Central
Florida:
Truck-loaded
DAP postings moved up to $580/st FOB at Central Florida, sources said,
increasing from the week-ago $570/st FOB. MAP maintained a $25/st premium at
$605/st FOB, lifting from $595/st FOB last week.
U.S. Gulf:
NOLA barge values continued to move higher for the week,
supported by ongoing supply tightness and persistent strength in the corn
market.
DAP barges were reported trading at a $570/st FOB
low for tons loading in the May-September window. Concluded pricing was seen moving
up to $575/st FOB on May 11-13, with prompt-loading barges heard changing hands
up to $580/st FOB.
NOLA MAP barges pressed higher as well, with
May-September offers and trades quoted at $600/st FOB at midweek. Barges
departing promptly were reportedly trading up to $610/st FOB.
Supply fears, stemming both from a reduction in
Moroccan and Russian phosphates imported to the U.S. and early-summer
curtailments at Mosaic’s Faustina production facility, were a primary driver of
the higher pricing. Sharply higher corn values buttressed acceptance of the
higher prices by end-users, sources said, allowing demand to remain steady from
year-ago levels, if not higher.
Nearby DAP loadings were pegged in the $570-$580/st
FOB range, rising from $555-$565/st FOB in the prior report. Players noted MAP
barges at $600-$610/st FOB, up from $580-$590/st FOB at last report.
U.S. Imports:
DAP
imports firmed 89.3 percent in March, to 266,407 st from the year-ago 140,766
st. Imports were up 26.6 percent for July-March, to 1.02 million st from
806,156 st.
With
just 24,251 st of Moroccan DAP received through the fertilizer year-to-date,
Saudi Arabia maintained the top import spot with 419,475 st, rising 656.3
percent from the year-ago 55,466 st. Jordan moved into second place with
272,990 st after sending zero DAP tons to the U.S. in the year-ago period.
Material loading from Australia totaled 181,817 st, compared with zero imports
through the same point in 2020.
Russia,
also a target of the DOC’s countervailing duties investigation, imported 36,280
st to the U.S. for the period, down 79.5 percent from the year-ago 176,556 st.
MAP/Other
imports were up 15.5 percent for March, to 238,179 st from the year-ago 206,233
st. July-March imports softened 42.7 percent, however, to 804,449 st from the
prior-year 1.40 million st.
Mexico
led the fertilizer-year imports with 277,772 st, up 304.8 percent from 68,613
st in the prior year. Saudi Arabia’s 161,345 st was 64.7 percent above the
year-ago 97,940 st, followed by 83,738 st from Russia, a 63.1 percent decline
from the prior-year 227,114.
With
tons from Morocco down 95.9 percent from the year-ago 759,231 st, buyers
continued to seek alternative sources of imported MAP, pulling in cargoes from
Australia (79,263 st), Lithuania (78,574 st), Jordan (40,691 st), and Bulgaria
(36,376 st) in July-March.
U.S. Exports:
March
DAP exports were down 53.3 percent, to 37,795 st from the year-ago 81,003 st.
July-March export volumes dropped 32.1 percent, to 584,221 st from 860,379 st
in the prior year.
MAP/Other
exports for March stood at 207,213 st, off 40.4 percent from the year-ago
347,799 st. July-March exports fell 23.1 percent, to 1.69 million st from 2.20
million st reported one year earlier.
Sources
reported a MAP cargo selling into a single destination in Latin America. Priced
at $583/mt FOB, the 6,000-7,000 mt cargo was tabbed for May loading. An
additional small-lot DAP cargo slated for loading in June was reported selling
at $595/mt FOB during the week. Due to the sale’s small volume, the transaction
was not included in the week’s price range.
Based
on reported sales of sufficient size, the Gulf phosphate export markets were
seen firming to $583/mt FOB, up from $580/mt FOB in the prior report.
Eastern Cornbelt:
Sources reported
stronger pricing for phosphates in the Eastern Cornbelt, driven by tight supply
and steady demand. DAP was pegged at $620-$630/st FOB in the region, up another
$15/st from last report, with the lower end of the range confirmed at
Cincinnati and Ottawa, Ill.
MAP was quoted at
$640-$660/st FOB, up $10-$15/st, with the low again confirmed at Cincinnati and
the high out of spot Illinois shipping points.
Western Cornbelt:
DAP
was quoted at $605-$620/st FOB in the Western Cornbelt, up $10-$15/st from last
report, with the low reported at St. Louis. The Caruthersville market was
pegged at a firm $615/st FOB at midweek. Several sources reported being sold
out at mid-month.
MAP
was quoted at $625-$645/st FOB in the region, up another $10/st, with the low
at St. Louis and the high reported in Iowa on a spot basis.
Southern Plains:
The
low end of the regional DAP market was quoted at $615/st FOB Houston, up $5/st
from last report. Price increases at Catoosa/Inola were significantly higher
amid reports of tight supply, however, with sources quoting new DAP offers at $625-$645/st
FOB the port, up a full $35-$45/st from the previous week.
MAP
was pegged at $620/st FOB Houston and a firm $650/st FOB Catoosa/Inola.
South Central:
Warehouse
DAP prices soared to $600-$615/st FOB terminals in the South Central region, up
another $10-$15/st from last report, with the lower end of the range reported
at Memphis and the high at Shreveport. The market FOB Little Rock, Ark., was
pegged firmly at the $615/st FOB level during the week.
Southeast:
Nutrien confirmed that DAP
and MAP prices at Aurora, N.C., and White Springs, Fla., moved up to $605/st
FOB on May 12 for new orders, up another $10/st from the previous week’s list
price.
Saudi Arabia:
Phosphates
exported from Saudi Arabia were seen lifting to the $545-$565/mt FOB range, up
from $545-$560/mt FOB in the previous report.
China:
Producers
are looking to hold the line on DAP and even push the price up, while buyers
push harder for lower prices. Sources said the target for buyers is a netback
in the $520s/mt FOB, while the producers argue for the low-$540s/mt FOB.
A
reported sale of two 50,000 mt cargoes into India showed a netback in the
upper-$530s/mt FOB. Traders are calling prices in southern China in the
mid-$530s/mt FOB. Others added that some producers have been willing to begin
talks in the upper-$520s/mt FOB.
India:
A
major buyer reportedly settled a deal to buy two 50,000 mt cargoes of DAP in
the low-$560s/mt CFR. The purchase represents a slight movement up in DAP
prices paid by Indian buyers.
Local
media reports said Indian DAP purchases in March topped 100,000 mt, mostly from
Morocco and Saudi Arabia. The amount is not surprising as India approached its
seasonal purchases. The most recent import numbers available from Trade Data Monitor showed DAP imports of
82,000 mt in January 2021, against January 2020 imports of 387,000 mt.
Pakistan:
Sources
said buyers have been indicating a readiness to buy more tons. While Pakistan
is rarely a market price setter, its deals help nail down a range for
transactions with India and Bangladesh.A tender for Bangladesh’s 2021
DAP and TSP needs will close on May 27.
Nepal:
Krishi
Samagri Company Ltd. issued a tender for 25,000 mt of DAP to close on May 18.
The material is to be delivered to the KSCL warehouses in bags.
Brazil:
MAP
prices moved up sharply to $610-$630/mt CFR at Paranagua. Sources said the move
is a combination of some increased inland demand and sellers moving the price
to match netbacks from the U.S.
Rondonopolis
came in at $700-$725/mt FOB ex-warehouse. Sources said this more realistic
range is a result of farmers hearing of higher prices and seeing fewer tons,
but still not sure which way to go for their top-off tons.
Major
international firms are pushing higher prices to their regional distribution
centers within the country, raising concern by farmers of higher prices across
the board.The confusion of where to go is also seen at Sorriso, where
the price is reported at $730/mt FOB ex-warehouse, about $10/mt down from the
previous week.
The
barter rate at Rondonopolis for 1 mt of MAP remained at 37 bags of corn. In
Southern Goias, the rate has changed to 33.1 bags of soy or 66.5 bags of corn.