All posts by mickeybarb@charter.net

EuroChem FY2021 EBITDA Up on Higher Prices, Volumes, Efficiencies

EuroChem Group AG, Zug, Switzerland, reported a 127 percent increase in EBITDA to $3.86 billion on sales of $10.20 billion for the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, up from the year-ago $1.7 billion and $6.15 billion, respectively, according to the group’s IFRS statements.

Sales increased 66 percent year-over-year, while sales volumes were up 6 percent, to 27.25 million mt versus the previous year’s 25.63 million mt.

The fertilizer group cited a favorable pricing environment, the increase in sales volumes, and higher operating efficiencies.

“These encouraging results will allow EuroChem to build upon its position as a leading global fertilizer player,” said EuroChem Group CEO Vladimir Rashevskiy. “The supportive environment enables us to set even higher goals for ourselves and invest in ambitious new projects to stay on our growth trajectory.”

The CEO highlighted that the group had experienced several milestone events in 2021, including the ramp-up in potash output to 2.6 million mt from the Usolskiy and VolgaKaliy plants, and the signing of two share purchase agreements in Brazil: in August, to acquire the Serra do Salitre phosphate mine and plant in August (GM Aug.6, 2021), and in December, to purchase a controlling 51.48 percent stake in the Fertilizantes Heringer SA distribution business for $96.5 million (GM Dec. 31, 2021).

The group has completed the acquisition of the Serra do Salitre phosphate project in Minas Gerais state from Yara International ASA and said it took over the project on Feb. 22 (see related story).

“With the right mix of organic expansion and carefully managed M&A, we can lock in sustainable long-term business growth, and, importantly, continue to invest in our own production base,” Rashevskiy said.

EuroChem earlier this month made a binding offer for the acquisition of the nitrogen business of Austrian polyolefins and fertilizers major Borealis AG, and has begun exclusive negotiations to acquire the business, which includes fertilizer, melamine, and technical nitrogen products (GM Feb. 4, p. 1). The offer values the business on an enterprise value basis at €455 million (approximately $515 million at current exchange rates).

In terms of its finances, the group said it significantly improved its capital structure in 2021 by reducing its total debt, optimizing short-term debt share and its overall debt portfolio. Its net covenant debt fell to $3.562 billion as of Dec. 31, 2021, from the year-ago $4.278 billion. Its net covenant debt/covenant LTM EBITDA was reduced to 0.92x at end-2021 from 2.68x as of end-2020.

EuroChem received ratings upgrades from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch through the course of the year.

In terms of sales and markets, the group noted tight markets as a feature of 2021, and a year dominated by high gas prices and political developments.

Curtailments and countervailing duties impacted trade flows, which made for “a fiercely competitive environment,” it said, “but also supported strong results by rewarding the more flexible and diversified operators.”

Against this backdrop, as noted above, EuroChem posted a 6 percent rise in total sales volumes over the previous year, with third-party products up 21 percent and accounting for 24 percent of sales volume. Fertilizer sales volumes increased by 7 percent to 19.10 million mt, up from the prior year 17.91 million mt. Sales of third-party products increased to 6.49 million mt, versus the year-ago 5.35 million mt.

The sales volumes increase was reflected across all segments, with nitrogen up 4 percent, phosphate fertilizers 17 percent, and potash 15 percent on the back of the company’s ramp-up of the Usolskiy and VolgaKaliy potash projects. The potash sales included the first commercial sales from EuroChem’s VolgaKaliy Potash Plant, which – according to the group – produced 228,000 mt of potash last year (see related story).

The group reported that nitrogen sales volumes continued to be driven by urea, which rose 18 percent to sales of 3.4 million mt amid tight markets in Europe due to high energy costs and limited availability from China. Ammonia sales rose 33 percent to 700,000 mt in a market also impacted by elevated feedstock costs that kept prices high and supply short, with some European capacity idled.

EuroChem became self-sufficient in ammonia after the June 2019 launch of its 1 million mt/y capacity EuroChem Northwest 1 facility (GM June 7, 2019), which in 2021 produced 991,000 mt.

UAN sales volumes dropped by 10 percent to 1.4 million mt year over year, but the group said U.S. sales remained roughly flat despite the imposition of preliminary antidumping duties on imports from Russia and Trinidad and Tobago.

In phosphates, sales of MAP/DAP climbed 10 percent to 2.6 million mt, with third-party product sales accounting for roughly 40 percent. EuroChem said the third-party sales, together with the group’s own production of phosphates fertilizers in Lifosa in Lithuania, one of the group’s E.U. assets, helped to increase sales volumes in the U.S. by 38 percent year over year.

EuroChem said its “gradual introduction of potash into global markets” passed the 2.5 million mt mark in 2021, an increase of 15 percent year-over-year. It noted that potash prices have been kept high due to supply restrictions stemming from political sanctions on Belarus and temporary supply disruptions from other key producers. The group sees global potash market fundamentals remaining bullish.

The group’s geographical sales base continues to be strongly diversified across key markets, dividing principally among Europe (21 percent), North America (15 percent), Latin America (23 percent), Russia (20 percent), and Asia Pacific (19 percent). It reported year-over-year reductions in volumes to Asia-Pacific (-19 percent) were attributable to iron ore volume redirection to the local Russian market (-24 percent year over year).

In terms of market outlook, EuroChem said despite geopolitical tensions, the importance of the agricultural and fertilizer sectors for global food security supports a favorable market outlook for 2022. It noted the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that the global economy will grow by 4.9 percent in 2022, while macro conditions will remain inflationary for commodity markets.

“Continued strong grain prices are supporting farmer economics and driving fertilizer demand across all nutrient groups in 2022. Trade export protectionism and sanctions restrict global trade flows and supply volumes, while unprecedented high gas and energy costs are driving up the marginal costs of production,” the group noted.

“Although some of these market drivers are expected to ease throughout 2022, they remain supportive of higher fertilizer prices on average in 2022 versus 2021,” said EuroChem.

“In spite of new nitrogen capacities to be launched during 2022, persistently higher marginal supply production costs look to maintain prices at a higher level on average in 2022 compared to 2021. In phosphates, restrictions on exports from China in the first-half should keep the market tight, global inventories low and support higher prices in 2022 overall. The potash market, meanwhile, will shift into a more balanced position in 2022 due to supply increases from Canada. However, the impact of Belarus sanctions on potash supply and demand will support firmer prices,” the group said.

EuroChem published its financial results on Feb.16, and before the Russian invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24.

Selected sales volumes (‘000 mt)

Product FY2021 FY2020 % change FY2021 share of total
Nitrogen products 9,343 8,949 +4 34
Nitrogen fertilizers 9,289 8,912 +4 34
Phosphate products & complex fertilizers 7,249 6,774 +7 27
Phosphate fertilizers 3,127 2,680 +17 11
Complex fertilizers 3,715 3,705 0 14
Potash 2,512 2,191 +15 9
Total fertilizer sales 19,104 17,914 +7 70
Mining products1 6,041 5,737 +5 22
Industrial products 2,103 1,975 +6 8
Other sales n/a n/a n/a n/a
Total sales (including third party products) 27,248 25,626 +6  
Third party products 6,492 5,349 +21 24

EuroChem Provides Updates on Projects

EuroChem Group AG, Zug, Switzerland, this week updated on developments at its major investment projects as part of its full-year IFRS financial results.

The group reported that the EuroChem Northwest 2 project, which comprises a new 1 million mt/y ammonia plant and a 1.4 million mt/y urea plant in Kingisepp, Russia, has entered the active construction phase and the development remains on track to come on stream in 2023 (GM Aug. 20, 2021). The group green-lighted the project in February 2021 (GM Feb. 12, 2021).

EuroChem said the project capex spent as of December 31, 2021, stood at $738 million, or roughly half of total project costs. EuroChem Northwest 2 will be 80 percent funded by an off-covenant long-term project finance facility.

The Usolskiy Potash Plant, south of Berezniki, is expanding its Phase 1 facility, and the group said the plant is on track to reach 2.7 million mt/y capacity plant “soon.” Usolskiy produced 2.39 million mt of potash last year.

At the VolgaKaliy Potash Plant in Russia’s southern Volgograd region, EuroChem said the mine plan has been adjusted and coordinated with the shaft construction schedule following the integration of a new Mine Planning team (GM Aug. 20, 2021). The group reported the site produced 228,000 mt in 2021, with all volumes successfully sold to market.

The group reported exploration work continues at its potential third potash project outside Saratov in southwest Russia, the so-named SaratovKaliy Potash Project. Following positive analyses provided by 2D surveying, 3D seismic studies results will be available in the second quarter of 2022. The full feasibility study from this site will be completed in 2022.

EuroChem took the decision in 2019 to build an 8 million mt/y capacity transshipment terminal at the Russian Baltic port of Ust-Luga (GM June 14, 2019). The group said the port will serve as an important logistics terminal for product arriving by railcar from the EuroChem Northwest complex, just less than 50 km away, as well as other EuroChem and third-party cargoes.

The project passed to the execution stage in 2021 (GM April 2, 2021), and is scheduled for completion in 2024.

Grupa Azoty Subsidiary to Install New Compressors at Ammonia Plant

A subsidiary of Polish fertilizer and chemicals company Grupa Azoty SA, Zakłady Azotowe Kędzierzyn SA, is implementing a new project to rebuild the synthesis gas compression capacities for its ammonia plant through the installation of new compressors.

The project is designed to increase the ammonia capacities while optimising production costs, and is part of Grupa Azoty’s recently-adopted new strategy for 2021-2030 (GM Nov. 5, 2021). The project is expected to be completed in the first half of 2023.

The general contractor implementing the project is Grupa Azoty Polskie Konsorcjum Chemiczne, with the total project value estimated at Pln180 million (approximately $44.7 million at current exchange rates).

Waggaman Repairs to Take 6-8 Weeks; EBIT Impact Up to US$125 M

Incitec Pivot Ltd. (IPL), Southbank, Victoria, said on Feb. 25 repairs and the restart of the 800,000 mt/y Waggaman, La., ammonia plant will take six to eight weeks. IPL said a rupture occurred in a section of pipe, resulting in a release of hydrogen (GM Feb. 18, p. 1).

The company said extensive investigations have revealed only minor damage to surrounding equipment, and repair work is primarily focused on the damaged spool piece. The root cause analysis indicates that the damage mechanism is limited to this section of pipe.

IPL said it has taken, and will continue to progress, measures to mitigate the impact of the closure of the plant, including calling force majeure on its external ammonia supply contracts.

IPL estimates that the incident and associated downtime will give rise to an impact on earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of approximately US$95-$125 million (A$132-$174 million) and net profit after tax (NPAT) of US$68-$90 million4 (A$94-$125 million).

IPL said it has comprehensive property insurance coverage, and as a result, IPL’s insurers have been placed on notice of a potential claim. It said the estimated earnings impact outlined above does not factor in any potential insurance proceeds, noting that IPL has a total retention amount of US$40 million under its relevant insurance program.

IPL had major problems at the relatively new Waggaman plant during the fiscal year ending Sept. 30, 2021 (GM Nov. 19, 2021), including an extended turnaround and unplanned outages. Waggaman’s EBIT was US$3.6 million in FY2021, versus the prior year US$32.4 million.

Waggaman produced 437,200 mt of ammonia in FY2021 (FY2020: 729,000 mt), 40 percent less year-over-year, while sales of ammonia from the plant were 23 percent lower on the year at 563,500 mt (FY2020: 730,000 mt). The company replaced shortfalls in produced ammonia by third-party supplies.

Mosaic Reports Record Adjusted EBITDA, Matches FY21 Analyst Projections

The Mosaic Co., Tampa, reported adjusted EBITDA of $3.6 billion for the year ending Dec. 31, 2021, matching the Bloomberg Consensus, the average estimate of major analysts.

However, net income fell short at $1.63 billion ($4.27 per diluted share). The analysts projected $1.73 billion. Net sales were $12.3 billion. 2020 net income was $666.1 million ($1.75 per share) on sales of $8.7 billion.

Full-year gross margin was $3.2 billion, up from $1.06 billion, while operating earnings were $2.5 billion, up from $412.9 million.

Fourth-quarter net income was $664.8 million ($1.76 per share) on net sales of $3.84 billion, down from the year-ago $827.9 million ($2.17 per share) and $2.46 billion. Gross margin moved up to $1.15 billion from $411.4 million, while operating earnings were $969.7 million, up from $294.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.22 billion.

“Mosaic delivered record EBITDA in 2021, and we expect strong performance to continue in 2022,” said Joc O’Rourke, President and CEO. “As a result of successful investments like our new Esterhazy K3 potash mine, Mosaic Fertilizantes in Brazil, and our cost-structure transformation, we are generating tremendous value in the current environment. This has provided us with the opportunity to return significant capital to shareholders, while still investing efficiently in the business and strengthening the balance sheet.”

Operating earnings surged at all three company segments. Volumes in each were down for the year, while prices soared. This was the same for the fourth quarter except for Mosaic Fertilizantes, which matched year-ago volumes.

Mosaic said the accelerated ramp up of K3 is expected to be completed by the end of March. Total 2022 production from the mine is put at 5 million mt, with annual capacity at 5.5 million mt. The company said production costs are in the $50’s/mt area and are trending lower on a through-cycle basis.

The Colonsay mine has successfully attained an annual run rate of 1 million mt. Fourth-quarter production costs at the mine were $85/mt, down from the pre-idle $100/mt.

The company said inventories in Brazil grew toward the end of the year, reflecting market pricing and a build in nutrient volumes in anticipation of meeting demand from growers in early 2022. The company said distribution potash inventory volumes at year-end were roughly 350,000 mt higher than at the end of 2020, leaving the company well positioned to meet demand left unserved by supply chain constraints and shortfalls from other producers.

As for the situation in Belarus, Mosaic believes debottlenecks in Canada and Russia should help mitigate some of the impact, but logistical constraints will prevent producers from replacing all of the potential lost tonnage. The company noted that major buyers India and China recognized the potential shortfall and committed to supply agreements.

In North America, Mosaic said illness-related labor shortages, rail and truck delays, and weather impacts are slowing the delivery of inputs to facilities and product to end customers. In Brazil, road and port congestion is also slowing deliveries, though Mosaic continues to benefit from access to its own private ports, sufficient inventory volumes, and in-country market positioning.

The company said MicroEssentials sales volumes achieved a new record of 3.3 million mt, up from the year-ago 3.1 million mt. Gross margins averaged $32/mt higher than DAP.

For first-quarter 2022, Mosaic expects upward pricing momentum to continue, with about 85 percent of sales committed and priced. Phosphate sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.6-1.8 million mt, and potash at 1.8-2.0 million mt. First-quarter FOB realized prices for phosphates are expected to be more than $60/mt higher than prices realized in the fourth-quarter. Potash prices are expected to be more than $125/mt higher than the fourth-quarter.

The Board of Directors has approved a regular dividend target increase to $0.60 per share annually from $0.45, beginning with the second quarter payment.

Mosaic expects to accelerate its current share repurchase of $400 million in February, and believes it will use some $830 million of the $1 billion it authorized in August 2021. It expects to exhaust the remaining portion of the current authorization through open market purchases. The Board has approved another $1 billion in share repurchases, which will take effect following the completion of the current program.

Potash 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Sales Volume (M mt) 2.1 2.7 8.2 9.4
Operating Earnings (million $) 443 95 837 402
Gross Margin per $/mt 224 45 129 50
Sales (billion $)     2.6 2.0
MOP Selling Price $/mt 414 177 285 181
Adj. EBITDA (millions) 517 179 1,286 722
Phosphates 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Sales Volume (M mt) 1.8 2.3 7.7 8.5
Operating Earnings (million $) 418 134 1,180 (147)
Gross Margin per $/mt 254 73 170 15
Sales (billion $)     4.9 3.1
MOP Selling Price $/mt 676 363 564 310
Adj. EBITDA (millions) 571 266 1,729 536
Mosaic Fertilizantes 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Sales Volume (M mt) 2.3 2.3 10.1 10.6
Operating Earnings (million $) 195 97 745 347
Gross Margin per $/mt 95 32 83 40
Sales (billion $)     5.1 3.5
MOP Selling Price $/mt 654 352 504 330
Adj. EBITDA (millions) 197 115 821 473

CVR Reports Strong 4Q, FY21

CVR Partners LP, Sugar Land, Texas, reported strong results for both the fourth-quarter and full-year ending Dec. 31, 2021, returning net income to the plus column.

The company posted full-year net income of $78.1 million ($7.31 per common unit) on net sales of $532.6 million, up from a year-ago loss of $98.2 million ($8.77 per unit) and $349.9 million, respectively. Operating income was $134.5 million, up from a loss of $34.9 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $212.7 million, up from $82.3 million.

Fourth-quarter net income was $61.5 million ($5.76 per unit) on sales of $189 million, up from the year-ago loss of $16.9 million ($1.53 per unit) and $90.3 million, respectively. Operating income was $71.8 million, up from a loss of $1 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $92.8 million, up from $18.1 million.

“CVR Partners achieved strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 results, led by solid production and a combined ammonia utilization rate of 92 percent for the year,” said Mark Pytosh, CEO of CVR Partners’ general partner. “Product pricing continued to strengthen into the fourth quarter of 2021, and we expect the momentum to continue into the spring 2022 planting season. With grain prices near multi-year highs and crop inventory levels near multi-year lows, farmer economics remain very attractive.

“During the past 12 months and upon today’s expected redemption of our 9.25 percent Senior Secured Notes due 2023, CVR Partners will have completed a refinancing of its outstanding debt, reducing the total by $95 million,” added Pytosh. “Combined, these actions are expected to reduce our annual interest expense by $26 million and provide the partnership greater flexibility going forward. We also are pleased to have declared distributions in each of the past three quarters, including today’s announcement of a fourth-quarter 2021 cash distribution of $5.24 per common unit.”

Pytosh told analysts that the company opted to maximize ammonia production at its East Dubuque plant during the fourth-quarter due to the strong pricing and demand environment. The company said the plant had 11 days of downtime during the quarter.

The Coffeyville plant experienced 10 day of downtime due to two separate outages at the third-party air separation plant and approximately seven days for turnaround work in October, when tie-ins were made for a urea upgrade project.

The company said it completed the installation of an additional CO2 compressor and ammonia pump at Coffeyville, which has led to an increase in UAN production. It said the increased production should provide a quick payback for that capital project.

Currently, Pytosh said CVR has a good book of business and can comfortably run full out 24/7. “We still have some more to sell for the second quarter, but we are in great shape, and the market pricing is much higher than it was in the second half of 2021.”

CVR said with the improvements in the nitrogen markets over the past year and the reductions in its annual debt service costs, it is evaluating opportunities to further improve and diversify its business. However, Pytosh added that CVR is not looking to diversify away from nitrogen, but noted that there is a pretty limited field of opportunities in nitrogen.

“We’re also going to look at internal projects, decarbonization projects, and brownfield expansions, not big ones, but potentially add-ons to the facility that give us capacity without having to spend a lot of capital,” he added.

Sales (000 st) 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Ammonia        105 114 269 332
UAN 265 325 1,196 1,312
Plant Gate Price $/st 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Ammonia        745 267 544 284
UAN 347 139 264 152
Production (000 st) 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Ammonia – gross 197 220 807 852
Ammonia – net 70 75 275 303
UAN 288 335 1,208 1,303
Feedstock 4Q-21 4Q-20 2021 2020
Petroleum Coke 47.96 30.65 44.69 35.25
Natural Gas ($/mmBtu) 5.43 2.77 3.95 2.31

BCI Minerals Starts Main Construction at Mardie Salt/SOP Project

Australian junior salt and sulfate of potash producer BCI Minerals Ltd., West Perth, said it has secured all secondary approvals required for the main construction at its 100 percent owned Mardie Salt & Potash Project on the Pilbara coast of Western Australia (GM Oct. 21, 2021).

The secondary approvals include: a Mining Proposal approved by the Department of Mines, Industry, Regulation, and Safety (DMIRS); the Part V Works Approval granted by the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (DWER); and all necessary consents under Section 18 of the Aboriginal Heritage Act 1972 issued by the Minister for Aboriginal Affairs.

Together, and in conjunction with the mining tenure recently secured, these approvals have allowed main construction of the definitive feasibility study footprint to commence, BCI said.

Mardie will ultimately include a 100 km2 evaporation pond and crystallizer system, two processing plants, and a new export facility, and will produce 5.35 million mt/y of salt and 140,000 mt/y of sulfate of potash fertilizer.

The company aims to complete construction of pond 1 and fill it with seawater within six months, which, according to BCI’s Managing Director Alwyn Vorster, will represent the commencement of production and keep the company on track to achieve first salt sales in late 2024.

Winston-Salem Approves Fund for Fire Victims

The Winston-Salem, N.C., City Council on Feb. 21 approved a $1 million fund to help people who had to spend nights in hotels or lost their paychecks as a result of the Jan. 31 fire at the Winston Weaver Co. fertilizer plant (GM Feb. 4, p. 1). A multi-day evacuation was enforced around the plant due to concerns about a potential ammonium nitrate explosion.

According to the Winston-Salem Journal, the payments will be capped at $1,000 per household and will be limited to low- and moderate-income households under guidelines established by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, provided receipts are available to verify the expenditures. Individuals who cannot show receipts or proof of losses will be limited to a $300 payout.

A local nonprofit, Experiment in Self-Reliance, will administer the distribution of the money for the city. To get help, people must live within the evacuation area or work for a business in the evacuation area that closed as a result of the evacuation. Reimbursable expenses are limited to hotel expenses, food, lost wages, or other expenses relating to the evacuation, the Winston-Salem Journal reported.

The city said individuals who were reimbursed for their expenses from any other public or private source will not be able to claim money under the city program. Winston Weaver earlier this month announced that it was contributing $100,000 to help the city recover from the fire. City officials said Monday they will attempt to get reimbursement from Winston Weaver for the money the city pays out under its aid program.

Fire officials have not yet identified the cause of the fire. At a press conference on Feb. 9, Winston-Salem Fire Chief Trey Mayo said investigators “have an idea of where we believe the fire began,” but he provided no further details, saying he did not want to “corrupt” the ongoing investigation (GM Feb. 11, p. 1).

Potential Strike at CP Rail Raises Concerns About Spring Fertilizer Shipments

The fertilizer industry in late February was awaiting the results of a strike vote called by the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference (TCRC) against Canadian Pacific (CP) Railway Ltd. The vote is among more than 3,000 locomotive engineers, conductors, and train and yard workers employed by CP. At issue are disputes over wages, benefits, and pensions, according to a Feb. 10 statement from TCRC.

Citing the timing of the vote, industry sources warned of a potentially significant impact to rail shipments of fertilizer, should the strike proceed on the cusp of the spring planting season. Representatives from TCRC and CP are currently meeting with a conciliator/mediator appointed by Minister of Labor Seamus O’Regan Jr.

According to Canada’s Labor Code, a legal work stoppage can only take place 21 days after the conciliation process is complete.

In response to the TCRC action, CP said in a statement that it “has negotiated in good faith with the TCRC since last September, and those labor negotiations are continuing. CP has an excellent track record of successful collective bargaining with our unions, and is seeking a new agreement with TCRC to create labor stability that is essential for Canada’s economic recovery from the pandemic and supply chain challenges.”

If the walkout proceeds, it will be the fourth time in 10 years that CP employees have found themselves in a strike position. The last occurred in May 2018 (GM April 20, 2018) and involved 3,300 CP employees, including conductors and electrical workers represented by TCRC and the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers. That strike ended within days and caused few supply chain disruptions.

A CP strike in May 2012 (GM May 28, 2012), however, caused widespread shipping disruptions and prompted numerous complaints from trade associations and affected industries, including Fertilizer Canada, known then as the Canadian Fertilizer Institute. Back-to-work legislation was eventually approved to end that walkout (GM June 4, 2012).

TCRC went on strike against CP again in February 2015 (GM Feb. 17, 2015), but union members returned to work just three days later after the Canadian government indicated it would act quickly to introduce back-to-work legislation to end the strike.

The Teamsters Union represents 125,000 members in Canada, 16,000 of whom work in rail transportation. They are affiliated with the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, which has 1.4 million members in North America.