Eastern Cornbelt, up $10-$20/st, depending on location, with the low reported at Cincinnati early in the week and the upper end confirmed out of spot Illinois River terminals as the week progressed.

Western Cornbelt:

Potash prices were reported at $610-$650/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, depending on location and time of shipment. Sources pegged the St. Paul market at $635-$650/st FOB, with Catoosa/Inola pricing reported at the $640/st FOB level at midweek.

Southern Plains:

Intrepid raised its potash postings at Carlsbad, N.M., early in the week. New levels include $675/st FOB for 60 percent white granular and $695/st FOB for 62 percent white standard, up from the previous list prices of $620/st for 60 percent white granular and $627/st for 62 percent white standard.

The company made no price adjustments to its Trio postings.

California:

Potash pricing remained at a firm $695-$705/st FOB for Q4 shipment in California, with the low for 60 percent and the high for 62 percent MOP.

Pacific Northwest:

The potash market remained at $642-$652/st FOB warehouses in Washington, Oregon, and northern Idaho for Q4 shipment, with the low for 60 percent and the high for 62 percent MOP.

Intrepid raised its potash postings at Moab and Wendover, Utah, early in the week. New levels include 60 percent white standard at $670/st FOB and 60 percent white granular at $675/st FOB, up from the last postings of $620/st for 60 percent white granular and $615/st for 60 percent white standard.

Western Canada:

The potash market remained at a firm C$755-$765/mt FOB Saskatchewan mines for Q4 truck tons.

India:

The government is expected to increase funds available to cover MOP subsidies by US$3.94 million to meet rising global prices.

Local media is reporting prices have jumped from $280/mt to $445/mt CFR. The higher price seems to be based on unconfirmed reports of an award this week in the RCF tender that closed on Aug. 27 (GM Sept. 3, p. 14). There were reports that Belarusian Potash Co. (BPC) was awarded the entire tender requirement of 105,000 mt of white/pink standard potash. However, Green Markets was unable to independently confirm the award or the price level.

Under the original tender requirement, the tons were for delivery to Hay Bunder in three lots of 35,000 mt, with the first shipment to arrive on or before Oct. 15, the second on or before Nov. 15, and the third by Dec. 21.

China:

The National Development and Reform Commission instructed importers to ensure a plentiful supply of MOP for the domestic market. Unlike urea and phosphates, which are produced in China, the commission can only address the role of importers and local distributors.

Chinese MOP imports for January through August were reported at 5.5 million mt by Trade Data Monitor. This represents a 1.2 percent decrease from the 5.6 million mt imported during the same period last year. The main suppliers were Russia at 1.55 million mt, Canada at 1.5 million mt, and Belarus at 1.3 million mt.

August 2021 MOP imports of 382,000 mt showed a 55 percent decrease from the August 2020 amount of 855,000 mt. The August imports were the lowest so far this year. The average take each month is 194,000 mt.

Brazil:

Paranagua is quoted at $730-$770/mt CFR. Sources said the tightening of the market comes as MOP shipments are being delayed and buyers are sitting and waiting for their vessels to dock.The lower end of the Rondonopolis market dropped out, leaving the price at $860/mt FOB ex-warehouse.

Sulfur

Tampa:

Swollen sulfur inventories in the U.S. Gulf, combined with hurricane-reduced demand from fertilizer producers, dragged Tampa sulfur contracts lower in the fourth quarter.

Tampa’s largest buyer on Sept. 23 announced it had begun settling with major suppliers at $183/lt CFR, a $12/lt decline from $195/lt CFR in Q3, while the market’s other leading buyer followed suit on Sept. 24. With the market’s major players in agreement, fourth-quarter Tampa contracts moved to $183/lt CFR. Tons delivered to NOLA moved to $172/lt CFR from $184/lt CFR in the prior quarter, while Houston-delivered material softened to $168/lt CFR from $180/lt CFR.

Most market predictions centered on a $10-$15/lt decline to start the week, softening from previous speculation of a possible rollover from the prior quarter. The market’s likely $12/lt price reduction was highlighted by Hurricane Ida, which knocked two Louisiana phosphate production facilities offline for an estimated 8-9 weeks, and the burgeoning “sloppy” supply conditions in the U.S. Gulf.

Sources noted a possible decoupling of the U.S. and international markets in the weeks ahead, with some predicting firming international prices contrasted with falling values in the domestic U.S. market.

U.S. refinery utilization was seen lifting for the week, according to Energy Information Administration (EIA) data released on Sept. 22. Nationwide capacity usage was noted at a combined 87.5 percent for the week ending Sept. 17, rising 5.4 percentage points from 82.1 percent noted previously. The rate pulled ahead of both the year-ago 74.8 percent and the 85.1 percent five-year average.

Daily crude inputs were also higher, firming to an average 15.347 million barrels/d, a 960,000 barrel/d increase from 14.387 million barrels/d reported previously.

U.S. Gulf:

Genscape reported a Sept. 18 shutdown of the 85,000 barrel/d VPS-2 crude section at Motiva’s refinery in Port Arthur, Texas. A hydrotreater taken offline one day earlier, on Sept. 17, preceded the Sept. 19 shutdown of an associated 88,000 barrel/d fluidic catalytic cracking unit (FCC) at the facility. The crude section was noted returning to service on Sept. 19, followed by the FCC on Sept. 20.

A 67,000 barrel/d hydrocracker taken offline on Sept. 16 at the Royal Dutch Shell Plc plant in Deer Park, Texas, was successfully restarted on Sept. 23.

Logistics limitations and sharp demand reductions stemming from Hurricane Ida combined to produce a “sloppy” Gulf spot export market, sources said. Last-done continued to fall in the $173-$181/mt FOB range, with the market’s most recent business heard landing in the low-$180s/mt FOB.

Players warned of a potential looming “decoupling” of the Gulf from other international-facing markets, predicting a general logistical inability on the part of some Gulf producers to capitalize on expected price increases at Brazil.

“Been a long time since the U.S. market has disconnected from the international market,” one source commented. “Should be interesting to see what the ramifications of this are down the road.”

Brazil:

Last-done spot levels continued to be reported in the $210-$216/mt CFR range, while monthly pricing on tons loaded from the Middle East were expected to land in the $230s/mt CFR. A pending Copebras tender could award in the $240s/mt CFR or higher, market watchers speculated.

Contract tons for the third quarter were noted at $221-$223/mt CFR, higher than the $213-$214/mt CFR range reported for the prior quarter.

Vancouver:

Recent Vancouver pricing continued in the $180-$192/mt FOB range, unchanged from one week earlier.

Alberta:

Alberta sulfur was heard netting back at $68-$122/mt FOB, with molten tons contracted into the U.S. market setting the floor. Solid tons selling on the Vancouver export market were noted at the top of the range.

West Coast:

The Marathon Petroleum Corp. was reported suffering a power loss at the company’s 363,000 barrel/d Los Angeles, Calif., refinery on Sept. 17 after a 4.4-magnitude earthquake was reported in the area.

Genscape reported numerous units at the complex going offline at 10:01 p.m. before ramping up on the morning of Sept. 19, with full restarts achieved on several components on Sept. 20.

Price indications on material loading from the West Coast were noted steady in the $180-$192/mt FOB range. Third-quarter contract values were quoted at $150-$155/lt FOB, higher than $140-$155/lt FOB on record for the second quarter.

China:

Refinery utilization at China state-run refineries firmed to a 19-month high of 84 percent in August, Platts reported, a response to falling outputs from the country’s independent teapot refiners occurring in the third quarter. Teapots have faced increasing governmental pressure to cut runs, experiencing both reduced access to crude feedstocks and tightening environmental restrictions.

Refineries operated by Sinopec, PetroChina, CNOOC, and Sinochem combined to produce an average 7.76 million barrels/d through the month, about 83.98 percent of the facilities’ combined 9.24 million barrel/d capacity. State refiners operated at 82 percent in July.

Last-done sulfur imports at China continued to be heard in the $230-$240/mt CFR range, steady from the prior report.

ADNOC:

Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. solid sulfur cargoes were reported at $180/mt FOB Ruwais for September, rising $5/mt from August’s $175/mt FOB posting.

Qatar:

The Qatargas Common Sulfur Plant (CSP), run by RLTO & Refining, was noted producing sulfur at a rate of 10,000 mt/d for the first time in August, Gulf Times reported. CSP, located at Qatar’s primary sulfur export center of Ras Laffan, is one of the world’s largest single sulfur processing facilities.

Muntajat set Qatar-produced sulfur pricing at $178/mt FOB Ras Laffan for loading in September. The market was posted at $164/mt in August, a $14/mt difference.

Sulfuric Acid

U.S. Gulf:

Price ideas on spot vessels imported to the U.S. Gulf continued to be floated at $220-$225/mt CFR, unchanged from one week earlier.

Gulf Coast:

In the U.S. delivered markets, sulacid tons delivered to Gulf Coast locations were contracted at $85-$110/st DEL for 2021 delivery.

Midwest:

The Midwest sulfuric acid mark ran even with the Gulf Coast for 2021 agreements, at $85-$110/st DEL.

West Coast:

Sources reported West Coast tons in the $100-$130/st DEL range for annual contracts.

Brazil:

Alcoa Corp. and South32 Ltd. are moving forward with a planned restart of the company’s Alumar aluminum smelting complex, Bloomberg reported. The 447,000 mt/y facility has been fully shut down since 2015.

Restarting potlines will require 3-6 months, pushing the plant’s first likely outputs into first-half 2022. An ongoing drought in the northeast of Brazil will potentially limit hydroelectric availability to the smelter. Alumar’s long-term power goals include moving toward 100 percent use of renewable energy sources by 2024.

Recent sulfuric acid import pricing at Brazil was noted in the $245-$250/mt CFR range, unmoved from the prior report.

Ammonium Thiosulfate

Eastern Cornbelt:

Ammonium thiosulfate was quoted at $355-$375/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt, with the low in Ohio and the high in Indiana.

Western Cornbelt:

The ammonium thiosulfate market remained at $350-$375/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt.

California:

Sources continued to report limited ammonium thiosulfate offers at the $327/st FOB level in California.

Pacific Northwest:

Ammonium thiosulfate was pegged at $335-$355/st DEL in the Pacific Northwest, up $10-$20/st from the last reported offers.

Calcium Ammonium Nitrate

California:

The CAN-17 market firmed to a solid $340/st FOB Stockton during the week, up from $310-$320/st FOB at last report.

Pacific Northwest:

CAN-17 pricing was quoted at $310/st FOB Kennewick, Wash., up $10/st from last report.

Germany/Benelux:

Yara on Sept. 21 announced a €45/mt hike in its list price for November deliveries of CAN-27 (YaraBelaNitromag) to Germany and Benelux, to €375/mt bulk CIF. The increase comes just a week after the initial posting for November deliveries (GM Sept. 17, p. 18).

As with its ammonium nitrate deliveries to France, Yara warned that only limited CAN-27 volumes were available. By Sept. 23, the company reported that it was sold out of CAN and had pulled the offer prices.

Yara has also raised its posted prices for November deliveries of YaraBelaSulfan, to €385.50/mt bulk CIF for Germany and €387/mt bulk for Benelux, with immediate effect.

Sulfate of Potash

California:

SOP pricing jumped to a broad $675-$775/st FOB Stockton, but supply was described as “extremely tight,” with at least one supplier reportedly withdrawing offers until future product availability can be confirmed. The posted price FOB Chico is slated to move on Oct. 1 to the $760/st FOB level.

Pacific Northwest:

The SOP market firmed to $700/st DEL or FOB in the Pacific Northwest.