| Producer | Symbol | Price | Week Ago | Year Ago |
| Agrium | AGU | 78.35 | 84.73 | 38.53 |
| CF Industries | CF | 132.04 | 137.61 | 38.50 |
| Intrepid Potash | IPI | 45.08 | 48.59 | NA |
| Mosaic | MOS | 122.55 | 122.38 | 29.18 |
| PotashCorp | POT | 183.16 | 193.90 | 59.24 |
| Terra Industries | TRA | 38.66 | 40.90 | 17.35 |
| Terra Nitrogen | TNH | 142.02 | 145.52 | 68.20 |
| Distribution/Retail | ||||
| Andersons Inc. | ANDE | 45.91 | 43.78 | 45.59 |
| Deere & Co. | DE | 84.40 | 88.89 | 53.65 |
| Scotts | SMG | 33.38 | 33.29 | 45.87 |
| UAP | UAPH | 38.96 | 39.10 | 27.89 |
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SPOT BARGE PRICES
PotashCorp 1Q earnings hit another record – $566 M
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. reported record first-quarter earnings of $566 million ($1.74 per diluted share) on sales of $1.89 billion, compared to the year-ago $198 million ($.62 per share) and $1.15 billion, respectively. The earnings were 181 percent higher than the year-ago figure and 50 percent higher than the previous record in fourth quarter 2007.
“Another record quarter for our company reflects the ongoing growth in global demand for food and the fertilizers that are essential to maximizing crop production,” said Bill Doyle, PotashCorp president and CEO. “This is especially true of potash, where we have unmatched assets that continue to elevate our performance. In this environment, we are demonstrating the increasing value of our company ?Çô as an essential part of the solution to concerns about the world’s food supply.” The company noted that at quarter’s end, the North American potash producer’s inventories remained 37 percent below the previous five-year average.
The company said its Lanigan and Patience Lake projects will be the only major new sources of global potash production available in 2009. Even with them, the company said meeting demand will be a challenge. PotashCorp is investing $4.5 billion to take its current 10.2 million mt potash capacity to 15.7 million by 2012. It expects to develop another 1.5 million mt by 2015.
Furthermore, according to Doyle, the news about China and potash is not over. Doyle told analysts China will be short 3 million tons of potash by the end of the year. He said China’s problem was government involvement in buying ?Çô that the country should have been first in line to buy, not at the back of the line. He said he expects Brazil to eventually take 7.5 million mt this year, versus 2007’s 6.7 million mt.
Potash led the way for the company in both sales and gross margins during the quarter. Potash gross margins were $514.6 million on sales of $796.2 million, versus the year-ago $174.2 million and $380.5 million, respectively.
Nitrogen gross margins were $185.4 million on sales of $581.2 million, up from the year-ago $131.3 million and $419.6 million.
Phosphate gross margins were $156 million on sales of $513.2 million, up from the year-ago $64.2 million and $354.6 million.
The company is raising its full-year net income guidance from $6.25-$7.25 per share to $9.50-$10.50 per share. It expects second-quarter net income per share to be in the range of $2.20-$2.50.
Doyle stressed that biofuels consume only 5 percent of the world’s grains and should not be targeted as the reason for food inflation. Instead, he said the primary driver is the ever-increasing demand created by hundreds of millions of consumers choosing a more nutritious diet in nations with growing populations and wealth. Speaking to analysts, he noted the rice shortage that is in the news this week, saying that rice is not used for biofuels and it is in short supply.
Doyle noted that fertilizer remains a good investment for farmers around the world. He said a corn farmer in the U.S. earns $3 for every $1 spent on fertilizer; an Indian wheat farmer gets a $7.50 return on his $1, while an Indonesian palm oil farmer gets $9.00.
Potash Production
| Potash | 1Q-08 Vol. | Avg Price | 1Q-07 Vol. | Avg Price |
| N. America | 967 | 301.36 | 892 | 171.15 |
| Offshore | 1,569 | 275.36 | 1,273 | 134.28 |
| Ammonia | 474 | 507.43 | 520 | 325.73 |
| Urea | 297 | 444.47 | 339 | 336.54 |
| UAN/AN/N. Acid | 555 | 235.35 | 478 | 180.80 |
| Solid Phosphates | 267 | 659.64 | 427 | 281.98 |
| All Phosphates | 932 | 491.12 | 1,058 | 291.99 |
* Volumes in thousands mt.
Simplot to acquire majority stake in Britz
J. R. Simplot Co. and Britz Fertilizers Inc. (BFI) have signed a letter of intent for a business venture wherein Simplot would acquire a majority interest in BFI’s agricultural inputs business. BFI is a privately-held California retailer and wholesaler of plant nutrients, crop protection products, and seed. It offers a wide variety of agronomic services, including aerial and satellite imagery.
Both firms are privately held, so details of the intended transaction were not released. The parties anticipate that the transaction will be completed by Sept. 1, 2008.
Bill Whitacre, president of Simplot’s AgriBusiness Group, says this intended acquisition follows Simplot’s strategy to expand into key new products, services, and geographies within Simplot’s core business area.
“The Britz family has built an amazing business by caring for growers in the San Joaquin Valley for over 60 years” he said. “This acquisition will strengthen and complement the Simplot Grower Solutions network and Simplot’s current asset base in California.”
Whitacre said that the San Joaquin Valley is one of the most important crop production regions in the world, with major acreages in fruits, vegetables, and tree and vine crops.
BFI was started in 1948 by Albert Britz, with one location near Five Points, Fresno County. It is still owned and run by Britz family members. BFI now has ten locations throughout the San Joaquin Valley.
David Britz, BFI’s President, said that the decision to join forces with Simplot was “absolutely the right thing to do.”
“The main drivers behind our family’s decision to sell a majority interest to Simplot were long-term concerns for our employees and customers,” he said. “The Simplot culture of respect for employees and its focus on customer service convinced us that this was the perfect opportunity to perpetuate and expand the legacy we have built over the past 60 years.”
While specific terms of the transaction are confidential, the parties intend that BFI’s senior management and employees will remain in their positions under the new arrangement. David Britz is expected to remain active with the company, and Simplot also expects to retain all of the employees for a seamless transition.
If the deal closes it will be somewhat of a coup for Simplot in that Britz has been down this road before with no conclusion. Most recently, Agriliance LLC made a play to buy into Britz; however, those negotiations broke down in early 2006 (GM Jan. 23, 2006, p. 10). In the late 1990s, both Wilbur-Ellis Co. and Terra Industries Inc. were also in talks to buy into Britz, but were unsuccessful (GM Archives).
J. R. Simplot Co. is a privately-held agribusiness firm with headquarters in Boise, Idaho. Principal operations include phosphate mining, fertilizer manufacturing and distribution, farm service centers, professional fertilizer products, food processing and distribution, food brands, Jacklin grass seed, farming, ranching, and livestock production. Simplot’s major operations are in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Australia, and China. Simplot has 10,000 employees world-wide, with annual revenues in excess of $3.5 billion.
CF reports $158.8 M in 1Q earnings
CF Industries Holdings Inc. reported net income of $158.8 million ($2.77 per diluted share) on sales of $667.3 million for the first quarter ending March 31, 2008, compared to the year-ago $57.2 million ($1.02 per share) and $472.4 million, respectively. Higher fertilizer prices led the way for CF as nitrogen volumes were off due to wet spring weather. Phosphate volumes saw a modest increase due to exports.
Nitrogen gross margins were $197.5 million on sales of $437.8 million, up from the year-ago $90.7 million and $350.9 million, respectively. Total tons of product sold were 1.27 million st, down from 1.43 million.
Phosphate gross margins were $73.7 million on sales of $229.5 million, up from the year-ago $14.4 million and $121.5 million. Total tons sold moved up to 470,000 st from 461,000 st. Domestic tonnage was off at 389,000 st from 398,000 st, while exports were up at 86,000 st from 73,000 st.
As of April 21, CF said its forward pricing program bookings for the remainder of 2008 stood at 3.7 million st, compared to 1.5 million st at a comparable time last year. Nitrogen sales during the first quarter under the program totaled 949,000 st, 75 percent of segment sales, versus the year-ago 52 percent. Phosphate sales under the program were 325,000 st during the quarter, 69 percent of sales, versus the year-ago 41 percent.
As for forthcoming initiatives, CF said it has leased office space in Lima, Peru, in anticipation of supporting the development of a world-scale ammonia and urea plant in that country. As to the proposed gasification project at the Donaldsonville nitrogen complex, CF said initial estimates came in substantially higher than anticipated. As a result, it is reviewing alternative contractors and gasification technologies.
CF said the underlying global positives for agriculture remain strong. In addition, the wet weather has started to subside. “During the last two weeks, as field conditions have improved throughout much of the Corn Belt, we’ve seen a significant increase in shipping rates, and we believe the planting season should result in the expected strong spring volumes for nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers,” said Stephen Wilson, CF chairman and CEO. He added that at the 86 millions corn acres projected by USDA, it would still be the second highest corn acreage since 1944. Wilson noted that actual corn acreage last year was more than 3 million acres above USDA projections. He also said increased acreage for wheat and minor crops could help offset any reduced nitrogen demand from corn planting.
CF also reported that its board of directors has declared a $0.10 per share dividend on its common stock for the second quarter. The dividend will be payable on June 2, 2008, to stockholders of record as of May 15, 2008.
CF Production
| 1Q-08 Vol. | Avg Price | 1Q-07 Vol. | Avg Price | |
| Ammonia | 75 | $428 | 121 | $298 |
| Urea | 650 | 387 | 666 | 294 |
| UAN | 539 | 285 | 639 | 186 |
| D’ville gas | 8.42/mmBtu | 7.57/mmBtu | ||
| M’ Hat gas | 7.68/mmBtu | 6.35/mmBtu | ||
| DAP | 384 | $493 | 388 | $262 |
| MAP | 86 | 467 | 73 | 269 |
* Volumes in thousands
Online AN purchase leads to arrest of teen for planned bomb attack
The arrest of an 18-year-old in South Carolina who allegedly bought ammonium nitrate on eBay to make bombs for a planned suicide attack at his high school has once again put AN security in the spotlight.
Ryan Schallenberger of Chesterfield, S.C., was arrested April 21 after authorities received a tip from his mother and stepfather, who had retrieved a reported 20 pounds of AN after getting a delivery notice from the postal service. The youth, a top student at Chesterfield High School, faces several state charges and three federal charges, including attempting to use a weapon of mass destruction, which carries a possible life sentence.
Authorities conducted a search of Schallenberger’s home after the arrest and seized several items, including a laptop computer, an audiotape, and a 50-page journal that reportedly contained a timeline for an attack that involved locking the school’s doors and placing more than five explosives in the school building. Chesterfield is a town of about 1,500 in northeastern South Carolina, about 60 miles southeast of Charlotte.
While initial reports said the teen had ordered 10 pounds of AN from a Kentucky-based seller on eBay, authorities reported on April 23 that the amount actually weighed 20 pounds. News stories reported that several online auctions for AN were still active on eBay Monday night, including one for a 10-pound bag of AN from a seller in Hillsboro, Ky., for $29.90 including shipping. Numerous searches conducted by Green Markets throughout the week, however, found no active listings for bagged quantities of AN after April 22.
An eBay spokesperson said on Wednesday that the online auction site had removed the AN ads posted by the Kentucky seller, but would not publically divulge the seller’s name because of privacy agreements, nor give the reason why the ads had been pulled. EBay said it is cooperating with authorities in the investigation.
Both The Fertilizer Institute and the South Carolina Fertilizer and Agrichemical Association (SCFAA) told Green Markets that the seller had violated South Carolina law by selling the AN to Schallenberger. Mike Watkins, executive director of SCFAA, said the state passed a law in 2002 making it illegal for anyone to sell AN in South Carolina unless they are registered with the department of regulatory services. “Any sale, any amount, is restricted, so the seller was in violation of our state statutes,” Watkins said, adding that he was unsure how the state would proceed with regard to charges against the seller.
SCFAA sent an email to members in the wake of the arrest, noting that South Carolina was the first state to pass security legislation related to explosive fertilizers such as AN. The fertilizer regulations are administered by the Department of Plant Industry, Regulatory and Public Service Programs, Clemson University, and state that “no person shall distribute restricted fertilizers in any quantity without a restricted fertilizer permit.”
SCFAA noted in the letter that “mail order or internet sales do not preclude anyone from the SC fertilizer law if they are offering products for sale in this state. This obviously constitutes a violation of the law on the seller’s part. However, this marketing strategy is inherently difficult to detect due to the volume of information on the internet and available through mail order publications.”
Kathy Mathers, vice president of public affairs for TFI, said TFI has contacted eBay in the past regarding online sales of AN, including sending a letter in June 2004 urging eBay to reconsider allowing AN sales on the site. “Their response was that if it’s not against the law, why are you trying to tell us what to do?” Mathers said. “Based on past conversations, they were not going to change their pattern based on some conversation with industry.”
The Department of Homeland Security is currently in the process of drafting federal regulations for the sale and handling of AN, authorized by the Secure Handling of Ammonium Nitrate Act of 2007. That bill was signed into law by President Bush on Dec. 26, 2007, and is strongly supported by the fertilizer industry (GM Jan. 7, p. 1). “Our hope is that this law would effectively eliminate anonymous sales of the product,” Mathers said.
DHS has reportedly missed one deadline for the AN regulations, and Mathers would not speculate whether the April 21 arrest of Schallenberger might speed up the process.
Intrepid Potash IPO soars
Denver-Newly-minted shares of Intrepid Potash Inc. (IPI) traded as high as $53.50 last week after the shares began trading April 22. The funny thing was that the shares were initially valued at $24-$26 by the company (GM April 14, p. 1), which was later changed to $27-$29, then finally to $32. What happened in the meantime? China agreed to pay Canpotex $400/mt more for potash this year than last year (GM April 21, p. 1). Intrepid sold 30 million shares, with underwriters able to snap up 4.5 million of additional shares at the initial public offering price.
Koch, Dyno Nobel ink UAN agreement
Wichita-Koch Nitrogen Co. said April 24 that it has entered into a multi-year UAN off-take agreement with Dyno Nobel. Koch Nitrogen will supply the ammonia necessary to produce the UAN and retain exclusive rights to market 100 percent of the UAN, estimated at 290,000 short tons per year, out of Dyno Nobel’s ammonium nitrate manufacturing facility in Cheyenne, Wyoming. “This agreement combines the capabilities of the two companies to add value by bringing fertilizer to the Western United States agricultural market,” said Steve Packebush, president of Koch Nitrogen. “This opens a new region for our company, allows us to better serve new and existing customers and is a win-win for both operations.” “The agreement with Koch Nitrogen gives Dyno Nobel a reliable source of ammonia and enables us to swing production to meet strong fertilizer demand,” said Peter Richards, Dyno Nobel chief operating officer. “We will also benefit from Koch Nitrogen’s extensive marketing expertise and distribution networks.” Production is expected to begin in the third quarter, 2008.
Wilbur-Ellis completes purchase of N.D. retailer
Walnut Creek, Calif.-Wilbur-Ellis Co. on April 24 completed its purchase of Rolla Fertilizer and Flying Service’s retail agronomy business headquartered in Rolla, N.D. “Gordon and Allan Krech have achieved their success by providing the highest level of customer service and the best product offerings” said Wilbur-Ellis President and CEO John Thacher. “These high standards have led to very successful growth and expansion in the geography that they serve.” Gordon Krech, Vice President of Rolla Fertilizer, confirmed the value of becoming part of Wilbur-Ellis. Krech commented that “we have always strived to be the best service provider of crop protection chemicals, fertilizers and seed to farming operations in North Central North Dakota. The marketplace is changing and in order to take Rolla Fertilizer and Flying to the next level, we need to align ourselves with a company that has the necessary resources, shares similar values, and possesses a high level of commitment to agriculture.” The Rolla location will continue as the headquarters for the operations. Operations will report to Michael Thomas, Wilbur-Ellis vice president and Northern Plains business unit manager. The agribusiness division is led by Daniel Vradenburg, Wilbur-Ellis executive vice president.
Terra Ind. reports $101.4 M in 1Q net income
Sioux City-Terra Industries Inc. reported net income of $101.4 million ($.97 per diluted share from continuing operations) on sales of $574.7 million for the first quarter ending March 31, 2008, versus the year-ago $7.2 million ($.08 per share) and $500.9 million, respectively. Operating income moved up to $168.3 million from the year-ago $67.2 million. The improved results were mainly due to higher nitrogen prices. The 2007 revenues included $89.9 million from Terra’s UK operations that were later contributed to the GrowHow UK joint venture. Excluding the UK 2007 results, revenues increased $163.7 million from the 2007 to the 2008 first quarter. Ammonia , UAN, and ammonium nitrate selling prices increased 40, 55, and 37 percent, respectively, over the year-ago period. North American sales volumes for ammonia increased by 3 percent, while sales volumes for UAN and AN decreased by 2 and 8 percent, respectively. These volumes were off due to delayed movement caused by cool, wet weather. First-quarter equity earnings from the company’s stake in the GrowHow jv were $9.3 million. Terra has excluded UK sales volumes and prices from its 2007 statistical totals for a more accurate comparison with 2008.
Terra Ind. Production
| 1Q-08 Vol. | Avg Unit Price | 1Q-07 Vol. | Avg Unit Price | |
| Ammonia | 364 | $462 | 352 | $331 |
| UAN 32 | 917 | 285 | 940 | 184 |
| Urea | 24 | 419 | 32 | 298 |
| AN | 172 | 304 | 187 | 222 |
| Nat Gas Cost | $7.57/mmBtu | $6.76/mmBtu |
* Volumes in thousands.