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Agrium plant has lower emissions in its sights

Redwater, Alberta-Agrium Inc. will be doing the “neighborly thing” starting sometime next year by voluntarily going to a lower emissions catalyst for the two sulfuric acid plants at its Redwater nitrogen and phosphate-based fertilizer plant here. Plant Manager Ted Sawchuk said the changeover is anticipated in 2012 and 2014 from the normal catalyst, and will reduce SO2 emissions at the plant by 215 metric tons a year from the current 690 metric tons. Sawchuk said that for the larger acid system it will mean a reduction to 50 percent, and the smaller system will be around 27 to 28 percent. Although Redwater operates below its license limit, the lower emissions had been included in plans for improvements that had been provided to local authorities. Helping clean up the air has also been an Agrium corporate objective. “The first unit is planned with our 2012 turnout,” he said. “We’ll order it this year and possibly do it sooner.” Agrium acquired Redwater in its merger in December 1996 with Viridian Inc., which operated plants at Fort Saskatchewan and Redwater.

Synagro looking at biosolids as energy source

Houston, Texas-Synagro Technologies, whose reputation was blemished a few years ago when the company was caught up in the Detroit biosolids contract scandal, is under a new chief executive officer and is developing a new image, with emphasis on producing renewable energy by turning waste products into something usable. “We made a hard turn right to address this market,” explained Tom Maestri, who is directing that program. “When Bill Massa took over the company last year we put together a new strategy plan with a number of focus areas, with renewable energy being one of those areas.” Of course Synagro is not giving up on turning wastewaters into fertilizer, but is also looking at new opportunities, such as recovering the methane that contains about 14 million BTUs in each ton that can be captured and used as a fuel. Synagro is very active in FOG (fats, oil, and greases) from wastewater treatment that can be used to offset the need to burn fossil fuels and syngas from gasification processes. The corporate change was also apparent late last month when Massa goodnaturedly took part in the popular TV network reality show Undercover Boss, where executives trade places with frontline workers. As part of his appearance, Massa swapped his business attire for boots, heavy gloves, waterproof slicker, and protective headgear at a Baltimore plant to help with cleaning out a wastewater lagoon. “It’s part of his very personable and outgoing personality,” Maestri commented. “We’ve had a lot of very positive feedback about it.”

FIPR eyes sulfur for energy source

Bartow, Fla.-FIPR, formerly the Florida Institute of Phosphate Research, changed names and expanded its mission to become Florida Industrial and Phosphate Research when it became part of the University of South Florida Polytechnic. According to Executive Director Paul Clifford, the change, which occurred in June 2010, allows FIPR to broaden its areas of research. In addition to ongoing work on phosphate mining and processing, FIPR has begun working on using sulfur as an energy source. Clifford said the plan was to find a catalyst for the sulfur, but “we’re very close to having a system to test.” Details of the research were proprietary and were not released. FIPR was created in 1978 as an independent agency, with its own board of directors for the research agency. In 1994 it was administered by USFP, but remained an independent agency. However, that switched last year, when the state legislature approved the change. “It was an idea that had been discussed between the institute and the university. We both felt it was beneficial, and the legislature saw the benefit to the local area. There was no downside, so it happened quickly.”

Management Briefs – April 11, 2011

Dr. Robert E. “Bob” Wagner, who served as President of the Potash & Phosphate Institute (PPI) from 1975 to 1988, passed away March 31, 2011, at age 90. PPI was the forerunner organization of the International Plant Nutrition Institute (IPNI). Wagner is survived by his wife, Bernice; three sons, Bob Jr., Jim, and Doug, and their wives; and five grandchildren.

“Dr. Wagner will be remembered as an energetic and forward-looking leader, one who understood the importance of agronomic research, the fertilizer industry, and production agriculture,” said Dr. Terry L. Roberts, IPNI President. “He practiced and believed in the power of positive thinking and he leaves a great legacy in the many people whose lives he improved.” Dr. Wagner received his B.S. degree in Agronomy from Kansas State University, and his M.S. and Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin. In 1959 he joined the staff of the American Potash Institute (forerunner of PPI and IPNI) and became a vice president of the organization. Dr. Wagner remained active with many interests after retiring from PPI, including fulfilling a lifelong dream in developing a top quality herd of purebred cattle on his farm south of Atlanta. Additional details on Dr. Wagner’s accomplishments and honors can be found on the IPNI Web site at www.ipni.net.

Vale S.A. reports that Murilo Pinto de Oliveira Ferreira has been nominated to succeed Roger Agnelli as Vale’s CEO, effective May 22, 2011. The nomination was by Vale’s controlling shareholders and is still subject to approval by the board of directors. Ferreira, 58, has a degree in Business Administration from Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) in São Paulo and a post-graduate degree in Business Administration from FGV in Rio de Janeiro, and an executive education program in M&A at the IMD, Lausanne, Switzerland. Murilo has more than 30 years of experience in the mining industry. He began work for Vale in 1998, acting in several senior management positions until his leave in 2008, when he was CEO of Vale Inco (currently Vale Canada) and Vale executive director of nickel and base metals sales.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. announced that Douglas A. Hoadley has joined the company as Director, Agribusiness Analysis. He succeeds Glen N. Buckley, who retired in September 2010. In this position, Hoadley is responsible for leading the department that monitors the global agricultural and fertilizer market environment and provides data, insight, and analysis to internal and external constituents. Prior to joining CF Industries, Hoadley held executive positions with The Mosaic Company, serving as Vice President, Investor Relations from 2004 to 2007, and most recently as Director, Marketing. Prior to 2004, he held research, marketing, consulting, and economist positions with IMC Global, British Sulfur Consultants, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Hoadley earned a B.S. in Agricultural Economics and Business at the University of Wisconsin in Madison. He also holds an MBA from the George Mason University in Fairfax, Va.

Laura Gagnon joined The Mosaic Co. as vice president, investor relations, in March. Mosaic says she is an accomplished financial executive who brings a wealth of IR experience to Mosaic, most recently as vice president – investor relations at Ameriprise, where she established the IR function upon the spinoff of Ameriprise from American Express. Prior to joining Ameriprise in 2005, Gagnon held a number of positions with The St. Paul Companies, Inc./Travelers. She is a graduate of Winona State University, has an MBA degree from Vanderbilt University, and holds a CFA designation.

Gagnon succeeds Christine Battist, who is moving on to anoth

Market Watch

AMMONIA

U.S. Gulf/Tampa: Nothing new was reported in the market last week.

Eastern Cornbelt: Sources reported brisk movement of preplant ammonia in Illinois, Kentucky, and parts of the Indiana market last week. Ammonia pricing was pegged at $675-$695/st FOB in the region, with the low out of Illinois terminals and the upper end in Indiana. Suppliers continued to field inquiries for fall ammonia tons, and some were reportedly offering fall ammonia at the $675/st FOB level in the Illinois market. Any actual buying for fall was limited to small blocks only, however.

Western Cornbelt: Sources said preplant ammonia was moving briskly in parts of the region last week, with long lines reported at some truck terminals. The ammonia market was tagged at $635-$660/st FOB, with the low out of Nebraska terminals and the upper end quoted in the Iowa market to the dealer.

Southern Plains: The anhydrous ammonia market remained at $590-$605/st FOB regional production points for prompt tons, depending on location. The dealer market out of pipeline terminals in Kansas was pegged at the $620/st FOB level for prompt tons. Sources reported long truck lines as preplant movement on corn ground kicked into gear in the Kansas market.

Sources reported brisk preplant fertilizer movement on corn ground in the Kansas market, and on corn and cotton ground in parts of Oklahoma and Texas. A northern Kansas source said growers started planting corn in his location on April 4, and the pace picked up steadily as the week progressed. Several sources said planting in eastern Kansas was limited to areas north of Kansas City, as weekend storms left fields too wet in areas south.

South Central: The anhydrous ammonia market was steady at $660-$675/st FOB terminals, with the low reported out of Memphis, Tenn., and the high at Henderson, Ky.

Fieldwork was slowed by rain in many locations last week. “We’ve gotten a couple attempts at a pretty good start, but then rain slows things down,” said one contact. Newly planted corn was coming up in some southern locations in the region. Fertilizer application activity had transitioned from wheat topdressing to preplant movement, and sources said growers continued to fertilize pastures in the region.

Trinidad: Sources report that that gas supplies have returned to normal in Trinidad. However, Yara does have one plant (900 mt/d) offline for a turnaround from March 20-April 20.

Black Sea: Ammonia prices remained strong. Sources report there is nothing from Yuzhnyy available below $500/mt FOB. One Asian trader said the market is now pegged at $500-$510/mt FOB.

To back up the idea that Yuzhnyy has strengthened, sources pointed to prices from the Baltic ports at $515/mt FOB, and referred to the latest prices out of the Arab Gulf, which are also put at $500-$515/mt FOB.

>All in all, the ammonia market is expected to remain strong for the next month or so.

Middle East: Sources pegged the Arab Gulf price at $500-$515/mt FOB based on the results of the FACT/India tender that closed at the end of March.

Even though the Indian buyer has not yet made an award, sources say the public declarations of pricing from the producers is a fair assessment of where the market has moved to.

Until the FACT tender, industry sources only had speculation and guess work when talking about the price from the area. As a result, the official price was stuck in the doldrums around $460/mt FOB.

Now, with the FACT tender in hand, sources say their earlier speculation that the price was moving into the $500s/mt FOB is vindicated.

India: FACT closed a 7,500 mt tender March 31

The Week in Fertilizer Stocks

Symbol Price Week Ago Year Ago
Producer
Agrium AGU 92.36 92.26 68.30
CF Industries CF 139.75 136.79 91.23
Intrepid Potash IPI 34.32 34.82 28.40
Mosaic MOS 79.14 78.75 56.99
PotashCorp* POT 58.95 58.93 37.69
Terra Nitrogen TNH 115.10 116.90 76.77
Distribution/Retail
Andersons Inc. ANDE 48.42 48.72 33.29
Deere & Co. DE 96.47 96.89 60.40
Scotts SMG 59.12 57.85 46.45
*represents three-for-one stock split

Mosaic reports record 3Q, expects to mine South Fort Meade until June

The Mosaic Co. reported record third-quarter net earnings of $542.1 million ($1.21 per diluted share) for the quarter ending Feb. 28, 2011, compared to the year-ago $222.6 million ($.50 per share). Third-quarter sales were $2.2 billion, up from the year-ago $1.7 billion.

“Our record third-quarter results reflect outstanding market fundamentals and effective operational execution,” said Jim Prokopanko, Mosaic president and CEO. “The world’s expanding need for food reinforces strong, long-term demand for crop nutrients. We are executing our strategy to increase potash capacity, leverage our scale, and improve operations. With robust earnings, healthy margins, and a strong balance sheet, Mosaic is well positioned for future growth.”

He told analysts March 31 that with U.S. corn inventories at all-time lows, two years of bumper crops are needed to move to more secure stock levels.

Mosaic also reported increased gross margins and operating earnings, which it said were primarily due to significantly higher phosphate selling prices and the favorable effect of higher potash production, partially offset by higher raw material costs in the phosphate sector. Gross margins were $853.6 million, up from the year-ago $476.5 million, while operating earnings nearly doubled, to $770.8 million from the year-ago $388.9 million.

Third-quarter potash operating income was $413.9 million on sales of $757.7 million, compared to the year-ago $326 million on sales of $730 million. Third-quarter potash tons sold were off slightly, to 1.863 million mt from the year-ago 1.88 million mt, while the average price was up slightly, to $358/mt from $356/mt. Production was 2 million mt, or 90 percent of capacity, an increase from the year-ago 1.3 million mt, or 59 percent capacity. Mosaic did note that it hit a salt seam in one of its mines, but that this caused only minor delays and that it is current on all of its shipping. International MOP prices moved up 14 percent, to $316/mt from the year-ago $278/mt, while domestic prices were up 7 percent, to $394/mt from the year-ago $368/mt.

Third-quarter phosphate income was $371.8 million on sales of $1.46 billion, compared to the year-ago income of $52.9 million on sales of $1.02 billion. Phosphate tons sold were 2.37 million mt, down slightly from the year-ago 2.47 million mt. The average DAP price, however, was up 62 percent to $543/mt from the year-ago $336/mt, while crop nutrient blends were up 32 percent, to $503/mt from $380/mt. Production was 2 million mt, or 83 percent of capacity, compared to the year-ago 1.9 million mt, or 75 percent capacity. Input costs were up for the phosphate segment, with sulfur prices up a whopping 127 percent to $166/lt from the year-ago $73/lt, while ammonia was up 49 percent, to $406/mt from the year-ago $272/mt.

Mosaic also pulled in $40 million in insurance proceeds during the quarter, much of that from business interruption insurance from a few years ago.

Mosaic nine-month earnings were $1.865 billion ($4.17 per share) on sales of $7.07 billion, up from the year-ago $431 million ($.97 per share) on sales of $4.9 billion. Nine-month results included a $685.6 million gain from the sale of Fosfertil assets to Vale S.A.

Nine-month potash income was $883.3 million on sales of $2.08 billion, up from the year-ago $575.9 million on sales of $1.48 billion. Some 5.34 million mt of potash were sold during the period, up from the year-ago 3.7 million mt. The average MOP price was down 5 percent for the period, to $340/mt from the year-ago $359/mt. International MOP prices remained about level for the nine months at $292/mt, up from the year-ago $291/mt, while domestic prices were off 9 percent, to $366/mt from the year-ago $400/mt.

Nine-month phosphate income was $952.1 million on sales of $5.01 billion, up from the year-ago $128.4 million on sales of $3.54 billion. Some 9.12 million mt of phos

Coffeyville IPO could pull in $309.1 M; company revives UAN expansion plans

CVR Partners LP, which owns a nitrogen fertilizer plant in Coffeyville, Kan., on March 29 announced more details in its launch of its initial public offering of 19,200,000 common units representing limited partner interests. CVR Partners will list its common units on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “UAN.”

CVR Partners anticipates granting the underwriters a 30-day over-allotment option to purchase up to an additional 2,880,000 common units from CVR Partners to cover over-allotments, if any, at the IPO price, less underwriting discounts and commissions. All of the common units to be sold in this offering (including the common units that may be sold to satisfy the underwriters’ over-allotment option) will be sold by CVR Partners.

If all 22.08 million shares are sold at the high end of the $12-$14 per share range proposed by the offering, CVR could pull in $309.12 million.

CVR Partners had said Dec. 20 that it had filed a registration statement on Form S-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with a proposed IPO. At that time it said it would raise $200 million, though the number of shares and a proposed price range were not released (GM Jan. 3, p. 2011). CVR Energy announced back in November that it again planned to spin off the nitrogen unit as an IPO (GM Nov. 8, 2010). Another IPO was pulled in 2008, as well as UAN plant expansion plans (GM June 23, 2008).

After the current offering, CVR Energy Inc., which owns the oil refinery at Coffeyville, will indirectly own common units representing approximately 73.7 percent of CVR Partners’ outstanding units (approximately 69.8 percent if the underwriters exercise their option to purchase additional common units in full) and CVR Partners’ general partner with its non-economic general partner interest. CVR Partners will rely on CVR Energy for its supply of petroleum coke, as well as for management.

CVR Partners is a Delaware limited partnership focused primarily on the manufacture of nitrogen fertilizers. The CVR Partners nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing facility is the only operation in North America that uses a petroleum coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer, and includes a 1,225 ton-per-day ammonia unit, a 2,025 ton-per-day urea ammonium nitrate unit, and a dual-train gasifier complex having a capacity of 84 million standard cubic feet per day of hydrogen. Historically, petcoke has been lower priced than natural gas, which is used by most of CVR’s competitors. CVR believes it has historically been the lowest cost producer and marketer of ammonia and UAN in North America. During the past five years, over 70 percent of the petcoke used by the plant was sourced from CVR Energy’s next door crude oil refinery via a long-term agreement.

In 2010, the company produced 392,745 st of ammonia, of which about 60 percent was upgraded into 578,272 st of UAN.

Following the completion of the offering, CVR plans to move forward with a significant two-year plant expansion designed to increase UAN production capacity by 400,000 st/y, or approximately 50 percent.

CVR is positioning itself to Wall Street as a pure-play nitrogen fertilizer company, noting that nitrogen is just a component in the earnings of many of its larger competitors. In addition to being the low cost producer, CVR is also touting its transportation advantage, located near major customers.

CVR told analysts last month that it foresees a bullish run of 18-36 months for fertilizer prices (GM March 14, 2011). While CVR nitrogen results were off in 2010 (GM March 7, 2011), the company cited both a major scheduled turnaround and an unplanned equipment outage at the UAN plant. Full-year nitrogen operating income was $20.4 million on sales of $180.5 million, down from the prior year’s $48.9 million on sales of $208.4 million.

Morgan Sta

USDA ups corn, wheat, and cotton planting intentions

With commodity prices significantly higher than last spring, U.S. farmers plan to plant 3.99 million (4.5 percent) more corn acres, 3.89 million (8.2 percent) more wheat acres, and 1.59 million (15 percent) more cotton acres than last year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s March 31 Prospective Plantings report. The findings continue to support strong fertilizer demand this spring, even after the brisk plowdown volumes applied last fall.

The report, compiled by USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), provides the first official, survey-based estimates of U.S. farmers’ 2011 planting intentions for 21 major crops. Some 85,000 farm operators across the U.S. were surveyed from Feb. 26 to March 17. In all, farmers reported intentions of planting 323.8 million acres across the 21 major crops surveyed for the report, a 7.09 million (2.2 percent) increase from 2010, but still 1.21 million acres below the 2008 total.

Corn growers intend to plant 92.2 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2011, the report said. If realized, this will be the second highest planted acreage in the U.S. since 1944, behind only the 93.5 million acres planted in 2007. Acreage increases of 250,000 or more are expected in Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota. The largest increase is expected in South Dakota, where growers intend to plant an additional 850,000 acres compared to last year, when wet field conditions hampered planting. Iowa and North Dakota acreage is expected to increase 500,000 and 450,000, respectively. The largest decrease in planted acreage is expected in Texas, down 150,000 acres due to an increase in cotton acreage.

Assuming a 91.7 percent harvest rate and the USDA’s projected yield of 162 bushels per acre, U.S. corn farmers will grow 13.7 billion bushels on 84.5 million harvested acres in 2011.

“Even after a difficult growing season last year, farmers produced the third largest crop and it initially shows they will produce another record crop this year,” said Bart Schott, president of the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA). “This report shows that the innovative American farmer understands the increasing global demands of corn for food, feed, fuel, and fiber, and that they see the importance of meeting those needs.”

Area planted to soybeans is expected to be 76.6 million acres, down 1 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the third largest planted soybean crop on record in the U.S. Compared with last year, planted acreage declines of 100,000 or more are expected in Iowa, Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, and Ohio, while record soybean crops are anticipated in New York and North Dakota.

Cotton acreage increases are expected in every state, for a total of 12.6 million acres, 15 percent above last year. The largest increase, at 548,000 acres, is expected in Texas. Acreage increases of more than 100,000 are expected in North Carolina, Georgia, and Mississippi.

The 2011 wheat planted area is estimated at 58.0 million acres. Of this, 41.2 million acres is winter wheat planted area, 10 percent above last year and up 1 percent from the previous estimate.

U.S. acres planted to all rice 2011 are projected at 3.018 million, down 17 percent from last year’s 3.636 million, and some 4 percent below 2009’s 3.135 million acres.

NASS also released the quarterly Grain Stocks report on March 31, showing corn stocks in all positions at 6.52 billion bushels as of March 1. This is down 15 percent from last year.

Soybeans stored in all positions on March 1 totaled 1.25 billion bushels, down 2 percent from a year ago, while all wheat stored totaled 1.42 billion bushels, up 5 percent from March 1, 2010.

Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2011, totaled 121 million hundredweight, up 16 percent from the same time last year.

“Despite increas