US Gulf:
NOLA barge trades were reported at $355-$390/st early
in the week, largely in line with the week-ago $350-$387/st FOB. By late
Thursday afternoon, however, a trade was reported as low as $338/st FOB.
Eastern Cornbelt:
Strong
demand and limited supply pushed urea prices higher in the Eastern Cornbelt.
The market strengthened to $425-$450/st FOB in the region, up from last week’s
$420-$430/st range, with the low confirmed out of river terminals in Illinois.
The Cincinnati, Ohio, market jumped to $445-$450/st FOB during the week, above
the prior week’s $420-$425/st FOB.
Western Cornbelt:
The
fast fieldwork pace stretched supplies of urea in the Western Cornbelt, pushing
prices higher as the week progressed.
Urea
was quoted at $410-$430/st FOB in the region, up from last week’s $395-$425/st
FOB, with the St. Louis, Mo., market reported at $410-$425/st FOB. Inventories
were reportedly tapped out at Port Neal, Iowa, at midweek, where the last price
was quoted at the $425/st FOB level.
In
the Southern Plains, urea offers at Catoosa/Inola, Okla., firmed to
$425-$445/st FOB, up from $415-$435/st FOB last week.
Northern Plains:
Urea
jumped to $430-$435/st FOB St. Paul, Minn., up from last week’s $395-$430/st
range, with the latest offers at Carrington, N.D., reported at the $460/st FOB
level.
Delivered
urea pricing ranged broadly in North Dakota, from a low of $455-$480/st for
tons from Canada to a high of $500/st DEL for US-produced urea. Delivered tons
in Montana reportedly firmed to the $520/st level for domestic product.
Northeast:
Urea
strengthened to $440/st FOB Fairless Hills, Pa., $465/st FOB East Liverpool,
Ohio, and $470/st FOB Baltimore, Md., up from last week’s $420-$440/st FOB and
the $395-$420/st FOB range reported in late March and early April.
Eastern Canada:
Urea
prices remained under pressure in Eastern Canada. The market slipped to a broad
C$680-$875/mt FOB range in late April, depending on location and supplier,
below the previous low of C$700/mt.
India:
Sources said traders are
still scouring the market to nail down the last set of tons awarded in the
Indian Potash Ltd. (IPL) tender. The global market remains awash with extra
urea, said one trader, and with a shipping deadline of June 1, it should not be
difficult to find the necessary tons. Prices are beginning to move up, however,
cutting into the profit margins of material sold at $330-$335/mt CFR.
There are still
expectations that another tender will be called during the last week of May.
Sources said the call could come earlier if all the tons awarded in the
previous tender have vessels nominated.
Black Sea:
The price out of the
Black Sea has moved up to $300-$305/mt FOB. This is in line with other price
movements in the urea market.
Interfax reported the Russian government is ready to issue new
export quotas for urea. According to the report, Urea exports will be limited
to 6 million mt for the June 1-Nov. 30 period.
Exports at that level
should not impact the global market. While Russia has limited the release of
its export numbers, data released by Trade Data Monitor showed worldwide
imports of Russian urea – as reported by countries receiving Russian material –
totaling 6.5 million mt in 2021.
While a full accounting
of 2022 Russian urea imports is not yet available, 6.6 million mt have so far
been recorded for the year. Brazil was Russia’s largest buyer with 1.1 million
mt, followed by India with 843,000 mt. The US took 734,000 mt.
Indonesia:
Pupuk closed a tender
for prilled urea on April 18. The final award for the 5,000-10,000 mt tender
was reportedly issued to Ameropa for a price in the mid-$330s/mt FOB, a premium
to $311/mt FOB paid for granular earlier in April.
Sources described the
lack of Chinese prilled urea in the regional market as helping to push
Indonesian prills to a higher price than granular tons. Sources said Pupuk is
now sold out of both prilled and granular urea through mid-May.
Middle East:
Reports of sales during the week moved prices up to
$330/mt FOB. Oman and Saudi Arabia started out the week selling material in the
mid-$320s/mt FOB, sources said. By the week’s end, Fertiglobe sold UAE urea at
$330/mt FOB. Sources could name neither the buyers nor destinations of the
cargoes.
The sales eased pressure
on what sources had called growing pressure on warehouse storage facilities in
the Arab Gulf, even though the deals did not fully zero out the reserves.
Higher prices in the
Arab Gulf came from sources calculating prices back from NOLA. Expectations now
have the price remaining firm – or growing stronger – for at least another
30-40 days.
Iranian urea exports
were reported at 633,000 mt for January-March, according to Trade Data
Monitor, off25% from the prior-year 847,000 mt. Sources said that
both reduced production and efforts to ensure strong supplies for the domestic
market caused a pullback in the amount of urea offered on the global market.
March exports were
pegged at 192,000 mt, less than half of the year-ago 418,000 mt. The main
buyers were Turkey, taking 80,000 mt, followed by Thailand with 32,000 mt.
Egypt:
MOPCO sold 30,000 mt of
granular urea late last week at $345/mt FOB, moving up the price from deals
done a few days earlier. The trend continued this week with a sale of 5,000 mt,
priced at $350/mt FOB.
Sources speculated that
the larger cargo will be sent to a buyer in Latin America, while the smaller
lot will go to Europe.
China:
The urea market is
waiting to see what changes – if any – that Beijing will make in its export
provisions for urea. An announcement is expected on May 1.
Uncertainty about the
situation has prices in a state of flux. Early reports of small deals being
done at $350/mt FOB for regional buyers in Southeast Asia were quickly trumped
by reports that prices on larger cargoes remained in the $370s/mt FOB.
Regional buyers looking
to take product immediately may have pushed the smaller sales through quickly,
sources speculated. Sellers were unsure what the May 1 announcement would mean
for their ability to sell prompt tons and got rid of what they could, when they
could. Buyers, on the other hand, got urea at prices closer to the global
market price instead of the much higher price dictated by the Chinese domestic
market.
South Korea:
Urea imports totaled 267,000 mt for January-March, Trade
Data Monitor reported, an 18% fall from the year-ago 327,000 mt.
March imports were
tagged at 112,000 mt, up from 85,000 mt received in March 2022. China and
Vietnam each supplied about 33,000 mt, while Saudi Arabia added another 27,000
mt.
Brazil:
Sources said that
efforts to push the price to $365/mt CFR were attempted and failed, with deals
settling at $340-$350/mt CFR. The move came as the global markets reacted to
stronger prices out of the US and Egypt.
The Rondonopolis price
was reported at $450-$465/mt FOB ex-warehouse, reflecting an upward shift from
the low end of the previous range. Few deals were done due to limited seasonal
demand, sources said. The strength in pricing is not expected to last long.
Poland:
Grupa Azoty said its nitrogen fertilizer production
fell by 35% in March, to 211,000 mt from the year-ago 325,000 mt.