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Agrium reports second-best quarter, says stage set for strong fall season

Agrium Inc.’s net earnings for the second quarter ending June 30, 2010, were second best in its history. Net earnings were $506 million ($3.20 per diluted share) on sales of $4.4 billion, up from the year-ago $370 million ($2.35 per diluted share) on sales of $4.1 billion.

“We believe crop nutrient inventories for North American retailers and distributors is currently very low for virtually all products, and that major restocking will be required as we enter the fall season,” Mike Wilson, Agrium president and CEO, told analysts. “This factor, combined with the tightening world market and higher crop prices, should set the stage for a strong 2010 fall season.” He said an early harvest and high grain prices will make farmers more likely to apply fertilizer. Wilson cited USDA’s continued downgrade of world grain stock projections, as well as severe droughts in Russia and Europe.

In addition, Agrium estimates that as many as 10 million acres did not get planted in Western Canada due to wet weather. Although this impacted Agrium’s results, the company said the impact was offset by its balanced portfolio. While April saw good weather in the U.S, Wilson said May and June saw wet weather that adversely impacted seeding and application levels.

Agrium noted that it had a reduction in equity earnings in the quarter due to a retroactive change in tax status for its Egyptian investment. The government imposed a tax rate of 20 percent on earnings, resulting in a $7 million charge for the quarter. Agrium said it is protesting the government ruling.

For the third quarter, Agrium says it has sold 75 percent of its potash, 90 percent of its phosphate, 45 percent of its ammonium sulfate, and 80 percent of its nitrogen. Approximately 25 percent of the fourth quarter is sold. These forward sales were at market benchmarks occurring in the past 60-90 days.

Agrium said its retail business inventories were down about 50 percent from year-ago levels as of June 30. However, it said retail is now fairly well covered for the fall season.

Second-quarter retail net earnings were $360 million on sales of $3.34 billion, up from the year-ago $283 million on sales of $3.15 billion.

Second-quarter wholesale net earnings were $285 million on sales of $1.04 billion, up from the year-ago $215 million on sales of $950 million. The company saw a huge surge in potash volumes, to 529,000 mt versus the year-ago 61,000 mt. Average prices dropped to $355/mt from the year-ago $770/mt. Potash sales were up, at $188 million from the year-ago $47 million.

Second-quarter advanced technology earnings were $15 million on sales of $138 million, up from $8 million on sales of $82 million.

Six-month net income was $499 million ($3.16 per share) on sales of $6.28 billion, up from the year-ago $310 million ($1.97 per share) on sales of $5.9 billion.

Six-month retail income was $288 million on sales of $4.4 billion, up from the year-ago $189 million on sales of $4.2 billion.

Six-month wholesale income was $425 million on sales of $1.83 million, up from the year-ago $272 million on sales of $1.64 billion.

Six-month advanced tech income was $14 million on sales of $201 million, up from the year-ago $9 million on sales of $149 million.

AGRIUM 2Q-10 mt 2Q-10 price 2Q-09 mt 2Q-09 price
Nitrogen 1,256 $354 1,244 $373
Potash 529 $355 61 $770
Phosphates 243 $510 260 $454
6M-10 mt 6M-10 price 6M-09 mt 6M-09 price
Nitrogen 1,988 $344 1,917 $362
Potash 1,063 $347 137 $650
Phosphates 493 $485 462 $500
* mt = 000 metric tons of sales; price = average selling price per mt

CF 2Q income off due to one-time charges; outlook good for fall

CF Industries Holdings Inc. reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $105.1 million ($1.54 per diluted share) for the second quarter ending June 30, 2010, down from $213 million a year-ago. Second-quarter results included $113.7 million of business combination and integration costs, a $15.1 million non-cash market-to-market gain on natural gas derivatives, and $1.9 million in Peru project costs.

Second-quarter sales were up, at $1.31 billion from the year-ago $991 million.

CF said an early thaw in the Corn Belt led to the highest direct-application ammonia volume of any spring since 1994, and to record-low Midwest inventories of ammonia. Entering the second quarter, CF said it expected 2.4 million tons of ammonia to be sold for agricultural use in the U.S. However, due to ideal conditions, it now estimates that 3 million tons were applied. As a result, estimates for the fertilizer year ending June 30, 2010, are that 12.8 million nutrient tons of nitrogen were applied, versus an expected 12.4 million tons.

CF’s own ammonia sales volumes for the quarter were a whopping 1.19 million st, versus the year-ago 481,000 st. Average prices were down, however, to $380/st from the year-ago $696/st.

Second-quarter nitrogen gross margin was $367.5 million on sales of $1.12 billion, versus the year-ago $403.2 million on sales of $755 million. Tons sold moved up to 3.93 million st from 1.88 million st, which also reflects the acquisition of Terra Industries Inc.

Second-quarter phosphate gross margin was $29.3 million on sales of $185.1 million, up from the year-ago $23.8 million on sales of $236 million. Tons sold were down, to 459,000 st from the year-ago 674,000 st. CF noted that the year-ago period saw an unusually high number of phosphate exports, and it also included potash sales, which were discontinued in 2010.

Six-month net income was $100.7 million ($1.71 per share) on sales of $1.81 billion, down from the year-ago $275.7 million ($5.61 per share) on sales of $1.67 billion.

Six-month nitrogen gross margin was $464.8 million on sales of $1.45 billion, versus the year-ago $572.6 million on sales of $1.21 billion. Sales volumes were 5.13 million st, up from the year-ago 3.14 million st.

Six-month phosphate margins were $61 million on sales of $360.5 million, up from the year-ago $16.7 million on sales of $460.4 million. Tons sold were 939,000 st, down from the year-ago 1.2 million st.

CF expects a strong fall fertilizer season, citing an early harvest, expected large acreage in 2011, increasing application rates, and pricing momentum.

“We were patient though a challenging UAN market in the second quarter, and were rewarded for our patience in July,” said Stephen Wilson, CF chairman, president, and CEO. “At this point, we expect upward momentum in nitrogen to be sustained by the combination of low inventories, seasonal supply outages, solid demand – both domestically and internationally – and favorable relationships between natural gas prices in North America and other world markets.” Part of the reason for those low inventories were some 35,000 tons of UAN that CF exported in June. It said it has made arrangements for additional exports to four countries in the third quarter.

CF is also upbeat about second-half phosphates, saying it continues to maintain very low inventories, matching low levels observed in markets worldwide. It noted that India continues to require large phosphate volumes, restocking demand is emerging in South America, and demand drivers in Europe and North America are positive.

Agrium’s Borger outage spurs market speculation; company gives update on other plants

Agrium Inc.’s Borger, Texas, plant went down unexpectedly last week, and the company says it should be offline for only two weeks. Agrium said there was a structural failure on the west side of the cooling tower at the Borger plant. A portable tower is expected to be in place in about two weeks, according to an Agrium spokesman. The company said the biggest impact would be on ammonia.

Borger capacity is about 540,000 st/y of anhydrous ammonia and 109,000 st/y of urea, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center (IFDC).

In a market with rising prices, many last week said they would be watching closely to see if the plant does return to production in two weeks. Prices have been rising throughout the summer, and word last week that Russia is putting a ban on grain exports caused a spike in wheat prices. This at a time when buyers in the Southern Plains wheat country are working hard to make sure they have enough fertilizer. Sources again noted the need to get product on the Arkansas River prior to lock work later in August.

.In the meantime, last week Agrium was in the midst of a large turnaround in Argentina. The Profertil nitrogen plant had to go down earlier than expected due to gas shortages. The plant went down in July rather than the expected Aug. 1, when it was slated to commence a 45-day turnaround. The plant is expected to be down for repairs until Sept. 15, and Agrium expects gas supplies to be adequate for restart.

In North America, Agrium expects turnarounds at nitrogen plants at Carseland from Oct. 1-19 and at Sacramento Sept. 12-18. Fort Saskatchewan did a turnaround June 6-22.

The Redwater phosphate plant will take a turnaround Sept. 7-Oct. 4. The Conda plant was down June 1-30.

The Vanscoy potash facility was down June 25-July 19.

LSB chemical income up; Pryor plant expected back up by end of September

LSB Industries Inc. said increased volumes in major chemical markets helped boost earnings for that business segment for the second quarter ending June 30, 2010. LSB expects that market strength to continue for the rest of the year. Chemical operating income was $9.2 million on sales of $106.4 million, compared to the year-ago $6.2 million on sales of $69.9 million.

The chemical uptick comes despite start-up costs at its Pryor Chemical plant, which is currently undergoing repairs due to a fire (GM July 5, p. 1). LSB now expects those repairs to be complete toward the end of September. It said insurance will provide for replacement coverage relating to property damage with a $1 million deductible, and business interruption coverage for certain lost profits and extra expense with a 30-day waiting period and $250,000 deductible.

The company reported only limited anhydrous ammonia and UAN production and sales from Pryor before the fire. As a result, the company said it incurred losses of $2 million and $8 million for the quarter and six months, respectively. Second-quarter start-up expenses were $3.2 million, while six-month start-up expenses were $5.2 million.

Despite the positive second quarter, six-month chemical income was down at $11.1 million on sales of $181.2 million, versus the year-ago income of $18.8 million on sales of $144.4 million.

Company-wide, LSB reported second-quarter net income of $6 million ($.27 per share) on sales of $168.4 million, compared to the year-ago $8.7 million ($.38 per share) on sales of $138.6 million. Six-month net income was $7.7 million ($.35 per share) on sales of $298.8 million, versus the year-ago $20.5 million ($.89 per share) on sales of $288.8 million.

Mosaic to appeal preliminary injunction, expects to shut down phosphate mine

The Mosaic Co. said July 31 that it would appeal a preliminary injunction entered July 30 by the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Florida that prevents impacts to federal wetlands on the Hardee County extension of Mosaic’s South Fort Meade phosphate mine in Central Florida. The district court also remanded certain aspects of the permit back to the Army Corps of Engineers for additional information.

“We’re disappointed by the ruling and will immediately seek an expedited appeal of the matter. We do not believe the decision was supported by the overwhelming facts supporting the Army Corps’ decision to issue the South Fort Meade permit. This permit has received a higher level of scrutiny and contains more environmental protections than any prior Florida phosphate mining permit,” said Richard Mack, Mosaic executive vice president and general counsel.

The preliminary injunction resulted from litigation brought against the Corps of Engineers by environmental groups, including the Sierra Club, Manasota 88, and People for Protecting Peace River. The district court’s ruling followed a July 22, 2010, hearing on the matter in Jacksonville.

Mosaic told analysts Aug. 2 that, absent relief from the preliminary injunction, it will have no reasonable alternative than to shut down the South Fort Meade mine as early as Sept. 12, when the 60-day warn notice issued July 12 expires. This notice will lead to the layoff of 221 workers and the indefinite closing of the mine.

The company said it is not a matter of if the permit will eventually be issued, but when. However, it noted that the appeals process could take a year. Mosaic is asking the district court to stay the preliminary injunction, and it is appealing the case to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit in Atlanta. It will ask that court to expedite the appeal and to stay the injunction.

Mosaic said the district court found that the plaintiffs met their burden of demonstrating that Mosaic did not clearly show less damaging alternatives were impracticable, and that even if it did, the Corps failed to independently verify Mosaic’s findings. Mosaic said that under the court’s decision it could proceed at South Fort Meade as long as it did not disturb wetlands. Mosaic said this is not practical.

Mosaic spokesman Russell Schweiss said the remaining rock at the mine was low quality, but mining could continue there until December. The permit was for an extension of more than 10,000 acres, mostly in Hardee County, south of Polk County. Schweiss said it was not financially feasible to pass over the disputed wetlands areas and return to mining them at a later date. He also pointed out that moving the four, seven-million-pound draglines through an obstacle course of the excluded areas is not feasible. Currently, only one of the four draglines is in operation at South Fort Meade.

Mosaic expects that it can proceed with finished phosphate production at near-capacity levels through its fiscal first half. It said that in the second half, however, finished product production and sales would decline by 1 million tons, and operating earning could decline by $250-$300 million. Mosaic’s fiscal year began June 1.

Mosaic said it would meet commitments that it has to all customers who are on the books. It does not anticipate having to file force majeure.

Mosaic expects to be sourcing some 500,000 mt of phosphate rock from the Bayovar project in Peru during the current fiscal year, with most of that product going to its plant in Faustina, La., and to its SSP plants in South America. The company said its Florida plants are geared for Florida rock, and that it does not have the unloading capabilities to take significant quantities of imported rock from other sources.

Groups at odds over roadless rule

Trout Unlimited and the Idaho Conservation League (ICL) have filed friends-of-the-court briefs in U.S. federal court in Boise to support the 2008 federal rule for managing 9.3 million acres of Idaho’s roadless terrain, which allows mining development in Southeast Idaho’s rich phosphate belt.

Their support for the Idaho-specific roadless rule pits Trout Unlimited and the ICL against major environmental groups like Earthjustice, the Greater Yellowstone Coalition, the Sierra Club, the Wilderness Society, and the Natural Resources Defense Council, which filed suit last year to block the rule.

The coalition of regional and national environmentalists oppose using a state-by-state approach for national forest policy and claim the Idaho rule opens too much land up for industrial development. Idaho’s 9.3 million roadless acres are the second largest roadless expanse in the United States behind Alaska.

In addition to phosphate mining development, the rule also allows for logging in northern Idaho, road construction, and other uses in some areas. It was finalized after years of legal maneuvering and public meetings.

Attorneys on both sides of the issue are exchanging legal briefs before a hearing that has been set for this autumn. Idaho, the Kootenai Tribes, and the Idaho Association of Counties also joined as interveners in support of the Idaho roadless policy.

ICL Executive Director Rick Johnson said his group feels the rule strikes a fair balance. The ICL wanted to show its support for a policy developed by a variety of Idaho groups and interests that helps deal with the larger challenge of managing roadless areas nationwide, he said. Johnson added that the ICL recognizes the importance of recreation, wildlife, and clean water, as well as the needs of local communities.

In January 2001, before President Bill Clinton left office, the Clinton administration imposed the federal Roadless Area Conservation Rule, which banned development, logging, and road building on more than 58 million acres of the nation’s 192 million acres of remote national forest land, primarily in the West. It was praised by environmental groups such as the Sierra Club and the Wilderness Society, but criticized by industry groups.

Regional Wilderness Society Director Craig Gehrke said the Idaho rule affords less protection than under the Clinton rule. A state approach will not lead to good, consistent management, just as a state-by-state system for running the national parks would not work, Gehrke said.

The George W. Bush administration repealed the rule in 2005, clearing the way for states to petition the government with their own strategies for managing federal roadless areas within their borders. Idaho was the first to draft a plan under former governor – and now U.S. Senator – Jim Risch after more than a dozen meetings across the state.

Trout Unlimited President Chris Wood said the Idaho rule demonstrates what can happen “when common sense is applied to a common problem for the common good.”

Idaho was the only state exempted from U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack’s May 28, 2009, announcement that no new roads would be allowed for at least one year in 49 million acres of national forest without his approval. The Obama administration let the state’s rules for roadless areas stand.

Idaho’s plan largely bans new roads, but opens 405,000 acres of roadless lands to full forest uses. The Idaho rule designates 250 roadless areas and establishes five management themes that guide mineral development, timber cutting, and road construction. The U.S. Forest Service said it had a $660 million backlog of road maintenance and improvement projects in Idaho, where it has 34,000 miles of national forest roads.

The Idaho plan took effect in October 2008 based on a state proposal drafted in 2006 under Risch. It was crafted by wild-land users and interest groups to include higher levels of protection for some lands that truly deserved it and allowed multiple uses of other lands where it fit, Risch said. Conflicts in public lands management should be resolved not by politics and a “one size fits all” approach in Washington, he said.

Federal district courts have issued contradictory rulings on the issue. A 2006 decision by a California federal magistrate judge upheld the Clinton Roadless Rule, while in 2008 a federal judge in Wyoming issued a permanent injunction against it.

Intrepid 2Q net income off

Denver-Intrepid Potash Inc. reported net income of $3.6 million ($.05 per diluted share) on sales of $64.3 million for the second quarter ending June 30, 2010, down from the year-ago $14.4 million ($.19 per diluted share) on sales of $73.4 million. The company said the second quarter represented the return of more normal seasonal agricultural patterns in the U.S. potash market. Intrepid said that in recent weeks it has seen demand from large distributors begin to pick up as they prepare for what Intrepid believes will be a strong fertilizer application season. Intrepid said that while it has opted this summer to match the pricing of competitors, it has elected to be selective of the orders it accepts beyond the end of September, saying it believes stronger pricing will emerge toward the end of the third quarter. While potash and Trio volumes were up during the second quarter at 129,000 st and 63,000 st, respectively, versus the year-ago 80,000 st and 45,000 st, prices were down, at $376/st and $162/st versus the year-ago $674/st and $338/st. Six-month net income was $15.4 million ($.21 per share) on sales of $171.7 million, versus the year-ago $39.1 million ($.52 per share) on sales of $162.3 million. Six-month potash and Trio volumes were 372,000 st and 132,000 st, versus the year-ago 179,000 st and 83,000 st. Prices were down at $361/st and $165/st from the year-ago $703/st and $335/st.

CVR nitrogen 2Q income flat

Sugar Land, Texas-CVR Energy Inc. reported nitrogen operating income of $16.5 million for the second quarter ending June 30, 2010, level with the year-ago $16.5 million. Sales were up slightly, at $56.3 million versus $55.3 million. Second-quarter sales volumes moved up to 222,800 st from the year-ago 189,200 st. Ammonia sales were 50,600 st at an average price of $312/st, versus the year-ago 27,400 st and $351/st. UAN sales were 172,200 st ($205/st), versus the year-ago 161,800 st ($249/st). Six-month nitrogen income was off, at $19.5 million on sales of $94.6 million, versus the year-ago $45.8 million on sales of $123.1 million. Total nitrogen sales volumes were up, at 409,700 st from 380,100 st a year ago. Ammonia sales were 81,800 st ($300/st) versus the year-ago 75,400 st ($365/st), with UAN sales at 327,900 ($187/st) versus 304,700 st ($280/st). CVR’s petroleum business saw a huge drop in operating income for the second quarter, to $4.6 million from the year-ago $96.2 million. CVR-wide, second-quarter net income dropped to $1.2 million ($.01 per diluted share) on sales of $1 billion, versus the year-ago $42.7 million ($.49 per share) and $793.3 million. CVR had a six-month net loss of $11.2 million ($.13 per share) on sales of $1.9 billion, versus year-ago net income of $73.3 million ($.85 per share) and $1.4 billion.

Fertilizer, grain & ethanol drive Andersons’ 2Q

Maumee, Ohio-The Andersons Inc. reported net income of $25.17 million ($1.36 per diluted share) on revenues of $811 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2010, compared with net income of $15.9 million ($0.87 per diluted share) on similar revenues for the comparable year-ago quarter. For the first six months of 2010, the company earned $37.4 million ($2.02 per diluted share) on revenues of $1.5 billion, compared with $20.9 million ($1.14 per diluted share) on revenues of $1.5 billion in the first half of 2009. Gross profits totaled $87.6 million for the quarter and $146.1 million for the first six months, compared with $73.3 million and $134.7 million, respectively, in 2009. The Plant Nutrient Group posted second-quarter operating income of $19 million on revenues of $228 million, the second-highest second-quarter results in the group’s history, and up significantly from last year’s $10.3 million in operating income on revenues of $198 million. Margins for the segment were up slightly from the prior year, and tons sold increased by more than a third as the industry returned to more traditional nutrient application rates for phosphates and potash, the company said. Six-month results for the Plant Nutrient Group included operating income of $19.7 million on $332 million of revenues, compared with the prior year’s $12.4 million on revenues of $309 million. “We are pleased with our second quarter performance,” CEO Mike Anderson said. “The Grain & Ethanol Group led our results with record performance in both the grain and ethanol areas. Our Plant Nutrient Group also had a strong quarter. As I review these results, I am again reminded that our strategy of purposeful diversification allows us to remain a strong and profitable company even when one or more of our business units is underperforming.” The Turf & Specialty Group had second-quarter operating income of $2.5 million on $41 million of revenues, compared with last year’s record $3.0 million and $40 million, respectively. Six-month results for the segment included operating income of $5.2 million on $83 million of revenues, compared with the previous year’s record $6.1 million in operating income and $84 million in revenues. The Retail Group posted second-quarter operating income of $2.1 million on revenues of $44 million, compared with $2.9 million on revenues of $49 million in 2009. Six-month results for the segment included a loss of $0.7 million on revenues of $74 million, versus $0.2 million in earnings on revenues of $83 million in 2009. The Andersons noted that during the second quarter, the Grain & Ethanol Group finalized the acquisition of the assets of O’Malley Grain Inc.’s two grain cleaning and storage facilities in Mansfield, Ill., and Fairmont, Neb., and the Rail Group made a significant minority investment in a short-line railroad, the Iowa Northern Railway Company.

Terra Nitrogen 2Q income up

Deerfield, Ill.-Terra Nitrogen Co. LP (TNCLP) reported net earnings of $66.7 million ($2.22 per common unit) on sales of $166.9 million, versus the year-ago $60.8 million ($2.05 per unit) on sales of $142.8 million. The company sold 101,000 st of ammonia during the quarter at an average price of $339/st, versus the year-ago 82,000 st and $444/st. It also sold 544,000 st of UAN at an average price of $210/st, versus the year-ago 412,000 st and $226/st. Six-month net earnings were $100.6 million ($4.00 per unit) on sales of $285.7 million, versus the year-ago $104.1 million ($3.54 per unit) on sales of $308.1 million. Six-month ammonia sales were 153,000 st ($329/st) versus the year-ago 187,000 st ($440/st), while UAN sales were 1.01 million st ($199/st), up from the year-ago 778,000 st ($255/st). On July 28, TNCLP announced a cash distribution for the quarter ending June 30, 2010, of $2.36 per common limited partnership unit, payable Aug. 25, 2010, to holders of record as of Aug. 10, 2010.