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Agrium to proceed with Egyptian project, reports 1Q loss, expects record 2nd half

Agrium Inc. said May 1 that it and its project co-owners are proceeding with the construction of a world-scale nitrogen facility to be located in Damietta, Egypt, with completion expected in 2010. The plant will be designed and built by Uhde GmbH and consist of two ammonia and urea trains with a combined capacity of 1.3 million mt of urea and 100,000 mt of net ammonia. Agrium has been eyeing the project for a long time and has been waiting to pull the trigger.

“This is an outstanding opportunity for Agrium to construct and operate a facility in an area with long-term, competitively priced gas, prime access to world markets, and an efficient, well-educated workforce. Our project co-owners bring local business knowledge, energy supply and distribution expertise, which combined with our expertise in marketing and operations, positions this project very well, and we expect the facility to have one of the lowest operating costs in the world,” said Mike Wilson, Agrium President and CEO.

Agrium will have a 60 percent interest in the EAgrium joint venture. Egyptian government-owned entities EChem and EGAS will hold a 24 percent interest in the joint venture, and GASCO, the national operator of the gas distribution grid, will hold a nine percent interest. The Arab Petroleum Investment Corporation (APICORP) will hold the remaining seven percent interest. Agrium is to be the exclusive marketer of the nitrogen products exported from this facility.

The lump sum turn-key project is scheduled to commence by May 15, 2007, with the first train expected to be complete the first half of 2010 and the second train to be complete by the end of 2010. The construction cost of the facility and related infrastructure is forecast to be approximately $1.2-billion. The majority of the project is expected to be financed through nonrecourse debt, with the remainder funded by equity contributions from the co-owners. The project is conditional on a lender financing commitment.

Wilson told analysts May 3 that the $1.2 billion is fixed. He also praised Uhde for having excellent experience in Egypt and for having delivered similar projects early. Wilson said the plant will have one of the lowest operating costs in the world. It will have a 25-year gas contract in line with others in the region, with margins similar to Agrium’s co-owned Profertil plant in Argentina.

Agrium said the new plant would likely cause it to adjust its marketing to have an office in Europe, where a portion of the product would go. It also expects the product to find a home in the U.S. and nearby markets.

Agrium reported a net loss of $11 million ($.08 per diluted share) on sales of $861 million for the first quarter ending March 31, compared to a year-ago loss of $48 million ($.37 per share) on sales of $688 million. Wilson noted that the company traditionally has a loss in the first quarter. It was also impacted by a largely non-cash charge for stock-based compensation expenses of $28 million given the strength of Agrium’s share price.

Wilson said first-quarter activity was focused on positioning the company to benefit from the very strong industry conditions. “We expect the spring of 2007 to be the best we have ever seen, despite some impact from weather issues and rail service disruptions.” As evidence of this, Wilson told analysts that the company has seen a 60 percent increase in corn seed sales through April 23.

Wilson touted Agrium’s distribution system when analysts raised concerns regarding the late corn crop, saying this was one advantage Agrium would have over some of its competitors.

Agrium is working to whip its phosphate operations back into shape. Problems at the Kapukasing mine have caused the company to import 60,000 mt of Moroccan rock, and imports are expected to continue as Kapukasing is improved. Agrium said mining is moving into a better grade of ore. Rail service out of the mine has been an issue, and the company did lose some 20 days of lost rock shipments from the mine. Overall, the Canadian Pacific Railway strike impacted phosphate shipments as well as about 60,000 mt of potash. Additional near-term rail strikes would likely impact potash exports more than other commodities, according to the company. Agrium said it expects its phosphate to get back to a 9-10 on a scale of 10 this year. Also on the phosphate side, Wilson believes prices are sustainable, at least until the new 3 million mt/y Saudi project comes online in over three years – and even then, demand could absorb the impact. Likewise, he was optimistic that new world nitrogen capacity or more imports into the U.S. would be needed.

Agrium said the Kenai nitrogen plant was late coming back up due to cold weather. However, the gas not used went into storage, giving the company a buffer for later in the year.

In Argentina, Agrium has discussed the removal of the $300/mt cap on domestic urea prices with the government; however, no changes are expected through the second quarter.

Retail Whls Adv.Tech Other Total
$/M 07 06 07 06 07 06 07 06 07 06
Net Sales 337 280 484 379 52 16 (52) (18) 821 657
Gross Profit 85 66 96 62 11 3 (4) 1 188 132
EBITDA (13) (9) 92 8 8 2 (45) (26) 42 (25)
Net Sales Gross Profit
Retail $/M 07 06 07 06
Fertilizer 201 150 45 32
Chemical 80 75 23 24
Other 56 55 17 10
Total 337 280 85 66

Grain and ethanol drives The Andersons 1Q

Maumee, Ohio-The Andersons Inc. on May 2 announced first-quarter revenues of $409 million and net income of $9.2 million ($0.51 per diluted share), compared with $281 million and $3.8 million ($0.25 per share), respectively, in last year’s first quarter. The improved results were spurred by the company’s Grain and Ethanol Group, which posted first-quarter operating income of $10.2 million, compared with $1.8 million in the year-ago quarter. The segment nearly doubled last year’s performance by posting total revenues of $247 million for the period, led by more than $30 million of ethanol sales associated with the company’s new Albion, Mich., ethanol joint venture, and by higher grain bushel sales and a 40 percent improvement in average grain prices. The Plant Nutrient Group saw operating income of $0.4 million on revenues of $67 million for the first quarter, compared with an operating loss of $1.2 million on revenues of $46 million in last year’s quarter. The increase was attributed to higher product prices, better margins, and increased tonnage for this year’s large corn crop. Citing heavy buying last fall and wintry weather in March, the Turf and Specialty Group posted first-quarter operating income of $1.8 million on revenues of $36 million, down from the year-ago $2.1 million and $40 million, respectively. The Rail Group also saw a downturn from 2006, posting operating income of $3 million for the quarter, down $3.2 million from last year’s first quarter due to lower railcar sales and higher maintenance costs. The company anticipates full-year 2007 earnings in the range of $2.35 to $2.60 per diluted share.

Lesco shareholders approve Deere deal

Cleveland-Lesco Inc. shareholders voted on May 3 in favor of the company being acquired by Deere & Co. (GM Feb. 26, p. 1; March 26, p. 15). Lesco reported that 78 percent of the company’s common shares present and voting at the special meeting approved the merger agreement, representing approximately 67 percent of the total number of common shares outstanding and entitled to vote. The company expects to close the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement as soon as practicable.

Ammonia margins off, revenues up at Magellan

Tulsa-First-quarter operating margins at Magellan Midstream LP’s ammonia pipeline were a loss of $624,000 on increased revenues of $4.9 million, versus the year-ago operating margin of $2.5 million on revenues of $4.7 million. Volumes were off slightly, at 204,000 st from 206,000 st. Operating expenses were up significantly during the quarter, to $5.5 million from the year-ago $2.2 million. Magellan said this was due to increased environmental accruals for historical releases and higher integrity spending as work is completed for the high consequence area testing mandated by federal regulations. Magellan-wide net income was up slightly, at $49.7 million ($.55 per diluted share) on sales of $292 million, versus the year-ago $48.3 million ($.55 per share) and $279.3 million, respectively.

Agriliance losses grow in recent quarter

Inver Grove Heights, Minn.-Agriliance LLC reported a net loss of $27.4 million on sales of $497.5 million for the quarter ending Feb. 28, 2007, versus a year-ago loss of $16.9 million on sales of $497.5 million. The decrease was attributed to crop protection margins. Retail operation margins showed slight improvements, and crop nutrient volumes were up 10 percent. The company has a six-month loss of $58.8 million on sales of $1.17 billion, versus the year-ago loss of $32.6 million on sales of $1.19 billion. On an annual basis for the year ending Dec. 31, 2006, Agriliance was still in the plus column, with net earnings of $23.2 million, down from 2005’s $71.0 million.

LOL doubles 1Q earnings

St. Paul-Land O’Lakes Inc. net earnings were $55 million on sales of $2.2 billion for the first quarter ending March 31, 2007, up from the year-ago $26.1 million and $2 billion, respectively. LOL’s agronomy sector reported $2.1 million in pretax earnings versus a year-ago loss of $6.4 million. LOL participates in agronomy via its 50 percent stake in Agriliance LLC. It said a better reflection of the agronomy performance would come later in the busy spring season.

CHS net earnings double

St. Paul-CHS Inc. reported net income of $82.3 million on sales of $3.7 billion for the second quarter ending Feb. 28, 2007, versus the year-ago $40.1 million and $3.2 billion. CHS said its equity investment in Agriliance LLC decreased earnings by $5.2 million and primarily relates to reduced crop protection product margins, mostly related to reduced rebates. Six-month net income was $218.6 million on sales of $7.5 billion, versus the year-ago $194.4 million and $6.6 billion, respectively.

Specialty fertilizer sales up at Compass

Overland Park, Kan.-Compass Minerals International reported an increase in specialty fertilizer volumes and prices, though operating earnings were off slightly for the first quarter ending March 31, 2007. Specialty fert operating earnings were $7.7 million on sales of $32.1 million (107,000 st @ average $300.58/st) versus the year-ago $7.9 million and $27.7 million (97,000 st @ $285.39/st). Volume and price gains were partially offset by a significant increase in potash costs. The company began implementing a $10/st price increase on its SOP on March 1, and its specialty fert subsidiary, Great Salt Lakes Minerals, announced another $20/st increase for June 1. Compass-wide first-quarter net earnings were off slightly, to $26.1 million ($.80 per diluted share) on increased sales of $264.2 million, versus the year-ago $28.6 million ($.88 per share) and $217.9 million.

Dyno Nobel re-enters southern Africa market

North Sydney, Australia-Dyno Nobel Ltd. reports that it has signed an agreement to acquire a 50 percent stake in Sasol Dyno Nobel (SDN), a South African initiation systems manufacturer, for US$34.5 million. “The stake in SDN is aligned to our strategy of leveraging our core technologies through re-entering previously exited markets,” said Peter Richards, Dyno Nobel CEO. “This will provide direct access to the attractive southern African market that is undergoing a conversion away from the older cap and safety fuse products to nonelectric initiation systems.” Dyno Nobel previously owned a 40 percent stake in SDN prior to Industri Kapital selling the Dyno Nobel Group, including all joint venture interests, to the Macquarie Bank led consortium in December 2005. “This region is one of the world’s great mining regions which continues to see major investment in new mines,” said Richards. “In addition, improved mining practices have directly resulted in increased demand for more technically advanced explosives products. Demand for nonelectric initiating systems is expected to triple in the next three years, and this places Sasol Dyno Nobel in an excellent position to leverage growth opportunities in the region.”

Trucking firm faces action in anhydrous leak

Springfield, Ill.-Illinois EPA, along with the Winnebago County sheriff’s office, has been investigating the April 23 release of up to 20 tons of anhydrous ammonia during unloading from a semi-transporter into a storage facility at a farm supply in the tiny town of Seward, and is recommending enforcement action against the trucking firm. Illinois EPA Director Doug Scott has asked the attorney general’s office to proceed with the action against Ellinor Trucking and River Rock Logistics of Lanark, alleging an inadequate transfer hose was used when an Ellinor employee prepared to offload the anhydrous ammonia to an above ground storage tank at Seward Ag Supply. The nighttime incident caused nearly all the residents of Seward to evacuate their homes to two high schools in nearby towns until the next morning. While no one was injured, ten individuals went to local hospitals complaining of throat irritation, and three cows and four pigs in a holding pen within about 200 yards of the facility were killed by the vapor, which hovered over the town for several hours. Illinois EPA said the decision to refer the case to the attorney general was due to the threat of air pollution that was potentially life-threatening to local citizens and the livestock in the surrounding area. The Illinois EPA also requested that Ellinor immediately cease using inadequate hoses and only use transfer hoses that are U.S. DOT approved for the relevant chemicals. “The deaths of the animals indicate the very severe risk that was posed to citizens in the surrounding area when the incident occurred,” said Illinois EPA. Seward Supply General Manager Dennis Ross told Green Markets that the decision has been made not to bring any more anhydrous ammonia into town. “We’re considering moving the facility permanently out of town,” Ross added, explaining that it’s not totally because of this incident since preliminary discussions were started six months ago. He said that Seward Supply has done business with Ellinor Trucking in the past and has found them reliable.