Central
Florida:
DAP
trucks loading from Central Florida were reported at $620/st FOB, unchanged
from the prior report. MAP postings were quoted at $655/mt FOB, also steady
from one week earlier.
U.S. Gulf:
Sources reported softer NOLA DAP and MAP barge
markets for the week, noting values on imported material slipping lower compared
to prior levels.
Imported DAP cargoes were traded in the $600-$605/st
FOB range, shy of the week-ago $610/st FOB floor, while limited August-loading
domestic volumes reported at $615/st FOB established the week’s high.
Sales and offers of MAP were steady at a $650/st FOB
high for domestic tons, while imports were noted trading in the $640-$645/st
FOB range, $5/st below week-ago levels.
An announcement that exports of fertilizer from
China, including DAP, would be temporarily suspended was not expected to move
the U.S. market. “The China news is likely more smoke and mirrors,” said one
market player. “(There is) no impact yet, at least for phosphates.” Chinese
producers exported 3.2 million mt of DAP in first-half 2021, according to Reuters.
The nearby DAP barge market was quoted in the
$600-$615/st FOB range, softening from $610-$615/st FOB at last report. Players
noted MAP barges in the $640-$650/st FOB range for the week, down from
$645-$650/st FOB in the prior report.
U.S. Exports:
Nothing
new was reported on the Gulf export phosphate markets. Last-done spot
transactions included a 10,000 mt DAP cargo priced at $660/mt FOB, while a
recent 5,000 mt MAP deal was quoted at $685/mt FOB. Both trades carried final
destinations in Latin America, with shipping expected no later than early
August.
With
no new business reported, the Gulf export market remained at $660/mt FOB for
DAP and $685/mt FOB for MAP.
Eastern Cornbelt:
DAP
was quoted at $640-$655/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt, depending on location,
with the low reported at Ottawa and East Dubuque. MAP was pegged in a broad
range at $675-$700/st FOB, with the low again confirmed at East Dubuque.
The
Cincinnati market in early August remained at $645-$650/st FOB for DAP and
$680-$690/st FOB for MAP.
Western Cornbelt:
DAP
pricing was steady at $640-$650/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, with the lower
end confirmed at St. Louis, Camanche, and Dubuque, Iowa, and the high at
Caruthersville.
MAP was quoted in the $675-$700/st FOB range in the region, depending on location, with the low at Camanche. The St. Louis MAP market was pegged at $680-$690/st FOB in early August.
Southern Plains:
DAP
prices were pegged at $640-$645/st FOB Catoosa/Inola and $660/st FOB Houston.
The MAP market remained at $690/st FOB Houston, while pricing at Catoosa/Inola
was reported in a wider range at $680-$700/st FOB, depending on supplier.
South Central:
DAP
was unchanged at $640-$650/st FOB terminals in the South Central region,
depending on location, with the low confirmed at Memphis.
Southeast:
MAP
postings remained at $640/st FOB Aurora, N.C., but Nutrien on July 23 raised
its DAP posting at that location to $650/st FOB. The company also confirmed
that it is currently sold out of DAP at Aurora and not accepting any new orders
for August.
Saudi Arabia:
Sources
quoted the Saudi Arabia phosphate market firming to $605-$615/mt FOB, up from
$590-$610/mt FOB at last report.
China:
Prices
for DAP remained steady in the $590s/mt FOB, mostly because no new spot deals
have been done. Sources reported that even before buyers can get out an offer,
they are told by producers that there is no product available.
Many
of the producers have switched to MAP and NPKs for better netbacks from global
buyers, while those staying with DAP are focusing on the domestic market. The
Chinese government has made it clear to producers that building stockpiles of
material for the domestic market should be the top priority rather than making
offshore sales.
Sources
do not expect to see prices come off anytime soon unless major phosphate
producing countries Russia and Morocco make a play for the Indian market.
Sources said as long as India depends largely on China for its DAP, the Chinese
producers have little incentive to lower their prices.
Traders
said new restrictions related to COVID-19 are slated to take effect on foreign
vessels looking to dock at Chinese ports. Reportedly, the new rules will limit
the number of foreign ships and require new procedures for processing the
crew’s paperwork.
India:
Sources
said Indian buyers now seem more willing to pay the high price tied to Chinese
DAP, if only there was product available. The public price has not varied from
the $570s/mt CFR only because no new spot deals have been concluded.
Brazil:
The
MAP price range at Paranagua has spread out, with sources now calling the
market at $735-$780/mt CFR. The move reflects the confusion felt by many in the
market. While there is still strong demand for MAP, sources said the market has
peaked and is heading for a downward correction.
To
back up arguments that prices should be coming off, sources said buyers are no
longer looking at near-term purchases. All attention seems to be on fourth-quarter
needs.
The
Rondonopolis price has tightened to just $850/mt FOB ex-warehouse, according to
sources. The move comes as MAP dealers face the same transportation problems as
nitrogen and potash dealers. There are still many uncertainties about having
enough trucks to handle shipments from the ports and then on to their clients.
The barter rate for 1 mt of MAP is now put at 61 bags of corn or 26 bags of soybeans.
Imports
of MAP for the January-July period were down slightly, to 2.46 million mt from
2.54 million mt during the same period last year, according to Trade Data
Monitor. The major suppliers this year remained Russia at 898,000 mt and
Morocco at 895,000 mt. Saudi Arabia and China together supplied 493,000 mt, followed
by the U.S. at 120,000 mt.
July
imports were up 17 percent, to 460,000 mt from 392,000 mt in July 2020. Morocco
dominated the sales at 205,000 mt, followed by China at 86,000 mt and Russia at
83,000 mt. Saudi Arabia and the U.S. combined supplied another 86,000 mt.
January-July
2021 DAP imports were up 29 percent, to 343,000 mt from 266,000 mt last year.
The U.S. and Morocco dominated sales at 81,400 mt and 81,200 mt, respectively.
China came in with 64,000 mt, followed by Jordan at 44,000 mt.
July
2021 DAP imports were down 26 percent, to 20,000 mt from 27,000 mt last year.
The imports this year were divided among China, Saudi Arabia, and Morocco, each
sending less than 10,000 mt last month.