U.S.
Gulf/Tampa:
June Tampa ammonia prices continued to be called
$535/mt CFR.
The industry awaits news on the status of Incitec
Pivot’s (IPL) Waggaman, La., ammonia plant. The company told Green Markets that it was due up in late
May from its most recent turnaround, but IPL is not expected to give an
operational update until August.
Eastern Cornbelt:
Ammonia
pricing was steady at $615-$625/st FOB in the Eastern Cornbelt, with the low
reported at Illinois and Indiana terminals and the high at Lima, Ohio. Specific
terminal pricing for the week included $615/st FOB Kingston Mines, Ill., and
Huntington, Ind., and $615-$620/st FOB Illinois terminals at Trilla, Wood
River, and Cowden.
Western Cornbelt:
Ammonia
pricing was steady at $600-$620/st FOB terminals in Iowa and Nebraska,
depending on location, with the Palmyra, Mo., market pegged at the $615/st FOB
level. The last delivered offers into Missouri were reported at $585-$590/st for
limited tons from Oklahoma.
California:
Anhydrous
ammonia was unchanged at $626/st DEL in California, with aqua ammonia
referenced at $172/st FOB.
Pacific Northwest:
Ammonia
prices were quoted at $615-$650/st FOB in the Pacific Northwest, down roughly
$15-$30/st from last report, with delivered tons quoted in roughly the same
range. Aqua ammonia remained at $160/st FOB Kennewick, Wash., and $170/st DEL.
Western Canada:
Ammonia
pricing in Western Canada was reported in a much tighter range at C$950-$960/mt
DEL in early June.
Black
Sea:
Ammonia
prices have skyrocketed. While some in the industry talked about returning to
the halcyon days of $635/mt FOB in 2014, sources said a more realistic price is
much less.
Sources
reported deals from Turkey to China that reflect a netback of $515-$520/mt FOB.
The market is expected to continue to strengthen, but traders said prices are
unlikely to top $600/mt FOB before dipping.
Middle
East:
Sources
said Fertiglobe moved 10,000 mt of ammonia to Ma’aden for $610/mt FOB. The
price is some $70/mt higher than the last reported business.
The
dramatic move up in pricing was not surprising to industry watchers. The Arab
Gulf has been short of ammonia for some time, forcing buyers to look far afield
to satisfy their needs. Shutdowns by Ma’aden and now SAFCO add to the tightness
in the supply chain.
The
ever-dwindling amount of ammonia, along with continued strong demand from Asia,
is expected to add fuel to the already hot prices in the region.
Northwest
Europe:
The
ammonia price, oddly enough, remains steady at $520-$530/mt C&F even as
North Africa, Yuzhnyy, and Asia show dramatic growth in pricing levels. The
price is not expected to hold as the third quarter opens in a few weeks.
Sources
said they expect to see prices move to $550/mt C&F soon. Further increases
could come once the Baltic price moves off its current $430-$435/mt FOB.
India:
The
$595/mt CFR paid by FACT just a week ago now seems cheap. Sources reported
deals into India’s West Coast at $650/mt CFR. Other deals were also reported in
that range.
The
Indian market is reflective of what can only be described as a hyper-priced
market in Asia. Sources are reporting material heading to India and Southeast
Asian buyers from just about every major ammonia producer in the world. There
are reports of ammonia coming into India from the Caribbean, as well as Mexican
product to other Asian buyers.
Southeast
Asia:
Asian
buyers are taking tons from wherever they can. Sources reported cargoes from
Mexico, Yuzhnyy, the Arab Gulf, and locally to regional buyers.
The
strong demand and limited tonnage has moved the price to $670/mt CFR, with
$700/mt CFR looming on the nearby horizon. Besides the strong demand, the lack
of production from plants in Indonesia and Malaysia is also helping guarantee
ever-higher prices.
North
Africa:
Strong
demand for DAP and MAP has OCP in Morocco churning out as much product as
possible. That increased production requires a lot more ammonia. Sources
reported that OCP is grabbing as many tons as they can from multiple sources.
Brazil:
Ammonia
imports for January-May 2021 were reported at 235,500 mt by Trade Data Monitor, up 63 percent from
the 145,000 mt reported for the same period last year. The main supplier was
Trinidad and Tobago with 220,500 mt.
May
2021 imports were down about 32 percent, to 27,000 mt from 40,000 mt in May
2020. The May 2021 imports were the lowest so far this year. The average
monthly import tonnage for this year is about 47,000 mt.