Record exports, which CF Industries Holdings Inc., attributed to its investment in Keytrade AG, helped the company achieve a strong performance during the second quarter ending June 30, 2009. CF results exceeded analyst expectations.
Net income was off only 19.3 percent, versus the much larger percentages reported the prior week by other major domestic fertilizer companies (GM July 27 p. 10-14). Net income was $248.2 million for the second quarter, compared to the year-ago $307.7 million. Net income attributable to common shares was $213 million ($4.33 per diluted share), versus the year-ago $288.6 million ($5.01 per share). EBITDA was $395.7 million, versus the year-ago $460.4 million. Net sales were $991 million, versus the year-ago $1.16 billion.
“I believe our second quarter results confirm CF Industries’ ability to react nimbly and profitably to volatile market conditions,” said CF Chairman and CEO Stephen Wilson. “Given the challenging spring, these results compare very well to our record performance in last year’s second quarter.
“Faced with adverse weather conditions throughout much of the U.S. Midwest, and high inventories at the distributor and retail levels, we moved aggressively to tap export markets for phosphate and nitrogen products.” CF exported its best-ever 359,000 tons of phosphates to markets mainly in Central and Latin America, compared to the year-ago 85,000 tons.
“We also capitalized on the global competitiveness of our North American nitrogen production, exporting approximately 145,000 tons of granular urea and UAN solution.”
Second-quarter nitrogen margins were actually up at $403.2 million on sales of $755 million, versus the year-ago $362 million and $848.6 million, respectively. Wilson told analysts that the company manages its business on margins, not price. “It you look at the spread between ammonia prices available in the Midwest and the gas costs, it looks pretty darn good today,” he said.
CF nitrogen plants ran at 91 percent capacity during the quarter. Nitrogen sales under CF’s Forward Pricing Program totaled 1 million tons during the second quarter, 51 percent of nitrogen sales volumes. The year-ago FPP sales accounted for 72 percent. Six-month margins were $572.6 million on sales of $1.21 billion, versus the year-ago $559.5 million and $1.29 billion.
Despite the record exports, second-quarter phosphate margins sank to $23.8 million on sales of $236 million, versus the year-ago $107.9 million and $312.4 million. The Plant City phosphate complex was at 95 percent capacity during the second quarter; however, it began the third at significantly reduced rates to a softer domestic market. Second-quarter FPP volumes were 61,000 st, 9 percent of segment volumes, down from 330,000 st and 72 percent for the year-ago quarter. Six-month margins were $16.7 million on sales of $460.4 million, versus the year-ago $181.6 million and $541.9 million.
CF had to take a $5 million write-down ($.06 per share) on potash inventories during the second quarter due to a decline in prices. CF sold 106,000 st of potash during the second quarter and said it has orders for virtually the entire remaining potash inventory of 57,000 st, with no plans for additional purchases.
Six-month net income was $331.2 million on sales of $1.67 billion, versus the year-ago $485 million and $1.83 billion. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $275.7 million ($5.61 per share), versus the year-ago $447.4 million ($7.78 per share). EBITDA was $520.6 million, compared to $722.8 million. One source said six-month EBITDA exceed analyst estimates for the entire year.
“Given low downstream inventories, continued strong demand for corn and other crops, and very positive economics for farmers this fall, we believe we’re positioned for a good fall fertilizer application season,” said Wilson. He noted that at the end of the end of the quarter ammonia inventories were higher than planned, but that other product levels, such as UAN and urea, were low but at appropriate levels.
He said CF entered the third quarter with a low FPP book and that it made a strategic decision during May and June to limit FPP orders for fall delivery since available future prices didn’t offer what CF considered attractive margins. However, he expects improved nitrogen and phosphate prices in the fall season, noting that raw material costs such as gas, sulfur, and ammonia remain low versus year-ago levels.
In other news, Wilson said the CF board has authorized $30 million for the front-end design engineering and design study and related environmental impact work for the proposed nitrogen plant in Peru. To date, CF has spent about $10 million and expects to spend the rest in the next six-tonne months.
| St sold 000 |
2Q-09 |
2Q-08 |
YTD-09 |
YTD-08 |
| Total nitrogen |
1,878 |
2,118 |
3,143 |
3,384 |
| Ammonia |
481 |
531 |
614 |
606 |
| Urea |
714 |
804 |
1,447 |
1,454 |
| UAN |
651 |
758 |
1,048 |
1,297 |
| Other N |
32 |
25 |
34 |
27 |
| Avg Selling Prices $/st |
2Q-09 |
2Q-08 |
YTD-09 |
YTD-08 |
| Ammonia |
696 |
513 |
660 |
502 |
| Urea |
295 |
417 |
331 |
404 |
| UAN |
316 |
313 |
309 |
301 |
| Natural Gas Costs $/mmBtu |
2Q-09 |
2Q-08 |
YTD-09 |
YTD-08 |
| Donaldsonville |
5.03 |
8.83 |
6.36 |
8.62 |
| Medicine Hat |
4.04 |
8.77 |
5.06 |
8.26 |
| St sold 000 |
2Q-09 |
2Q-08 |
YTD-09 |
YTD-08 |
| P & K volumes |
674 |
456 |
1,201 |
926 |
| DAP |
469 |
379 |
914 |
763 |
| MAP |
99 |
77 |
181 |
163 |
| Potash |
106 |
NA |
106 |
NA |
| Domestic |
315 |
371 |
655 |
760 |
| Export |
359 |
85 |
546 |
166 |
| Avg Selling Prices $/st |
2Q-09 |
2Q-08 |
YTD-09 |
YTD-08 |
| DAP |
304 |
696 |
359 |
594 |
| MAP |
346 |
629 |
400 |
544 |
| Potash |
558 |
NA |
560 |
NA |